MLBengine v14
← TEX at MIN, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup projected
Hitter · TEX · batting 3Corey Seager
Bats leftTalent grade APowerCold
.326wOBA vs RHP.345xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · MINDean Kremer
Throws rightBTB Stuff 92Trending Up
4.5projected K22%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Dean Kremer's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 33% usage, 93.6 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +17.5″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .404 vs league .359 (hitter's edge).Fastball 33%Cutter: 23% usage, 87.6 mph, -4.8″ arm side, +7.1″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .387 vs league .342 (hitter's edge).Cutter 23%Sinker: 14% usage, 92.3 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +11.6″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .406 vs league .361 (hitter's edge).Sinker 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 77.2 mph, -8.6″ arm side, -13.7″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .340 vs league .296 (hitter's edge).Curveball 12%Splitter: 11% usage, 82.6 mph, +10.4″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .341 vs league .296 (hitter's edge).Splitter 11%Changeup: 6% usage, 84.5 mph, +15.4″ arm side, +3.5″ rise. Corey Seager: wOBA .343 vs league .299 (hitter's edge).Changeup 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Corey Seager's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Corey Seager's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 70.9 mph at -15°Out: 106.9 mph at 19°Single: 106.3 mph at 13°Out: 97.7 mph at 21°Home run: 107.5 mph at 24°Out: 95.6 mph at -15°Out: 79.2 mph at -31°Out: 70.8 mph at 46°Out: 95.9 mph at -15°Out: 89.2 mph at 6°Out: 83.0 mph at 5°Out: 92.5 mph at 32°Out: 82.2 mph at 72°Out: 104.0 mph at 4°Out: 74.5 mph at 13°Single: 103.4 mph at 9°Double: 107.2 mph at 22°Out: 105.6 mph at 16°Out: 89.6 mph at -20°Out: 94.1 mph at 36°Out: 86.8 mph at -5°Single: 100.1 mph at 11°Out: 92.9 mph at 29°Single: 78.4 mph at 18°Single: 67.2 mph at 45°Out: 83.1 mph at 53°Single: 108.8 mph at 1°Single: 106.3 mph at -5°Out: 85.8 mph at -14°Home run: 110.3 mph at 31°Out: 71.9 mph at -30°Single: 105.8 mph at -3°Double: 108.4 mph at 14°Out: 98.6 mph at -8°Out: 85.2 mph at 45°Out: 96.8 mph at -5°Out: 86.6 mph at -9°Out: 92.7 mph at -1°Out: 95.2 mph at -10°Out: 94.5 mph at 51°
48% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit67.3%66.5%+0.8
2+ total bases46.0%44.5%+1.5
Home run19.6%18.3%+1.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.9
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+2.5
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-1.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Corey Seager hits
Where they meet

