MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 9Bryce Teodosio
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.273wOBA vs RHP.286xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · SEALogan Gilbert
Throws rightBTB Stuff 107Trending Down
7.9projected K26%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Logan Gilbert's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 43% usage, 95.9 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +17.3″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .311 vs league .339 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 43%Slider: 28% usage, 87.6 mph, -1.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .269 vs league .297 (pitcher's edge).Slider 28%Splitter: 11% usage, 83.4 mph, +6.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .212 vs league .240 (pitcher's edge).Splitter 11%Curveball: 6% usage, 80.3 mph, -5.5″ arm side, -10.3″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .266 vs league .295 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 6%Sweeper: 5% usage, 82.5 mph, -13.9″ arm side, -3.5″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .247 vs league .275 (pitcher's edge).Sweeper 5%Changeup: 4% usage, 85.4 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +5.2″ rise. Bryce Teodosio: wOBA .283 vs league .311 (pitcher's edge).Changeup 4%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Bryce Teodosio's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Bryce Teodosio's last 9 balls in playHit (2)Out (7)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 77.2 mph at 61°Out: 94.9 mph at -22°Out: 69.9 mph at 2°Single: 68.8 mph at 21°Out: 53.0 mph at -39°Single: 90.2 mph at 14°Out: 71.5 mph at 49°Out: 58.8 mph at 72°Out: 91.5 mph at 30°
0% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot22% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit44.8%48.0%-3.1
2+ total bases20.6%22.9%-2.3
Home run5.5%6.1%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-2.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Bryce Teodosio hits
Where they meet

.295 xwOBA for Bryce Teodosio in the spots Logan Gilbert throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .305 (-10 points). His best spot against righties is up-middle, and Logan Gilbert puts 3% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Logan Gilbert · where he throws to right-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing5%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 21% per swing3%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing2%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 9% per swing6%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 24% per swing6%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing3%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing6%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing7%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing5%10% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing10%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing4%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing16%28% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 58% per swing28%
All · 610 pitches · catcher's view
8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%4% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters4%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%16% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters16%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%
Fastball · 261 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%1% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters1%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%9% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9%11% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters11%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%21% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters21%30% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters30%
Slider · 173 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters5%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters30% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters30%53% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters53%
Splitter · 89 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters3%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%3% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters3%1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%16% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters16%56% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters56%
Sweeper · 69 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Bryce Teodosio · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .487 on 2 PA) · league .307 · 2 pitches seen.333xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .342 · 3 pitches seen.316xwOBA .386 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .386 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .321 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .321 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .308 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .308 · 2 pitches seenxwOBA .351 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .351 · 0 pitches seenxwOBA .262 shrunk (raw .079 on 2 PA) · league .292 · 4 pitches seen.262xwOBA .377 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .377 · 4 pitches seenxwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .166 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 5 pitches seen.266xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 1 pitches seen.243xwOBA .260 shrunk (raw .216 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 7 pitches seen.260
vs RHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 10%100%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 9%100%Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 14%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 13%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 17%0%Whiff – of 0 swings · league 28%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 32%100%Whiff 67% of 3 swings · league 49%67%
vs RHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 2 pitches · league 62%50%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 72%100%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 66%100%Swings at 33% of 3 pitches · league 70%33%Swings at 50% of 2 pitches · league 76%50%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 70%100%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 65%100%Swings at – of 0 pitches · league 68%Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 60%75%Swings at 0% of 4 pitches · league 24%0%Swings at 40% of 5 pitches · league 34%40%Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 40%100%Swings at 43% of 7 pitches · league 32%43%
vs RHP · 34 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Bryce Teodosio against each of Logan Gilbert's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball43%95.9+7″ / +17″.311.33932.3%20.0%31About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider28%87.6-1″ / +1″.269.29741.5%33.8%14About league average vs these
Splitter11%83.4+6″ / +0″.212.24053.1%43.4%1Little history vs this shape
Curveball6%80.3-6″ / -10″.266.29536.8%29.6%14About league average vs these
Sweeper5%82.5-14″ / -4″.247.27542.4%34.6%7Little history vs this shape
Changeup4%85.4+15″ / +5″.283.31141.6%32.8%8Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Bryce Teodosio · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.100.182.100.145.19736.4%9.1%27.8%72.694.90.0%0.0%16.7%
Last 15 G411.100.182.100.145.19736.4%9.1%27.8%72.694.90.0%0.0%16.7%
Last 30 G411.100.182.100.145.19736.4%9.1%27.8%72.694.90.0%0.0%16.7%
90 days411.100.182.100.145.19736.4%9.1%27.8%72.694.90.0%0.0%16.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 6 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 17%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G23.333.333.333.300.30566.7%0.0%71.4%90.290.20.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 15 G36.200.333.200.267.28033.3%16.7%50.0%80.291.50.0%0.0%66.7%
Last 30 G36.200.333.200.267.28033.3%16.7%50.0%80.291.50.0%0.0%66.7%
90 days36.200.333.200.267.28033.3%16.7%50.0%80.291.50.0%0.0%66.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 3 balls in play
Ground 0%Line drive 33%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 33%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.154.214.154.179.22042.9%7.1%40.0%75.194.90.0%0.0%28.6%
Last 15 G617.133.235.133.188.22635.3%11.8%35.7%75.194.90.0%0.0%33.3%
Last 30 G617.133.235.133.188.22635.3%11.8%35.7%75.194.90.0%0.0%33.3%
90 days617.133.235.133.188.22635.3%11.8%35.7%75.194.90.0%0.0%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 9 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 22%
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.190 / .222running 32 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/6
2+ total bases0/6
Home run0/6

