MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 7Christian Moore
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.248wOBA vs RHP.236xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · SEALogan Gilbert
Throws rightBTB Stuff 107Trending Down
7.9projected K26%K%2.4trips vs this hitter
Logan Gilbert's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 43% usage, 95.9 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +17.3″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .318 vs league .339 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 43%Slider: 28% usage, 87.6 mph, -1.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .276 vs league .297 (pitcher's edge).Slider 28%Splitter: 11% usage, 83.4 mph, +6.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .219 vs league .240 (pitcher's edge).Splitter 11%Curveball: 6% usage, 80.3 mph, -5.5″ arm side, -10.3″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .274 vs league .295 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 6%Sweeper: 5% usage, 82.5 mph, -13.9″ arm side, -3.5″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .254 vs league .275 (pitcher's edge).Sweeper 5%Changeup: 4% usage, 85.4 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +5.2″ rise. Christian Moore: wOBA .290 vs league .311 (pitcher's edge).Changeup 4%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Christian Moore's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Christian Moore's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Home run: 106.3 mph at 23°Out: 89.5 mph at -12°Out: 83.5 mph at -17°Double: 102.7 mph at 23°Single: 72.3 mph at 43°Out: 63.7 mph at -53°Out: 103.9 mph at 33°Single: 98.7 mph at -6°Out: 87.9 mph at 9°Out: 100.9 mph at 19°Single: 58.8 mph at -52°Single: 101.5 mph at -7°Out: 85.4 mph at 30°Single: 98.3 mph at 12°Out: 72.3 mph at -8°Out: 90.1 mph at 43°Out: 90.6 mph at 51°Out: 85.7 mph at 30°Out: 75.5 mph at -39°Out: 77.8 mph at -5°Out: 106.6 mph at -7°Out: 84.5 mph at 68°Out: 102.3 mph at 17°Out: 68.4 mph at -12°Out: 61.7 mph at -8°Single: 97.4 mph at -11°Double: 102.2 mph at 30°Out: 89.6 mph at 45°Single: 105.9 mph at -2°Single: 98.3 mph at -2°Out: 104.8 mph at -16°Out: 93.2 mph at 1°Single: 95.5 mph at 17°Out: 99.4 mph at -32°Single: 70.3 mph at 17°Out: 104.9 mph at 3°Out: 87.3 mph at 2°Out: 85.5 mph at 22°Out: 80.4 mph at 48°Out: 71.6 mph at -17°
43% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit46.8%50.0%-3.2
2+ total bases24.7%26.7%-1.9
Home run9.6%9.4%+0.2
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-2.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
+0.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Christian Moore hits
Where they meet