.326 xwOBA for Corey Seager in the spots Dean Kremer throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .314 (+11 points). His best spot against righties is middle, and Dean Kremer puts 6% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Dean Kremer · where he throws to left-handed hitters
6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing6%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 6% per swing4%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing2%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 16% per swing8%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing6%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing3%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing5%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing3%21% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing21%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing3%17% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing17%17% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 57% per swing17%
All · 692 pitches · catcher's view
10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%31% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters31%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%
Fastball · 243 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters7%2% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%7% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%17% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters17%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%32% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters32%17% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters17%
Splitter · 214 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters6%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%6% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters7%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%17% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters17%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters22% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters22%24% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters24%
Curveball · 100 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%1% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters1%12% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters12%11% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters11%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%22% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters22%1% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters1%21% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters21%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%
Sinker · 73 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters14% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters14%2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters61% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters61%
Cutter · 57 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Corey Seager · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .239 shrunk (raw .180 on 7 PA) · league .274 · 20 pitches seen.239xwOBA .357 shrunk (raw .442 on 7 PA) · league .307 · 17 pitches seen.357xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .422 on 4 PA) · league .263 · 12 pitches seen.303xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .267 on 13 PA) · league .342 · 36 pitches seen.303xwOBA .539 shrunk (raw .723 on 10 PA) · league .386 · 27 pitches seen.539xwOBA .348 shrunk (raw .402 on 6 PA) · league .321 · 23 pitches seen.348xwOBA .215 shrunk (raw .090 on 9 PA) · league .308 · 18 pitches seen.215xwOBA .384 shrunk (raw .412 on 14 PA) · league .351 · 24 pitches seen.384xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .194 on 8 PA) · league .292 · 17 pitches seen.253xwOBA .368 shrunk (raw .349 on 6 PA) · league .377 · 69 pitches seen.368xwOBA .295 shrunk (raw .344 on 5 PA) · league .274 · 29 pitches seen.295xwOBA .281 shrunk (raw .297 on 14 PA) · league .263 · 78 pitches seen.281xwOBA .312 shrunk (raw .340 on 16 PA) · league .274 · 96 pitches seen.312
vs RHP · 466 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 35% of 17 swings · league 22%35%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 20%14%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 21% of 33 swings · league 10%21%Whiff 12% of 26 swings · league 9%12%Whiff 6% of 18 swings · league 11%6%Whiff 13% of 15 swings · league 14%13%Whiff 19% of 21 swings · league 13%19%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 17%14%Whiff 69% of 13 swings · league 28%69%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 24%21%Whiff 59% of 32 swings · league 32%59%Whiff 40% of 25 swings · league 49%40%
vs RHP · 466 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 85% of 20 pitches · league 62%85%Swings at 82% of 17 pitches · league 72%82%Swings at 83% of 12 pitches · league 66%83%Swings at 92% of 36 pitches · league 70%92%Swings at 96% of 27 pitches · league 76%96%Swings at 78% of 23 pitches · league 70%78%Swings at 83% of 18 pitches · league 65%83%Swings at 88% of 24 pitches · league 68%88%Swings at 82% of 17 pitches · league 60%82%Swings at 19% of 69 pitches · league 24%19%Swings at 48% of 29 pitches · league 34%48%Swings at 41% of 78 pitches · league 40%41%Swings at 26% of 96 pitches · league 32%26%
vs RHP · 466 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Corey Seager against each of Dean Kremer's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball33%93.6+8″ / +18″.404.35920.9%17.7%461Hits these better than most
Cutter23%87.6-5″ / +7″.387.34224.7%22.8%268Hits these better than most
Sinker14%92.3+15″ / +12″.406.36117.9%15.0%421Hits these better than most
Curveball12%77.2-9″ / -14″.340.29625.1%25.7%106Hits these better than most
Splitter11%82.6+10″ / +9″.341.29626.5%28.5%133Hits these better than most
Changeup6%84.5+15″ / +4″.343.29925.6%27.8%304Hits these better than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Corey Seager · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.083.083.083.075.24325.0%0.0%18.8%91.4106.911.1%44.4%33.3%
Last 15 G1136.147.194.206.189.30219.4%5.6%25.7%93.7108.47.7%50.0%30.8%
Last 30 G2571.206.296.349.293.36819.7%11.3%27.7%93.3108.410.4%54.2%35.4%
90 days44122.239.320.367.318.34918.9%10.7%27.0%92.6108.49.4%54.1%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 85 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 25%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.111.111.444.222.28455.6%0.0%43.5%88.8107.525.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1130.310.333.621.403.34833.3%0.0%33.3%90.1110.315.8%36.8%42.1%
Last 30 G2562.281.323.544.380.36524.2%3.2%29.4%91.1110.316.3%44.2%48.8%
90 days4092.301.359.578.406.39123.9%6.5%30.1%92.2110.317.7%48.4%48.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 27%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.095.095.238.138.26038.1%0.0%29.1%90.6107.515.4%46.2%38.5%
Last 15 G1566.222.258.397.288.32325.8%3.0%29.1%92.2110.311.1%44.4%35.6%
Last 30 G30133.242.308.442.334.36721.8%7.5%28.5%92.3110.313.2%49.5%41.8%
90 days50214.266.336.458.356.36721.0%8.9%28.2%92.4110.312.9%51.7%40.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 26%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 7%
Corey Seager · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches51trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.360 / .390running 30 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper81.570.9-15.035Out
Sep 25RHPSinker92.6106.919.884Out
Sep 25RHPSweeper79.5106.313.883Single
Sep 24LHPCurveball76.797.721.371Out
Sep 24LHPFastball96.5107.5241.915Home run
Sep 23RHPChangeup86.395.6-15.130Out
Sep 23LHPSinker94.279.2-31.035Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper76.370.846.231Out
Sep 20RHPSinker96.395.9-15.130Out
Sep 20RHPCurveball75.189.26.414Force out
Sep 20RHPCurveball88.083.05.257Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker96.492.532.178Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25411001
Sep 24414102
Sep 23400002
Sep 22400003
Sep 20500000
Sep 19411001
Sep 18512011
Sep 17411001
Sep 16511002
Sep 15422001

Two strikes

Dean Kremer MIN · RHPwith two strikes
Dean Kremer with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter23%40%32.5%20.7%21.3%
Fastball30%27%15.7%14.6%18.3%
Cutter20%18%31.7%22.1%18.7%
Sinker14%8%5.9%17.2%17.7%
Curveball12%5%0.0%0.0%20.7%
Slider1%2%0.0%0.0%21.4%
Corey Seager bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Corey Seager with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%38.2%41.3%
Whiff%21.5%21.6%
Contact%78.5%78.4%
Chase%31.3%39.4%
wOBA.260.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes20.8%20.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.366
K%20.6%
BB%9.4%
Whiff%14.5%
Barrel%9.1%
Hard-hit%35.3%
Avg EV92.2

Against right-handers, last 90 days

118 PA
wOBA.326
xwOBA vs this mix.345against pitches like his
RV/100-0.28
Hard-hit%36.7%
K%18.6%
BB%8.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Dean KremerRHP · MIN vs TEX
4.5projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 21.6 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 34.8%35%≤34 strikeouts: 19.0%19%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 12.6%13%67 strikeouts: 8.1%8%78 strikeouts: 4.6%5%89+ strikeouts: 4.0%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%22.1%
BB%9.0%
Whiff%11.7%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff92
Location97
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball30%10292.57.4%
Splitter23%8482.318.6%
Cutter20%10987.015.9%
Sinker14%6791.94.8%
Curveball12%8176.510.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 209636%16%18%.168
Sep 149426%14%26%.189
Sep 86915%13%15%.315

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Dean Kremer MIN · RHPvsTEX lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Corey Seager: every projection we've made →