MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 3Wade Meckler
Bats leftTalent grade CContactNormal
.353wOBA vs RHP.320xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · SEALogan Gilbert
Throws rightBTB Stuff 107Trending Down
7.9projected K26%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Logan Gilbert's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 43% usage, 95.9 mph, +6.6″ arm side, +17.3″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .360 vs league .348 (about even).Fastball 43%Slider: 28% usage, 87.6 mph, -1.4″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .338 vs league .327 (about even).Slider 28%Splitter: 11% usage, 83.4 mph, +6.0″ arm side, +0.2″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .255 vs league .243 (about even).Splitter 11%Curveball: 6% usage, 80.3 mph, -5.5″ arm side, -10.3″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .308 vs league .297 (about even).Curveball 6%Sweeper: 5% usage, 82.5 mph, -13.9″ arm side, -3.5″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .321 vs league .310 (about even).Sweeper 5%Changeup: 4% usage, 85.4 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +5.2″ rise. Wade Meckler: wOBA .313 vs league .302 (about even).Changeup 4%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Wade Meckler's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Wade Meckler's last 40 balls in playHit (17)Out (23)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 72.9 mph at 46°Single: 102.3 mph at 14°Single: 53.3 mph at -45°Out: 82.9 mph at -4°Triple: 95.6 mph at 2°Single: 96.9 mph at 13°Single: 102.2 mph at 11°Single: 93.4 mph at -4°Out: 97.8 mph at 15°Out: 100.1 mph at 30°Single: 94.9 mph at 2°Out: 95.7 mph at 20°Out: 94.9 mph at -9°Single: 91.2 mph at 3°Out: 89.4 mph at 34°Out: 100.9 mph at 6°Out: 98.3 mph at 19°Single: 98.8 mph at 13°Out: 86.2 mph at 34°Out: 76.5 mph at 41°Out: 93.2 mph at 30°Out: 54.6 mph at -25°Out: 92.6 mph at -9°Single: 89.0 mph at 3°Out: 60.9 mph at 37°Out: 93.1 mph at 20°Single: 87.6 mph at -22°Single: 79.5 mph at 8°Out: 101.0 mph at -30°Out: 77.8 mph at 0°Single: 96.5 mph at 6°Out: 81.5 mph at 31°Single: 95.3 mph at -1°Out: 99.3 mph at -6°Single: 73.9 mph at 22°Out: 93.5 mph at 36°Out: 72.8 mph at 38°Out: 89.8 mph at 33°Double: 96.5 mph at 21°Out: 87.4 mph at -27°
38% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit61.1%63.4%-2.3
2+ total bases30.3%32.6%-2.3
Home run6.0%6.7%-0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-0.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Wade Meckler hits
Where they meet

