MLBengine v14
← TEX at MIN, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup projected
Hitter · TEX · batting 2Josh Jung
Bats rightTalent grade APowerNormal
.330wOBA vs RHP.330xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · MINDean Kremer
Throws rightBTB Stuff 92Trending Up
4.5projected K22%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Dean Kremer's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 33% usage, 93.6 mph, +8.4″ arm side, +17.5″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .347 vs league .347 (about even).Fastball 33%Cutter: 23% usage, 87.6 mph, -4.8″ arm side, +7.1″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .306 vs league .305 (about even).Cutter 23%Sinker: 14% usage, 92.3 mph, +15.1″ arm side, +11.6″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .354 vs league .354 (about even).Sinker 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 77.2 mph, -8.6″ arm side, -13.7″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .310 vs league .309 (about even).Curveball 12%Splitter: 11% usage, 82.6 mph, +10.4″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .305 vs league .304 (about even).Splitter 11%Changeup: 6% usage, 84.5 mph, +15.4″ arm side, +3.5″ rise. Josh Jung: wOBA .314 vs league .313 (about even).Changeup 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Josh Jung's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit66.3%65.0%+1.2
2+ total bases40.5%39.7%+0.9
Home run12.3%12.8%-0.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.0
Home run
Starter
+0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Josh Jung hits
Dean Kremer · where he throws to right-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 12% per swing4%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 24% per swing5%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing7%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing7%1% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing1%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing5%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 39% per swing6%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 60% per swing5%11% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing11%2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 100% per swing2%42% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 54% per swing42%
All · 525 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters1%2% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters3%4% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters1%2% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters2%6% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters1%9% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters9%0% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters62% of his Cutter pitches to right-handed hitters62%
Cutter · 182 pitches · catcher's view
10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%22% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters22%0% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters17% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters17%
Fastball · 121 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters6%1% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters1%7% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters7%13% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters13%11% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters11%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters5%10% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters10%2% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters2%4% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters4%5% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters5%27% of his Sinker pitches to right-handed hitters27%
Sinker · 95 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%4% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1%10% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters10%4% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters4%1% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters1%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%9% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters9%9% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters9%7% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7%3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%44% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters44%
Splitter · 71 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%4% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters4%0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters10% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters10%6% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters6%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%8% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters8%6% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters6%4% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters4%44% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters44%
Curveball · 50 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Pitch by pitch

Josh Jung against each of Dean Kremer's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball33%93.6+8″ / +18″.347.34720.1%19.3%305About league average vs these
Cutter23%87.6-5″ / +7″.306.30529.2%29.3%224About league average vs these
Sinker14%92.3+15″ / +12″.354.35411.8%11.6%324About league average vs these
Curveball12%77.2-9″ / -14″.310.30925.5%26.9%50About league average vs these
Splitter11%82.6+10″ / +9″.305.30431.6%31.0%28About league average vs these
Changeup6%84.5+15″ / +4″.314.31333.6%32.0%74About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight

No pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.

FormNormal
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches97steady
wOBA / xwOBA.417 / .387running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Two strikes

Dean Kremer MIN · RHPwith two strikes
Dean Kremer with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter23%40%32.5%20.7%21.3%
Fastball30%27%15.7%14.6%18.3%
Cutter20%18%31.7%22.1%18.7%
Sinker14%8%5.9%17.2%17.7%
Curveball12%5%0.0%0.0%20.7%
Slider1%2%0.0%0.0%21.4%
Josh Jung bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Josh Jung with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.9%43.3%
Whiff%24.4%23.5%
Contact%75.6%76.5%
Chase%38.0%39.4%
wOBA.230.235
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.0%23.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.347
K%22.3%
BB%7.2%
Whiff%9.7%
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%33.6%
Avg EV90.5

Against right-handers, last 90 days

64 PA
wOBA.330
xwOBA vs this mix.330against pitches like his
RV/1001.03
Hard-hit%30.6%
K%23.0%
BB%8.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Dean KremerRHP · MIN vs TEX
4.5projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 21.6 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 34.8%35%≤34 strikeouts: 19.0%19%45 strikeouts: 16.9%17%56 strikeouts: 12.6%13%67 strikeouts: 8.1%8%78 strikeouts: 4.6%5%89+ strikeouts: 4.0%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%22.1%
BB%9.0%
Whiff%11.7%
Velo86.9
BTB Stuff92
Location97
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball30%10292.57.4%
Splitter23%8482.318.6%
Cutter20%10987.015.9%
Sinker14%6791.94.8%
Curveball12%8176.510.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 209636%16%18%.168
Sep 149426%14%26%.189
Sep 86915%13%15%.315

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Dean Kremer MIN · RHPvsTEX lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Josh Jung: every projection we've made →