MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SEA · batting 6Cole Young
Bats leftTalent grade AvgBalancedHot
.275wOBA vs LHP.296xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · LAAYusei Kikuchi
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Down
4.9projected K19%K%2.4trips vs this hitter
Yusei Kikuchi's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 42% usage, 95.2 mph, +9.1″ arm side, +16.3″ rise. Cole Young: wOBA .331 vs league .343 (about even).Fastball 42%Slider: 27% usage, 87.5 mph, -2.8″ arm side, +2.8″ rise. Cole Young: wOBA .265 vs league .277 (about even).Slider 27%Curveball: 12% usage, 81.9 mph, -5.6″ arm side, -4.8″ rise. Cole Young: wOBA .255 vs league .266 (about even).Curveball 12%Changeup: 10% usage, 86.8 mph, +11.8″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Cole Young: wOBA .308 vs league .319 (about even).Changeup 10%Cutter: 7% usage, 91.2 mph, -0.2″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Cole Young: wOBA .307 vs league .318 (about even).Cutter 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Cole Young's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Cole Young's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 104.2 mph at 25°Out: 101.7 mph at 6°Out: 83.8 mph at 28°Out: 93.1 mph at 30°Single: 91.8 mph at -13°Out: 91.5 mph at 37°Out: 67.9 mph at 62°Out: 91.6 mph at 28°Out: 83.5 mph at 51°Single: 88.3 mph at 14°Out: 89.9 mph at 27°Out: 91.3 mph at 38°Out: 95.9 mph at 10°Out: 101.3 mph at -21°Out: 94.2 mph at 24°Double: 104.0 mph at -6°Out: 102.9 mph at 4°Out: 101.2 mph at 10°Out: 53.0 mph at -22°Single: 77.0 mph at -6°Out: 79.8 mph at 56°Out: 83.0 mph at -10°Out: 96.0 mph at -19°Out: 84.9 mph at 36°Out: 81.3 mph at 56°Out: 107.6 mph at -5°Out: 67.9 mph at -10°Out: 102.3 mph at -20°Single: 97.1 mph at 19°Single: 97.0 mph at -8°Home run: 103.4 mph at 22°Out: 86.5 mph at -23°Triple: 100.0 mph at 35°Out: 101.5 mph at 26°Out: 79.6 mph at 7°Out: 99.8 mph at -10°Single: 86.0 mph at 7°Out: 97.0 mph at 33°Double: 104.4 mph at 23°Out: 55.6 mph at -33°
45% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit57.1%58.6%-1.5
2+ total bases30.8%32.4%-1.6
Home run8.7%9.3%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-0.5
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Cole Young hits
Where they meet

