MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · CLE · batting 7Travis Bazzana
Bats leftTalent grade DBalancedNormal
.292wOBA vs LHP.268xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · KCDaniel Lynch IV
Throws leftBTB Stuff 92Trending Down
2.4projected K12%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Daniel Lynch IV's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 34% usage, 93.8 mph, +7.2″ arm side, +15.5″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .336 vs league .349 (about even).Fastball 34%Slider: 26% usage, 86.3 mph, -1.0″ arm side, +3.2″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .273 vs league .286 (about even).Slider 26%Changeup: 20% usage, 85.0 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +7.8″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .302 vs league .315 (about even).Changeup 20%Sinker: 12% usage, 93.7 mph, +15.6″ arm side, +9.8″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .315 vs league .329 (about even).Sinker 12%Curveball: 7% usage, 81.7 mph, -2.6″ arm side, -2.9″ rise. Travis Bazzana: wOBA .265 vs league .278 (about even).Curveball 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Travis Bazzana's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Travis Bazzana's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 94.3 mph at 50°Out: 80.6 mph at 29°Out: 96.9 mph at -11°Out: 82.3 mph at 60°Out: 91.0 mph at -19°Out: 78.9 mph at 41°Single: 67.6 mph at 31°Out: 88.8 mph at -15°Out: 86.8 mph at 24°Out: 96.9 mph at 28°Out: 31.2 mph at -49°Out: 97.5 mph at -6°Out: 90.1 mph at 33°Out: 104.2 mph at -4°Home run: 100.4 mph at 26°Out: 89.3 mph at -7°Out: 90.4 mph at 21°Out: 75.4 mph at -16°Out: 91.1 mph at 64°Out: 54.5 mph at 53°Home run: 98.0 mph at 28°Out: 101.0 mph at -15°Home run: 93.8 mph at 37°Double: 81.3 mph at -10°Out: 91.8 mph at -13°Out: 76.4 mph at -11°Out: 68.4 mph at 54°Single: 90.0 mph at 15°Out: 100.0 mph at 43°Home run: 99.9 mph at 34°Out: 101.6 mph at 8°Out: 60.8 mph at 63°Single: 95.9 mph at -3°Single: 99.3 mph at -2°Single: 100.5 mph at 15°Out: 84.8 mph at 5°Out: 99.1 mph at 19°Home run: 107.5 mph at 22°Out: 95.5 mph at -13°Out: 89.7 mph at 50°
40% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit56.8%55.1%+1.7
2+ total bases30.1%29.4%+0.7
Home run7.1%8.4%-1.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.6
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
-0.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.8

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Travis Bazzana hits
Where they meet