.260 xwOBA for Christian Moore in the spots Logan Gilbert throws to righties

The average hitter in those same spots: .305 (-45 points). His best spot against righties is up and left, outside, and Logan Gilbert puts 10% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Logan Gilbert · where he throws to right-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing5%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 21% per swing3%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing2%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 9% per swing6%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 24% per swing6%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing3%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing6%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing7%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing5%10% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing10%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing4%16% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing16%28% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 58% per swing28%
All · 610 pitches · catcher's view
8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%4% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters4%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%16% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters16%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%
Fastball · 261 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%1% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters1%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%9% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9%11% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters11%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%21% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters21%30% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters30%
Slider · 173 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters5%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters30% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters30%53% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters53%
Splitter · 89 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters3%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters4%3% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters3%1% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters1%16% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters16%56% of his Sweeper pitches to right-handed hitters56%
Sweeper · 69 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Christian Moore · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .221 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 14 pitches seen.261xwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .226 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 16 pitches seen.277xwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .060 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 14 pitches seen.234xwOBA .309 shrunk (raw .231 on 5 PA) · league .342 · 17 pitches seen.309xwOBA .388 shrunk (raw .394 on 5 PA) · league .386 · 16 pitches seen.388xwOBA .307 shrunk (raw .278 on 6 PA) · league .321 · 23 pitches seen.307xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .000 on 1 PA) · league .308 · 8 pitches seen.284xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .142 on 9 PA) · league .351 · 21 pitches seen.261xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .266 on 9 PA) · league .292 · 23 pitches seen.281xwOBA .429 shrunk (raw .519 on 7 PA) · league .377 · 34 pitches seen.429xwOBA .275 shrunk (raw .279 on 5 PA) · league .274 · 29 pitches seen.275xwOBA .189 shrunk (raw .012 on 5 PA) · league .263 · 17 pitches seen.189xwOBA .182 shrunk (raw .103 on 14 PA) · league .274 · 85 pitches seen.182
vs RHP · 317 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 46% of 13 swings · league 20%46%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 9%8%Whiff 13% of 15 swings · league 11%13%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 14%25%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 13%15%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 17%15%Whiff 17% of 12 swings · league 28%17%Whiff 75% of 8 swings · league 24%75%Whiff 64% of 11 swings · league 32%64%Whiff 64% of 28 swings · league 49%64%
vs RHP · 317 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 71% of 14 pitches · league 62%71%Swings at 81% of 16 pitches · league 72%81%Swings at 50% of 14 pitches · league 66%50%Swings at 59% of 17 pitches · league 70%59%Swings at 75% of 16 pitches · league 76%75%Swings at 65% of 23 pitches · league 70%65%Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 65%50%Swings at 62% of 21 pitches · league 68%62%Swings at 56% of 23 pitches · league 60%56%Swings at 35% of 34 pitches · league 24%35%Swings at 28% of 29 pitches · league 34%28%Swings at 65% of 17 pitches · league 40%65%Swings at 33% of 85 pitches · league 32%33%
vs RHP · 317 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Christian Moore against each of Logan Gilbert's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball43%95.9+7″ / +17″.318.33929.2%20.0%46About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider28%87.6-1″ / +1″.276.29742.9%33.8%14About league average vs these
Splitter11%83.4+6″ / +0″.219.24054.8%43.4%2Little history vs this shape
Curveball6%80.3-6″ / -10″.274.29537.9%29.6%13About league average vs these
Sweeper5%82.5-14″ / -4″.254.27543.3%34.6%15About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Changeup4%85.4+15″ / +5″.290.31143.7%32.8%7Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Christian Moore · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.267.312.533.403.33937.5%6.2%35.7%85.1106.322.2%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1235.176.200.294.236.20837.1%2.9%31.9%84.7106.69.5%28.6%28.6%
Last 30 G2779.160.203.293.238.22335.4%3.8%30.1%84.9106.98.5%31.9%34.0%
90 days2779.160.203.293.238.22335.4%3.8%30.1%84.9106.98.5%31.9%34.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.250.250.250.225.40750.0%0.0%20.0%101.3103.950.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G921.263.333.316.298.30138.1%9.5%31.9%98.2105.918.2%72.7%27.3%
Last 30 G1938.235.316.294.289.31321.1%10.5%27.8%92.2105.912.0%48.0%24.0%
90 days1938.235.316.294.289.31321.1%10.5%27.8%92.2105.912.0%48.0%24.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 16%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.263.300.474.368.35340.0%5.0%30.2%88.0106.327.3%45.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1556.208.250.302.259.24337.5%5.4%31.9%89.4106.612.5%43.8%28.1%
Last 30 G30117.183.239.294.254.25230.8%6.0%29.4%87.4106.99.7%37.5%30.6%
90 days30117.183.239.294.254.25230.8%6.0%29.4%87.4106.99.7%37.5%30.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 72 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
Christian Moore · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches18trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.241 / .258running 17 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball96.7106.3231.588Home run
Sep 25RHPSinker95.989.5-12.125Out
Sep 25RHPFastball96.383.5-17.088Force out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.1102.7231.171Double
Sep 24RHPFastball94.972.343.305Single
Sep 24RHPChangeup84.563.7-53.269Out
Sep 23LHPSlider85.1103.9331.352Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball73.498.7-6.274Single
Sep 22RHPFastball98.187.99.488Double play
Sep 22RHPCutter89.3100.919.468Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball83.258.8-52.230Single
Sep 19LHPSweeper78.2101.5-7.250Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414101
Sep 24423001
Sep 23400003
Sep 22522001
Sep 20300012
Sep 19111000
Sep 18311001
Sep 16400003
Sep 15300001
Sep 14400003

Two strikes

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Logan Gilbert with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter16%37%37.0%17.6%21.3%
Fastball43%30%14.1%20.6%18.3%
Slider27%24%30.6%24.3%21.4%
Sweeper6%9%40.0%23.1%20.7%
Changeup6%1%33.3%25.0%18.4%
Christian Moore bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Christian Moore with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%52.2%43.3%
Whiff%30.4%23.5%
Contact%69.6%76.5%
Chase%38.5%39.4%
wOBA.203.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes38.6%30.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.283
K%30.7%
BB%8.2%
Whiff%12.6%
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%22.3%
Avg EV87.4

Against right-handers, last 90 days

79 PA
wOBA.248
xwOBA vs this mix.236against pitches like his
RV/100-1.69
Hard-hit%20.2%
K%33.6%
BB%6.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Logan GilbertRHP · SEA vs LAA
7.9projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 12 · 24.6 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 4.6%5%≤34 strikeouts: 5.9%6%45 strikeouts: 9.4%9%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 14.0%14%78 strikeouts: 13.8%14%89+ strikeouts: 40.0%40%9+book 7.5
Over 7.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%26.2%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%14.4%
Velo90.5
BTB Stuff107
Location103
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball43%11296.99.3%
Slider27%10787.418.9%
Splitter16%10682.621.2%
Changeup6%9186.514.5%
Sweeper6%9382.416.9%
Cutter1%10492.05.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 228513%12%38%.541
Sep 159626%17%19%.331
Sep 1010041%23%15%.254

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Christian Moore: every projection we've made →