Hitter · HOU · batting 1Jeremy Peña
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
1+ hit+3.1 pts matchup
2+ total bases+4.1 pts matchup
Home run+2.9 pts matchup
40% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 68.2% | 65.1% | +3.1 |
| 2+ total bases | 44.2% | 40.1% | +4.1 |
| Home run | 16.5% | 13.7% | +2.9 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.4
Park+2.7
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.5
Park+3.5
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.3
Park+2.6
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Jeremy Peña hitsJeremy Peña · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightJeremy Peña · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 14 | .231 | .286 | .385 | .293 | .297 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 52.0% | 88.1 | 105.7 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 44 | .262 | .295 | .571 | .364 | .326 | 38.6% | 2.3% | 37.2% | 87.9 | 107.7 | 12.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 94 | .216 | .266 | .455 | .317 | .286 | 37.2% | 3.2% | 38.2% | 87.4 | 107.7 | 11.3% | 35.8% | 37.7% |
| 90 days | 60 | 204 | .264 | .299 | .528 | .361 | .311 | 30.4% | 2.5% | 33.0% | 89.4 | 107.7 | 9.9% | 42.7% | 35.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 10 | .100 | .100 | .100 | .090 | .252 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 26.1% | 90.3 | 106.2 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 21 | .286 | .286 | .333 | .274 | .276 | 23.8% | 0.0% | 25.5% | 92.8 | 107.4 | 0.0% | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| Last 30 G | 18 | 37 | .297 | .297 | .405 | .307 | .328 | 24.3% | 0.0% | 27.2% | 92.2 | 107.4 | 7.1% | 39.3% | 46.4% |
| 90 days | 37 | 71 | .212 | .268 | .288 | .252 | .279 | 28.2% | 5.6% | 30.8% | 90.3 | 107.4 | 4.3% | 34.8% | 37.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 46 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 24%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 24 | .174 | .208 | .261 | .208 | .279 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 39.6% | 89.3 | 106.2 | 6.7% | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 65 | .270 | .292 | .492 | .335 | .310 | 33.8% | 1.5% | 33.1% | 89.8 | 107.7 | 7.3% | 41.5% | 43.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 131 | .240 | .275 | .440 | .314 | .298 | 33.6% | 2.3% | 34.9% | 89.0 | 107.7 | 9.9% | 37.0% | 40.7% |
| 90 days | 62 | 275 | .251 | .291 | .467 | .332 | .303 | 29.8% | 3.3% | 32.5% | 89.6 | 107.7 | 8.5% | 40.7% | 36.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 177 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
xwOBA36.303
Avg EV6689.6
Max EV27107.7
Barrel%678.5%
Hard-hit%5740.7%
Sweet-spot%5636.2%
K%929.8%
BB%43.3%
Whiff%432.5%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating44Below average
Last 100 pitches7trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.338 / .311running 27 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | LHP | Changeup | 82.3 | 85.5 | 27 | .069 | Out |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Changeup | 81.9 | 98.0 | 18 | .408 | Out |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Fastball | 96.6 | 106.2 | -8 | .335 | Double play |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Fastball | 90.7 | 73.2 | -21 | .050 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 86.3 | 86.4 | 36 | .015 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Cutter | 90.0 | 69.9 | 65 | .007 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 98.0 | 86.9 | 16 | .909 | Single |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 94.4 | 68.4 | 79 | .005 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 86.3 | 105.2 | 2 | .498 | Double play |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 86.4 | 94.4 | -3 | .274 | Single |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Changeup | 80.3 | 94.0 | 2 | .431 | Force out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Curveball | 76.5 | 78.3 | -5 | .098 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jeremy Peña: every projection we've made →