MLBengine v14
← HOU at OAK, Sep 27, 2026
2:05 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · HOU · batting 6Christian Walker
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · OAKTBD
Stable
3.8projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Christian Walker's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Home run: 106.1 mph at 32°Out: 91.6 mph at -30°Out: 103.0 mph at 42°Out: 95.7 mph at 45°Single: 101.6 mph at 14°Home run: 109.7 mph at 22°Out: 83.9 mph at 63°Single: 105.6 mph at -9°Out: 104.2 mph at 15°Home run: 104.7 mph at 21°Out: 80.0 mph at 41°Out: 105.3 mph at -6°Out: 94.2 mph at 28°Single: 108.2 mph at 19°Single: 110.7 mph at 1°Out: 62.1 mph at -16°Out: 77.2 mph at 50°Out: 85.3 mph at 43°Out: 80.9 mph at 35°Out: 87.8 mph at 56°Out: 90.3 mph at 56°Out: 86.2 mph at -9°Out: 98.1 mph at 31°Out: 101.7 mph at -10°Out: 70.0 mph at 6°Out: 80.1 mph at 30°Out: 104.5 mph at 20°Out: 81.9 mph at 5°Out: 42.6 mph at 15°Out: 93.3 mph at 24°Out: 57.2 mph at -2°Out: 101.2 mph at 31°Single: 73.6 mph at 20°Out: 60.9 mph at 16°Out: 78.8 mph at -15°Out: 73.2 mph at -36°Out: 68.7 mph at 63°Out: 100.3 mph at 52°Single: 95.6 mph at 4°Out: 87.7 mph at 61°
43% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit61.1%57.6%+3.5
2+ total bases38.6%34.4%+4.2
Home run15.6%12.7%+2.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.7
Park
+2.8
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.8
Park
+3.4
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
+2.5

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Christian Walker hits
Christian Walker · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .181 shrunk (raw .042 on 8 PA) · league .274 · 25 pitches seen.181xwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .265 on 11 PA) · league .307 · 36 pitches seen.287xwOBA .218 shrunk (raw .157 on 9 PA) · league .263 · 40 pitches seen.218xwOBA .276 shrunk (raw .236 on 20 PA) · league .342 · 46 pitches seen.276xwOBA .405 shrunk (raw .415 on 22 PA) · league .386 · 52 pitches seen.405xwOBA .289 shrunk (raw .270 on 20 PA) · league .321 · 74 pitches seen.289xwOBA .473 shrunk (raw .692 on 9 PA) · league .308 · 21 pitches seen.473xwOBA .431 shrunk (raw .479 on 20 PA) · league .351 · 44 pitches seen.431xwOBA .280 shrunk (raw .267 on 12 PA) · league .292 · 37 pitches seen.280xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw .374 on 16 PA) · league .377 · 101 pitches seen.375xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .234 on 14 PA) · league .274 · 84 pitches seen.252xwOBA .190 shrunk (raw .110 on 11 PA) · league .263 · 56 pitches seen.190xwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .223 on 42 PA) · league .274 · 244 pitches seen.234
vs RHP · 860 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 32% of 22 swings · league 22%32%Whiff 19% of 27 swings · league 20%19%Whiff 25% of 28 swings · league 19%25%Whiff 7% of 42 swings · league 10%7%Whiff 9% of 43 swings · league 9%9%Whiff 24% of 46 swings · league 11%24%Whiff 12% of 17 swings · league 14%12%Whiff 16% of 37 swings · league 13%16%Whiff 18% of 22 swings · league 17%18%Whiff 38% of 45 swings · league 28%38%Whiff 27% of 30 swings · league 24%27%Whiff 38% of 32 swings · league 32%38%Whiff 61% of 62 swings · league 49%61%
vs RHP · 860 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 88% of 25 pitches · league 62%88%Swings at 75% of 36 pitches · league 72%75%Swings at 70% of 40 pitches · league 66%70%Swings at 91% of 46 pitches · league 70%91%Swings at 83% of 52 pitches · league 76%83%Swings at 62% of 74 pitches · league 70%62%Swings at 81% of 21 pitches · league 65%81%Swings at 84% of 44 pitches · league 68%84%Swings at 60% of 37 pitches · league 60%60%Swings at 45% of 101 pitches · league 24%45%Swings at 36% of 84 pitches · league 34%36%Swings at 57% of 56 pitches · league 40%57%Swings at 25% of 244 pitches · league 32%25%
vs RHP · 860 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Christian Walker · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.267.312.667.406.39731.2%6.2%32.3%99.4109.720.0%80.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1545.209.244.419.284.34922.2%4.4%24.3%89.4110.718.2%48.5%42.4%
Last 30 G2984.195.214.354.255.30920.2%2.4%22.4%88.5110.712.3%41.5%33.8%
90 days65214.196.248.347.265.29327.1%5.1%27.4%87.8110.79.9%38.0%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 142 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 26%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.250.4001.000.540.54220.0%20.0%28.6%97.3106.133.3%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G613.091.231.364.262.29123.1%15.4%42.9%87.8106.112.5%25.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1633.148.303.259.270.30124.2%15.2%28.8%86.3108.65.3%26.3%31.6%
90 days3265.212.369.385.356.33020.0%15.4%28.8%87.9110.05.1%30.8%23.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 10%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.263.333.737.438.43128.6%9.5%31.6%98.9109.723.1%69.2%46.2%
Last 15 G1558.185.241.407.279.33622.4%6.9%27.4%89.1110.717.1%43.9%39.0%
Last 30 G30117.183.239.330.259.30721.4%6.0%24.0%88.0110.710.7%38.1%33.3%
90 days70279.199.276.355.286.30225.4%7.5%27.7%87.8110.78.8%36.5%34.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 181 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 12%
Christian Walker · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating49Average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.284 / .315running 31 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball91.6106.1321.737Home run
Sep 25LHPCutter86.991.6-30.062Out
Sep 25RHPFastball96.5103.042.421Out
Sep 24RHPFastball93.295.745.013Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball79.1101.614.773Single
Sep 24RHPSinker96.9109.7222.000Home run
Sep 23RHPSweeper87.383.963.010Out
Sep 23RHPSinker96.4105.6-9.273Single
Sep 22RHPFastball97.4104.215.720Out
Sep 22RHPSlider87.6104.7211.077Home run
Sep 22RHPFastball96.680.041.041Out
Sep 22RHPSinker96.9105.3-6.323Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414110
Sep 24425101
Sep 23411002
Sep 22514101
Sep 20400012
Sep 19422000
Sep 18400002
Sep 16400002
Sep 15300002
Sep 13200010

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Christian Walker: every projection we've made →