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 9 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball95.177.261.018Out
Sep 25RHPSinker94.994.9-22.136Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper84.969.92.166Out
Sep 24RHPCutter85.168.821.838Single
Sep 24RHPCurveball80.953.0-39.167Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup80.090.214.915Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper86.071.549.140Out
Aug 26LHPFastball91.858.872.003Out
Aug 26LHPCurveball80.591.530.061Out
Last 6 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400011
Sep 24411001
Sep 23211001
Sep 22300002
Sep 20100001
Aug 26300010

Two strikes

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Logan Gilbert with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter16%37%37.0%17.6%21.3%
Fastball43%30%14.1%20.6%18.3%
Slider27%24%30.6%24.3%21.4%
Sweeper6%9%40.0%23.1%20.7%
Changeup6%1%33.3%25.0%18.4%
Bryce Teodosio bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Bryce Teodosio with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%52.4%43.3%
Whiff%28.3%23.5%
Contact%71.7%76.5%
Chase%39.8%39.4%
wOBA.197.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes36.5%30.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.253
K%29.7%
BB%4.7%
Whiff%11.1%
Barrel%2.4%
Hard-hit%17.4%
Avg EV82.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

11 PA
wOBA.273
xwOBA vs this mix.286against pitches like his
RV/100-0.90
Hard-hit%18.7%
K%26.6%
BB%9.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Logan GilbertRHP · SEA vs LAA
7.9projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 12 · 24.6 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 4.6%5%≤34 strikeouts: 5.9%6%45 strikeouts: 9.4%9%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 14.0%14%78 strikeouts: 13.8%14%89+ strikeouts: 40.0%40%9+book 7.5
Over 7.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%26.2%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%14.4%
Velo90.5
BTB Stuff107
Location103
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball43%11296.99.3%
Slider27%10787.418.9%
Splitter16%10682.621.2%
Changeup6%9186.514.5%
Sweeper6%9382.416.9%
Cutter1%10492.05.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 228513%12%38%.541
Sep 159626%17%19%.331
Sep 1010041%23%15%.254

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Bryce Teodosio: every projection we've made →