MLBengine v14
← STL at MIL, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · American Family Field · lineup projected
Hitter · STL · batting 9Victor Scott II
Bats leftTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.297wOBA vs RHP.315xwOBA vs his mix3.3expected PA
Starter · MILJacob Misiorowski
Throws rightBTB Stuff 134Trending Down
7.8projected K37%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jacob Misiorowski's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 61% usage, 100.2 mph, +10.7″ arm side, +15.6″ rise. Victor Scott II: wOBA .280 vs league .319 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 61%Slider: 15% usage, 93.1 mph, -3.1″ arm side, +5.5″ rise. Victor Scott II: wOBA .294 vs league .334 (pitcher's edge).Slider 15%Curveball: 11% usage, 87.7 mph, -5.9″ arm side, -8.5″ rise. Victor Scott II: wOBA .245 vs league .285 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 11%Cutter: 10% usage, 95.9 mph, -1.6″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Victor Scott II: wOBA .295 vs league .334 (pitcher's edge).Cutter 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Victor Scott II's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit45.4%49.3%-3.9
2+ total bases21.0%23.6%-2.6
Home run4.8%5.4%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-3.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
-2.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.1
Home run
Starter
-0.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+0.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Victor Scott II hits
Jacob Misiorowski · where he throws to left-handed hitters
8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 46% per swing8%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 36% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing4%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing6%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing7%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing6%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing3%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing4%23% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 63% per swing23%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing6%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing5%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 73% per swing18%
All · 658 pitches · catcher's view
10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%31% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters31%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%
Fastball · 423 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%12% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters12%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%9% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters9%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%15% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters15%41% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters41%
Curveball · 96 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%13% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters13%10% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10%1% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters1%3% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%33% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters33%
Cutter · 95 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters5%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters9%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters7%2% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters7%49% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters49%
Slider · 43 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Pitch by pitch

Victor Scott II against each of Jacob Misiorowski's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball61%100.2+11″ / +16″.280.31923.3%26.5%61Struggles with these
Slider15%93.1-3″ / +6″.294.33429.6%25.1%48Struggles with these; misses them more than most
Curveball11%87.7-6″ / -9″.245.28543.3%37.3%26Struggles with these
Cutter10%95.9-2″ / +7″.295.33418.4%21.6%43Struggles with these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

No pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.

FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.168 / .226running 58 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/7
2+ total bases0/7
Home run0/7

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Two strikes

Jacob Misiorowski MIL · RHPwith two strikes
Jacob Misiorowski with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball63%58%33.8%31.0%18.3%
Curveball11%19%36.4%28.8%20.7%
Slider11%16%35.9%25.5%21.4%
Cutter14%7%18.8%19.2%18.7%
Victor Scott II bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Victor Scott II with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%45.5%41.3%
Whiff%25.8%21.6%
Contact%74.2%78.4%
Chase%31.8%39.4%
wOBA.220.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes33.9%29.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.286
K%23.6%
BB%8.6%
Whiff%10.6%
Barrel%2.7%
Hard-hit%18.5%
Avg EV81.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

6 PA
wOBA.297
xwOBA vs this mix.315against pitches like his
RV/100-0.50
Hard-hit%25.8%
K%20.5%
BB%6.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jacob MisiorowskiRHP · MIL vs STL
7.8projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 11 · 21.3 batters over 5.0 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 5.2%5%≤34 strikeouts: 6.5%6%45 strikeouts: 10.1%10%56 strikeouts: 12.9%13%67 strikeouts: 14.2%14%78 strikeouts: 13.7%14%89+ strikeouts: 37.4%37%9+book 7.5
Over 7.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%37.3%
BB%5.5%
Whiff%18.3%
Velo97.7
BTB Stuff134
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball63%142100.918.5%
Cutter14%12895.611.2%
Curveball11%10788.521.0%
Slider11%12791.224.8%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 158235%23%15%.274
Sep 89338%15%21%.223
Sep 29224%12%14%.433

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jacob Misiorowski MIL · RHPvsSTL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameSTL @ MIL →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Victor Scott II: every projection we've made →