MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup projected
Hitter · COL · batting 8Zac Veen
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.319wOBA vs LHP.271xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · CWSAnthony Kay
Throws leftBTB Stuff 106Trending Down
4.5projected K19%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Anthony Kay's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 31% usage, 95.3 mph, +6.7″ arm side, +15.1″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .335 vs league .343 (about even).Fastball 31%Sweeper: 18% usage, 82.7 mph, -12.8″ arm side, +0.4″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .245 vs league .253 (about even).Sweeper 18%Cutter: 14% usage, 91.5 mph, -1.3″ arm side, +6.7″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .293 vs league .301 (about even).Cutter 14%Sinker: 13% usage, 95.3 mph, +16.2″ arm side, +5.0″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .316 vs league .324 (about even).Sinker 13%Changeup: 13% usage, 86.1 mph, +14.0″ arm side, +0.6″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .298 vs league .306 (about even).Changeup 13%Slider: 9% usage, 86.2 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -3.3″ rise. Zac Veen: wOBA .253 vs league .261 (about even).Slider 9%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Zac Veen's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit48.3%48.5%-0.1
2+ total bases24.8%26.2%-1.4
Home run7.3%9.6%-2.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
-2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Zac Veen hits
Anthony Kay · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 38% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing3%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing3%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 29% per swing8%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing6%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 23% per swing6%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 6% per swing7%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing6%11% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing11%30% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing30%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing8%
All · 335 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters10%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters10%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%15% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters15%
Sinker · 152 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%8% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters8%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters3%8% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters8%7% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters7%1% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%10% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters10%51% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters51%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%
Sweeper · 93 pitches · catcher's view
10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%19% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters19%15% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters15%19% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters19%0% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters
Fastball · 52 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters10% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters10%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters10% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters10%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters71% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters71%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%
Slider · 21 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters18% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters18%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters12%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters47% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters47%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters
Cutter · 17 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Pitch by pitch

Zac Veen against each of Anthony Kay's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball31%95.3+7″ / +15″.335.34324.8%21.3%4Little history vs this shape
Sweeper18%82.7-13″ / +0″.245.25330.9%33.3%4Little history vs this shape
Cutter14%91.5-1″ / +7″.293.30131.3%27.7%5Little history vs this shape
Sinker13%95.3+16″ / +5″.316.32415.8%13.6%4Little history vs this shape
Changeup13%86.1+14″ / +1″.298.30625.9%23.9%3Little history vs this shape
Slider9%86.2-4″ / -3″.253.26132.1%34.5%4Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight

No pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.

FormNormal
Contact rating28Below average
Last 100 pitches18trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.330 / .294running 36 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Two strikes

Anthony Kay CWS · LHPwith two strikes
Anthony Kay with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider8%24%23.5%15.3%22.2%
Fastball19%21%19.6%16.4%18.4%
Sinker18%17%16.7%21.3%17.8%
Changeup14%16%25.0%14.5%18.3%
Sweeper25%13%37.0%27.3%21.2%
Cutter16%9%8.0%6.2%18.3%
Zac Veen bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Zac Veen with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.0%44.3%
Whiff%24.7%23.6%
Contact%75.3%76.4%
Chase%38.8%38.0%
wOBA.221.223
Whiff vs his put-away shapes25.2%24.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.297
K%30.9%
BB%7.7%
Whiff%13.6%
Barrel%4.2%
Hard-hit%21.9%
Avg EV86.3

Against left-handers, last 90 days

11 PA
wOBA.319
xwOBA vs this mix.271against pitches like his
RV/100-0.34
Hard-hit%21.3%
K%29.7%
BB%8.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Anthony KayLHP · CWS vs COL
4.5projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 21.6 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 34.7%35%≤34 strikeouts: 19.0%19%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 12.6%13%67 strikeouts: 8.2%8%78 strikeouts: 4.6%5%89+ strikeouts: 4.0%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%18.6%
BB%7.1%
Whiff%11.2%
Velo90.0
BTB Stuff106
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Sweeper25%10982.811.8%
Fastball19%9996.010.6%
Sinker17%11395.66.9%
Cutter16%12292.68.5%
Changeup14%7886.418.3%
Slider8%12286.612.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 226520%11%35%.458
Sep 166618%12%6%.241
Sep 116711%2%26%.347

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Anthony Kay CWS · LHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Zac Veen: every projection we've made →