Hitter · HOU · batting 5Yainer Diaz
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
1+ hit+3.1 pts matchup
2+ total bases+4.3 pts matchup
Home run+2.9 pts matchup
40% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 71.3% | 68.2% | +3.1 |
| 2+ total bases | 47.9% | 43.6% | +4.3 |
| Home run | 16.4% | 13.4% | +2.9 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.6
Park+2.5
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.8
Park+3.5
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.4
Park+2.5
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Yainer Diaz hitsYainer Diaz · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightYainer Diaz · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .294 | .294 | .588 | .371 | .458 | 17.6% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 90.8 | 106.1 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 42 | .282 | .333 | .487 | .355 | .358 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 22.1% | 89.9 | 106.1 | 9.7% | 41.9% | 41.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 82 | .321 | .354 | .526 | .390 | .315 | 17.1% | 3.7% | 20.6% | 91.7 | 107.6 | 4.7% | 45.3% | 31.2% |
| 90 days | 56 | 162 | .290 | .321 | .497 | .366 | .341 | 14.2% | 3.1% | 17.6% | 89.8 | 110.3 | 6.1% | 44.3% | 32.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 22%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 5 | .600 | .600 | 1.400 | .830 | .359 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 87.8 | 102.5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 6 | 14 | .571 | .571 | 1.000 | .668 | .391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 95.5 | 109.1 | 14.3% | 50.0% | 28.6% |
| Last 30 G | 14 | 26 | .440 | .462 | .840 | .546 | .357 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 19.1% | 93.9 | 109.1 | 18.2% | 50.0% | 31.8% |
| 90 days | 30 | 53 | .320 | .358 | .540 | .386 | .279 | 20.8% | 3.8% | 21.1% | 91.3 | 109.1 | 10.3% | 41.0% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 23%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 13%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .364 | .364 | .773 | .475 | .436 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 18.9% | 90.0 | 106.1 | 15.8% | 36.8% | 52.6% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 56 | .358 | .393 | .623 | .433 | .367 | 14.3% | 3.6% | 20.2% | 91.6 | 109.1 | 11.1% | 44.4% | 37.8% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 108 | .350 | .380 | .602 | .428 | .325 | 15.7% | 2.8% | 20.3% | 92.2 | 109.1 | 8.1% | 46.5% | 31.4% |
| 90 days | 58 | 215 | .298 | .330 | .507 | .371 | .325 | 15.8% | 3.3% | 18.6% | 90.1 | 110.3 | 7.1% | 43.5% | 32.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 170 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 22%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 9%
xwOBA58.325
Avg EV7490.1
Max EV59110.3
Barrel%577.1%
Hard-hit%7143.5%
Sweet-spot%2832.4%
K%8015.8%
BB%43.3%
Whiff%7018.6%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches97trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.382 / .350running 32 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | LHP | Slider | 75.0 | 86.4 | -17 | .065 | Out |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Slider | 75.7 | 80.3 | 27 | .227 | Double |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 87.7 | 106.1 | 12 | .965 | Single |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 89.1 | 92.7 | -17 | .139 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 93.3 | 76.9 | 64 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 97.9 | 84.9 | 12 | .581 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 86.6 | 105.8 | 14 | .740 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Splitter | 86.8 | 99.5 | 31 | .717 | Home run |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Splitter | 88.3 | 70.5 | 4 | .130 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 89.9 | 101.6 | 17 | .459 | Triple |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 90.0 | 67.4 | 39 | .499 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.8 | 89.5 | 11 | .606 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Yainer Diaz: every projection we've made →