Hitter · MIN · batting 1Luke Keaschall
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
1+ hit+0.3 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.2 pts matchup
Home run-0.4 pts matchup
30% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 66.7% | 66.4% | +0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 37.5% | 37.3% | +0.2 |
| Home run | 8.7% | 9.1% | -0.4 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.0
Park+0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-0.5
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Luke Keaschall hitsLuke Keaschall · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightLuke Keaschall · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 16 | .312 | .312 | .625 | .391 | .317 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 82.2 | 105.8 | 15.4% | 23.1% | 38.5% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 43 | .324 | .419 | .486 | .398 | .362 | 11.6% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 81.8 | 105.8 | 6.2% | 21.9% | 31.2% |
| Last 30 G | 27 | 89 | .324 | .438 | .541 | .440 | .377 | 10.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 84.9 | 105.8 | 6.2% | 29.7% | 29.7% |
| 90 days | 66 | 205 | .313 | .422 | .518 | .422 | .349 | 11.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 84.6 | 105.8 | 4.8% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 146 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 17%Fly ball 38%Pop-up 10%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 6 | .400 | .333 | 1.200 | .542 | .417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 87.4 | 102.6 | 16.7% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 9 | 23 | .333 | .318 | .524 | .361 | .321 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 18.6% | 82.7 | 102.6 | 4.5% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| Last 30 G | 22 | 47 | .295 | .304 | .409 | .313 | .318 | 10.6% | 2.1% | 16.5% | 86.6 | 105.8 | 7.3% | 24.4% | 36.6% |
| 90 days | 49 | 97 | .326 | .385 | .430 | .382 | .345 | 15.5% | 6.2% | 20.1% | 85.7 | 105.8 | 4.1% | 24.7% | 42.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 6%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .333 | .318 | .762 | .432 | .344 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 83.9 | 105.8 | 15.8% | 31.6% | 36.8% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 66 | .328 | .385 | .500 | .385 | .348 | 9.1% | 6.1% | 17.1% | 82.2 | 105.8 | 5.6% | 24.1% | 29.6% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 136 | .314 | .393 | .492 | .396 | .357 | 10.3% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 85.6 | 105.8 | 6.7% | 27.6% | 32.4% |
| 90 days | 72 | 302 | .317 | .410 | .488 | .410 | .348 | 12.9% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 85.0 | 105.8 | 4.6% | 29.2% | 37.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 219 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 19%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 9%
xwOBA83.348
Avg EV1785.0
Max EV10105.8
Barrel%324.6%
Hard-hit%1629.2%
Sweet-spot%6637.0%
K%9112.9%
BB%548.6%
Whiff%8016.7%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating90Top tier
Last 100 pitches83trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.410 / .366running 44 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run1/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Curveball | 83.7 | 105.8 | 22 | 1.415 | Double |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 97.8 | 95.6 | 15 | .803 | Triple |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 89.4 | 65.7 | 37 | .614 | Single |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Sweeper | 87.1 | 71.8 | 42 | .329 | Single |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 93.6 | 91.6 | 34 | .091 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 87.8 | 93.1 | 33 | .149 | Sac fly |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 85.2 | 102.6 | 25 | 1.331 | Home run |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 86.8 | 45.8 | -71 | .272 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.5 | 101.8 | 26 | 1.262 | Triple |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.0 | 80.5 | 30 | .097 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 92.8 | 88.6 | 26 | .065 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sweeper | 84.0 | 76.7 | 69 | .000 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 16 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Luke Keaschall: every projection we've made →