.285 xwOBA for Travis Bazzana in the spots Daniel Lynch IV throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .306 (-22 points). His best spot against lefties is up and left, outside, and Daniel Lynch IV puts 2% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Daniel Lynch IV · where he throws to left-handed hitters
1% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing1%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing4%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing7%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing9%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing9%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%15% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing15%20% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing20%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing18%
All · 206 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%0% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters18% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters18%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%28% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters28%
Sinker · 110 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%46% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters46%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%
Slider · 68 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Travis Bazzana · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .211 shrunk (raw .114 on 4 PA) · league .243 · 17 pitches seen.211xwOBA .254 shrunk (raw .000 on 2 PA) · league .296 · 10 pitches seen.254xwOBA .218 shrunk (raw .000 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 8 pitches seen.218xwOBA .305 shrunk (raw .300 on 9 PA) · league .308 · 26 pitches seen.305xwOBA .308 shrunk (raw .176 on 7 PA) · league .385 · 23 pitches seen.308xwOBA .280 shrunk (raw .135 on 5 PA) · league .340 · 8 pitches seen.280xwOBA .283 shrunk (raw .300 on 7 PA) · league .273 · 19 pitches seen.283xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .251 on 11 PA) · league .350 · 27 pitches seen.303xwOBA .334 shrunk (raw .543 on 2 PA) · league .299 · 12 pitches seen.334xwOBA .352 shrunk (raw .428 on 8 PA) · league .302 · 32 pitches seen.352xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .228 on 7 PA) · league .346 · 31 pitches seen.303xwOBA .320 shrunk (raw .347 on 14 PA) · league .289 · 104 pitches seen.320xwOBA .200 shrunk (raw .062 on 5 PA) · league .257 · 16 pitches seen.200
vs LHP · 333 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 5 swings · league 21%0%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 23%25%Whiff 17% of 18 swings · league 9%17%Whiff 0% of 17 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 11%13%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 0% of 20 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 18% of 11 swings · league 16%18%Whiff 25% of 8 swings · league 25%25%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 29%15%Whiff 41% of 22 swings · league 48%41%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 34%0%
vs LHP · 333 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 47% of 17 pitches · league 63%47%Swings at 50% of 10 pitches · league 71%50%Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 64%50%Swings at 69% of 26 pitches · league 67%69%Swings at 74% of 23 pitches · league 76%74%Swings at 100% of 8 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 42% of 19 pitches · league 59%42%Swings at 74% of 27 pitches · league 68%74%Swings at 92% of 12 pitches · league 66%92%Swings at 25% of 32 pitches · league 30%25%Swings at 42% of 31 pitches · league 26%42%Swings at 21% of 104 pitches · league 31%21%Swings at 81% of 16 pitches · league 41%81%
vs LHP · 333 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Travis Bazzana against each of Daniel Lynch IV's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball34%93.8+7″ / +16″.336.34917.5%18.5%41About league average vs these
Slider26%86.3-1″ / +3″.273.28628.9%32.1%20About league average vs these
Changeup20%85.0+13″ / +8″.302.31526.0%25.5%13About league average vs these
Sinker12%93.7+16″ / +10″.315.32911.2%12.3%53About league average vs these
Curveball7%81.7-3″ / -3″.265.27828.0%31.3%23About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Travis Bazzana · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G311.182.182.273.195.12445.5%0.0%18.9%84.996.90.0%16.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1026.200.231.360.283.17226.9%3.8%17.5%82.5100.50.0%27.8%27.8%
Last 30 G1835.212.257.333.281.17422.9%5.7%15.2%77.0100.50.0%20.0%20.0%
90 days4483.216.301.284.280.25521.7%9.6%12.9%82.6103.93.6%26.8%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 14%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 20%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.100.14142.9%14.3%16.7%86.088.80.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1134.259.412.741.469.37714.7%17.6%16.7%92.6107.513.6%50.0%31.8%
Last 30 G2681.309.395.603.418.35712.3%9.9%17.3%89.3107.58.3%43.3%35.0%
90 days63205.234.327.411.323.29921.0%10.7%21.7%88.7107.55.1%39.7%32.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 136 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 23%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.118.167.176.158.13144.4%5.6%18.2%85.296.90.0%11.1%33.3%
Last 15 G1560.231.333.558.388.28920.0%11.7%17.1%88.1107.57.5%40.0%30.0%
Last 30 G30116.277.353.515.377.30215.5%8.6%16.6%85.7107.55.9%36.5%30.6%
90 days70288.229.319.373.311.28721.2%10.4%19.1%86.9107.54.7%35.9%30.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 192 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 14%
Travis Bazzana · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating22Poor
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.313 / .288running 26 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPSlider84.894.350.006Double
Sep 25LHPFastball94.280.629.139Out
Sep 25LHPSinker90.896.9-11.182Out
Sep 25RHPFastball95.582.360.028Out
Sep 24LHPCurveball75.891.0-19.106Out
Sep 24LHPSlider86.778.941.075Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.967.631.859Single
Sep 20RHPChangeup88.588.8-15.103Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker96.686.824.157Out
Sep 19LHPCutter84.396.928.399Out
Sep 19LHPSlider74.831.2-49.277Out
Sep 19RHPCutter89.197.5-6.247Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25512001
Sep 24300001
Sep 23300012
Sep 22411003
Sep 20300001
Sep 19400000
Sep 18414110
Sep 16400000
Sep 15428201
Sep 14412000

Two strikes

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPwith two strikes
Daniel Lynch IV with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider16%31%21.6%18.2%22.2%
Fastball14%24%13.0%9.5%18.4%
Changeup25%21%21.7%13.5%18.3%
Sinker34%19%10.0%14.7%17.8%
Curveball11%5%0.0%0.0%20.9%
Travis Bazzana bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Travis Bazzana with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%45.3%44.3%
Whiff%21.4%23.6%
Contact%78.6%76.4%
Chase%36.1%38.0%
wOBA.225.223
Whiff vs his put-away shapes20.3%22.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.314
K%21.5%
BB%9.8%
Whiff%9.2%
Barrel%3.6%
Hard-hit%24.0%
Avg EV87.0

Against left-handers, last 90 days

81 PA
wOBA.292
xwOBA vs this mix.268against pitches like his
RV/100-0.48
Hard-hit%18.8%
K%22.2%
BB%10.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Daniel Lynch IVLHP · KC vs CLE
2.4projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 4 · 16.4 batters over 3.8 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 77.9%78%≤34 strikeouts: 12.5%13%45 strikeouts: 6.0%6%56 strikeouts: 2.4%2%67 strikeouts: 0.9%1%78 strikeouts: 0.2%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%12.4%
BB%7.7%
Whiff%7.2%
Velo89.3
BTB Stuff92
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sinker33%9693.43.5%
Changeup26%8684.88.1%
Fastball16%8993.76.0%
Curveball14%8481.95.2%
Slider12%10587.33.8%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 22789%4%41%.580
Sep 167218%8%29%.168
Sep 98114%7%38%.332

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Daniel Lynch IV KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

0 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Travis Bazzana: every projection we've made →