.318 xwOBA for Wade Meckler in the spots Logan Gilbert throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .304 (+13 points). His best spot against righties is up and left, outside, and Logan Gilbert puts 10% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Logan Gilbert · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing3%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing2%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 26% per swing9%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing6%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing10%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing4%19% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 39% per swing19%23% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 57% per swing23%
All · 716 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%12% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters12%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%13% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters13%
Fastball · 311 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%12% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters12%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%14% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters14%36% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters36%
Slider · 187 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%7% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters3%10% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters10%2% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2%35% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters35%32% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters32%
Splitter · 119 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%7% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%5% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters5%17% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters17%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters29% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters29%22% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters22%
Changeup · 77 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Wade Meckler · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .315 shrunk (raw .359 on 11 PA) · league .274 · 32 pitches seen.315xwOBA .329 shrunk (raw .373 on 6 PA) · league .307 · 21 pitches seen.329xwOBA .246 shrunk (raw .217 on 7 PA) · league .263 · 16 pitches seen.246xwOBA .272 shrunk (raw .236 on 23 PA) · league .342 · 52 pitches seen.272xwOBA .378 shrunk (raw .373 on 22 PA) · league .386 · 48 pitches seen.378xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .286 on 12 PA) · league .321 · 29 pitches seen.303xwOBA .345 shrunk (raw .377 on 14 PA) · league .308 · 39 pitches seen.345xwOBA .315 shrunk (raw .292 on 19 PA) · league .351 · 51 pitches seen.315xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .314 on 13 PA) · league .292 · 39 pitches seen.303xwOBA .499 shrunk (raw .611 on 13 PA) · league .377 · 93 pitches seen.499xwOBA .324 shrunk (raw .522 on 3 PA) · league .274 · 16 pitches seen.324xwOBA .223 shrunk (raw .201 on 22 PA) · league .263 · 108 pitches seen.223xwOBA .318 shrunk (raw .349 on 17 PA) · league .274 · 118 pitches seen.318
vs RHP · 662 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 20% of 20 swings · league 22%20%Whiff 19% of 16 swings · league 20%19%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 13% of 40 swings · league 10%13%Whiff 5% of 42 swings · league 9%5%Whiff 11% of 19 swings · league 11%11%Whiff 19% of 26 swings · league 14%19%Whiff 12% of 33 swings · league 13%12%Whiff 6% of 17 swings · league 17%6%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 28%0%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 24%17%Whiff 56% of 32 swings · league 32%56%Whiff 62% of 21 swings · league 49%62%
vs RHP · 662 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 63% of 32 pitches · league 62%63%Swings at 76% of 21 pitches · league 72%76%Swings at 69% of 16 pitches · league 66%69%Swings at 77% of 52 pitches · league 70%77%Swings at 88% of 48 pitches · league 76%88%Swings at 66% of 29 pitches · league 70%66%Swings at 67% of 39 pitches · league 65%67%Swings at 65% of 51 pitches · league 68%65%Swings at 44% of 39 pitches · league 60%44%Swings at 11% of 93 pitches · league 24%11%Swings at 38% of 16 pitches · league 34%38%Swings at 30% of 108 pitches · league 40%30%Swings at 18% of 118 pitches · league 32%18%
vs RHP · 662 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Wade Meckler against each of Logan Gilbert's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball43%95.9+7″ / +17″.360.34813.0%18.2%64About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider28%87.6-1″ / +1″.338.32732.3%31.3%19About league average vs these
Splitter11%83.4+6″ / +0″.255.24343.0%37.0%6Little history vs this shape
Curveball6%80.3-6″ / -10″.308.29731.1%29.9%14About league average vs these
Sweeper5%82.5-14″ / -4″.321.31030.1%29.0%16About league average vs these
Changeup4%85.4+15″ / +5″.313.30233.5%27.8%38About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Wade Meckler · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.467.500.667.503.43712.5%6.2%5.9%90.9102.37.7%61.5%46.2%
Last 15 G1442.342.405.447.379.33216.7%7.1%17.5%90.2102.33.2%45.2%35.5%
Last 30 G2893.341.419.427.390.34211.8%10.8%16.2%87.6102.32.8%42.3%32.4%
90 days59183.319.390.393.360.32718.0%9.3%19.8%86.2102.51.5%38.9%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 26%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 1%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.500.571.500.567.53914.3%14.3%7.1%95.297.80.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1017.333.412.333.369.40611.8%11.8%10.7%86.3100.10.0%25.0%33.3%
Last 30 G1727.227.346.227.300.36214.8%11.1%11.6%81.9100.10.0%33.3%22.2%
90 days2439.324.395.353.358.32610.3%7.7%8.1%81.6100.10.0%23.3%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 73%Line drive 13%Fly ball 10%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.476.522.619.520.46513.0%8.7%6.5%91.9102.35.9%52.9%41.2%
Last 15 G1559.340.407.415.376.35215.3%8.5%15.4%89.1102.32.3%39.5%34.9%
Last 30 G30120.317.403.385.371.34612.5%10.8%15.1%86.4102.32.2%40.4%30.3%
90 days62222.320.391.386.359.32716.7%9.0%17.7%85.3102.51.2%36.0%32.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 161 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 24%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 1%
Wade Meckler · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating56Average
Last 100 pitches97trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.348 / .322running 26 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSplitter82.472.946.203Double
Sep 25RHPSlider85.4102.314.773Single
Sep 25RHPSlider84.453.3-45.223Single
Sep 25RHPSweeper84.682.9-4.165Out
Sep 25RHPFastball95.595.62.441Triple
Sep 24RHPFastball94.796.913.907Single
Sep 24RHPSinker95.7102.211.912Single
Sep 23LHPFastball91.093.4-4.248Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.397.815.758Out
Sep 23RHPCutter90.8100.130.942Out
Sep 23LHPSlider83.294.92.415Single
Sep 22RHPFastball97.295.720.360Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25547000
Sep 24522012
Sep 23422000
Sep 22522010
Sep 20400001
Sep 19611000
Sep 18311001
Sep 17522001
Sep 16500012
Sep 15422001

Two strikes

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPwith two strikes
Logan Gilbert with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter16%37%37.0%17.6%21.3%
Fastball43%30%14.1%20.6%18.3%
Slider27%24%30.6%24.3%21.4%
Sweeper6%9%40.0%23.1%20.7%
Changeup6%1%33.3%25.0%18.4%
Wade Meckler bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Wade Meckler with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.7%41.3%
Whiff%29.2%21.6%
Contact%70.8%78.4%
Chase%32.1%39.4%
wOBA.243.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes37.3%28.8%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCContact type
wOBA.339
K%17.8%
BB%8.5%
Whiff%8.2%
Barrel%2.4%
Hard-hit%26.0%
Avg EV85.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

180 PA
wOBA.353
xwOBA vs this mix.320against pitches like his
RV/1000.29
Hard-hit%27.4%
K%18.6%
BB%8.6%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Logan GilbertRHP · SEA vs LAA
7.9projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 12 · 24.6 batters over 5.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 4.6%5%≤34 strikeouts: 5.9%6%45 strikeouts: 9.4%9%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 14.0%14%78 strikeouts: 13.8%14%89+ strikeouts: 40.0%40%9+book 7.5
Over 7.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%26.2%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%14.4%
Velo90.5
BTB Stuff107
Location103
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball43%11296.99.3%
Slider27%10787.418.9%
Splitter16%10682.621.2%
Changeup6%9186.514.5%
Sweeper6%9382.416.9%
Cutter1%10492.05.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 228513%12%38%.541
Sep 159626%17%19%.331
Sep 1010041%23%15%.254

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Logan Gilbert SEA · RHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

7 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Wade Meckler: every projection we've made →