MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 5Moisés Ballesteros
Bats leftTalent grade AvgBalancedNormal
.248wOBA vs RHP.278xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · SEALogan Gilbert
Throws rightBTB Stuff 107Trending Down
7.9projected K26%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Logan Gilbert's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 43% usage, 95.9 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +17.3″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .336 vs league .348 (about even).Fastball 43%Slider: 28% usage, 87.6 mph, -1.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .315 vs league .327 (about even).Slider 28%Splitter: 11% usage, 83.4 mph, +6.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .232 vs league .243 (about even).Splitter 11%Curveball: 6% usage, 80.3 mph, -5.5″ arm side, -10.3″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .285 vs league .297 (about even).Curveball 6%Sweeper: 5% usage, 82.5 mph, -13.9″ arm side, -3.5″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .298 vs league .310 (about even).Sweeper 5%Changeup: 4% usage, 85.4 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +5.2″ rise. Moisés Ballesteros: wOBA .291 vs league .302 (about even).Changeup 4%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Moisés Ballesteros's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit55.7%57.0%-1.3
2+ total bases31.3%31.4%-0.1
Home run11.3%9.4%+1.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.0
Home run
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Moisés Ballesteros hits
Logan Gilbert · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing3%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing2%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 26% per swing9%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing6%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing10%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing4%19% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 39% per swing19%23% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 57% per swing23%
All · 716 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%12% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters12%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%
Fastball · 311 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%12% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters12%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%14% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters14%36% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters36%
Slider · 187 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%7% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters3%10% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters10%2% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2%35% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters35%32% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters32%
Splitter · 119 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%5% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters5%17% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters17%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters29% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters29%22% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters22%
Changeup · 77 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Pitch by pitch

Moisés Ballesteros against each of Logan Gilbert's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball43%95.9+7″ / +17″.336.34826.1%18.2%57About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider28%87.6-1″ / +1″.315.32732.3%31.3%20About league average vs these
Splitter11%83.4+6″ / +0″.232.24334.4%37.0%12About league average vs these
Curveball6%80.3-6″ / -10″.285.29731.2%29.9%22About league average vs these
Sweeper5%82.5-14″ / -4″.298.31030.0%29.0%13About league average vs these
Changeup4%85.4+15″ / +5″.291.30225.3%27.8%40About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

No pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.

FormNormal
Contact rating21Poor
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.249 / .284running 35 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Two strikes

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Logan Gilbert with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter16%37%37.0%17.6%21.3%
Fastball43%30%14.1%20.6%18.3%
Slider27%24%30.6%24.3%21.4%
Sweeper6%9%40.0%23.1%20.7%
Changeup6%1%33.3%25.0%18.4%
Moisés Ballesteros bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Moisés Ballesteros with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.0%41.3%
Whiff%23.7%21.6%
Contact%76.3%78.4%
Chase%41.8%39.4%
wOBA.222.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes31.3%28.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.305
K%24.9%
BB%8.4%
Whiff%13.5%
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%27.8%
Avg EV89.6

Against right-handers, last 90 days

121 PA
wOBA.248
xwOBA vs this mix.278against pitches like his
RV/100-1.61
Hard-hit%30.0%
K%27.4%
BB%7.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Logan GilbertRHP · SEA vs LAA
7.9projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 12 · 24.6 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 4.6%5%≤34 strikeouts: 5.9%6%45 strikeouts: 9.4%9%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 14.0%14%78 strikeouts: 13.8%14%89+ strikeouts: 40.0%40%9+book 7.5
Over 7.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%26.2%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%14.4%
Velo90.5
BTB Stuff107
Location103
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball43%11296.99.3%
Slider27%10787.418.9%
Splitter16%10682.621.2%
Changeup6%9186.514.5%
Sweeper6%9382.416.9%
Cutter1%10492.05.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 228513%12%38%.541
Sep 159626%17%19%.331
Sep 1010041%23%15%.254

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Moisés Ballesteros: every projection we've made →