.294 xwOBA for Cole Young in the spots Yusei Kikuchi throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .302 (-8 points). His best spot against lefties is up-right, and Yusei Kikuchi puts 5% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Yusei Kikuchi · where he throws to left-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing5%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 29% per swing5%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing9%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing7%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing9%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing4%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing8%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing8%31% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 38% per swing31%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%
All · 159 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%1% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters1%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%23% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters23%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%
Fastball · 82 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters8%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters8%41% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters41%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters
Slider · 49 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%9% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters9%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters14% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters14%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters14% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters14%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%32% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters32%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%
Curveball · 22 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Cole Young · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .244 shrunk (raw .246 on 4 PA) · league .243 · 16 pitches seen.244xwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .221 on 8 PA) · league .296 · 25 pitches seen.266xwOBA .330 shrunk (raw .512 on 5 PA) · league .254 · 14 pitches seen.330xwOBA .347 shrunk (raw .405 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 31 pitches seen.347xwOBA .434 shrunk (raw .508 on 8 PA) · league .385 · 27 pitches seen.434xwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .257 on 5 PA) · league .340 · 25 pitches seen.316xwOBA .276 shrunk (raw .278 on 13 PA) · league .273 · 25 pitches seen.276xwOBA .310 shrunk (raw .229 on 6 PA) · league .350 · 21 pitches seen.310xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .200 on 4 PA) · league .299 · 15 pitches seen.274xwOBA .298 shrunk (raw .287 on 4 PA) · league .302 · 33 pitches seen.298xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .332 on 11 PA) · league .346 · 34 pitches seen.339xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .221 on 28 PA) · league .289 · 120 pitches seen.241xwOBA .275 shrunk (raw .318 on 5 PA) · league .257 · 23 pitches seen.275
vs LHP · 409 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 23% of 22 swings · league 21%23%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 23%8%Whiff 10% of 20 swings · league 9%10%Whiff 12% of 17 swings · league 10%12%Whiff 6% of 18 swings · league 11%6%Whiff 19% of 21 swings · league 17%19%Whiff 0% of 15 swings · league 14%0%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 25%13%Whiff 17% of 12 swings · league 29%17%Whiff 55% of 40 swings · league 48%55%Whiff 10% of 10 swings · league 34%10%
vs LHP · 409 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 50% of 16 pitches · league 63%50%Swings at 88% of 25 pitches · league 71%88%Swings at 86% of 14 pitches · league 64%86%Swings at 65% of 31 pitches · league 67%65%Swings at 63% of 27 pitches · league 76%63%Swings at 72% of 25 pitches · league 72%72%Swings at 84% of 25 pitches · league 59%84%Swings at 71% of 21 pitches · league 68%71%Swings at 67% of 15 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 24% of 33 pitches · league 30%24%Swings at 35% of 34 pitches · league 26%35%Swings at 33% of 120 pitches · league 31%33%Swings at 44% of 23 pitches · league 41%44%
vs LHP · 409 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Cole Young against each of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball42%95.2+9″ / +16″.331.34314.1%18.9%72About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider27%87.5-3″ / +3″.265.27733.4%33.3%58About league average vs these
Curveball12%81.9-6″ / -5″.255.26632.7%32.8%37About league average vs these
Changeup10%86.8+12″ / +7″.308.31917.8%23.1%36About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter7%91.2-0″ / +9″.307.31820.6%25.8%55About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Cole Young · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.000.125.000.088.38925.0%12.5%33.3%94.8104.220.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1225.217.280.391.292.37920.0%4.0%25.0%94.5104.416.7%66.7%38.9%
Last 30 G2148.140.229.233.215.29222.9%6.2%21.8%88.0104.49.4%43.8%28.1%
90 days54109.222.294.303.272.29621.1%6.4%19.2%87.8108.65.3%39.5%27.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 76 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 17%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.200.273.200.227.24918.2%9.1%22.2%87.695.90.0%12.5%62.5%
Last 15 G1431.233.258.333.261.22712.9%3.2%18.9%87.6107.63.8%30.8%30.8%
Last 30 G2871.219.296.344.287.27315.5%7.0%20.8%85.7110.65.7%28.3%34.0%
90 days67184.241.299.447.328.29714.1%6.0%14.8%88.6111.15.6%36.8%34.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 20%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.118.211.118.168.30821.1%10.5%28.2%90.3104.27.7%23.1%53.8%
Last 15 G1556.226.268.358.275.29516.1%3.6%21.8%90.4107.69.1%45.5%34.1%
Last 30 G30119.187.269.299.258.28118.5%6.7%21.2%86.6110.67.1%34.1%31.8%
90 days73293.234.297.394.307.29716.7%6.1%16.5%88.3111.15.5%37.7%32.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 220 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 19%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
Cole Young · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating40Below average
Last 100 pitches70trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.309 / .306results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPSlider85.8104.2251.532Out
Sep 25LHPSlider83.8101.76.593Double play
Sep 25RHPSlider91.183.828.086Out
Sep 24LHPSlider80.793.130.189Out
Sep 24RHPFastball94.791.8-13.148Single
Sep 24LHPSweeper79.791.537.061Out
Sep 23RHPCutter88.867.962.003Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup85.791.628.096Out
Sep 23LHPSlider83.383.551.038Out
Sep 22RHPCutter88.488.314.903Single
Sep 20RHPFastball93.189.927.118Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup84.691.338.036Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400001
Sep 24411010
Sep 23400001
Sep 22411012
Sep 20300000
Sep 18412000
Sep 16400002
Sep 15411000
Sep 14400001
Sep 13100000

Two strikes

Yusei Kikuchi LAA · LHPwith two strikes
Yusei Kikuchi with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball49%45%6.2%13.6%18.4%
Slider27%27%22.7%12.2%22.2%
Splitter12%16%23.1%20.7%20.7%
Curveball12%12%26.7%18.2%20.9%
Cutter0%1%0.0%0.0%18.3%
Cole Young bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Cole Young with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%40.2%44.3%
Whiff%22.2%23.6%
Contact%77.8%76.4%
Chase%38.7%38.0%
wOBA.211.223
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.5%23.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.301
K%17.4%
BB%6.9%
Whiff%8.6%
Barrel%4.1%
Hard-hit%27.4%
Avg EV88.3

Against left-handers, last 90 days

108 PA
wOBA.275
xwOBA vs this mix.296against pitches like his
RV/100-1.18
Hard-hit%27.6%
K%21.0%
BB%6.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yusei KikuchiLHP · LAA vs SEA
4.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 23.6 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 28.0%28%≤34 strikeouts: 17.8%18%45 strikeouts: 17.4%17%56 strikeouts: 14.3%14%67 strikeouts: 10.0%10%78 strikeouts: 6.1%6%89+ strikeouts: 6.4%6%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%19.3%
BB%10.7%
Whiff%9.1%
Velo90.6
BTB Stuff97
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball49%9895.66.7%
Slider27%9087.910.3%
Splitter12%12286.413.6%
Curveball12%8780.012.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 22889%5%50%.382
Sep 1610317%7%29%.428
Sep 118825%8%25%.338

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yusei Kikuchi LAA · LHPvsSEA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Cole Young: every projection we've made →