Hitter · MIN · batting 7Royce Lewis
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
1+ hit+0.3 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.2 pts matchup
Home run-0.5 pts matchup
30% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 58.5% | 58.2% | +0.3 |
| 2+ total bases | 32.9% | 32.7% | +0.2 |
| Home run | 10.2% | 10.7% | -0.5 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.2
Park-0.0
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park-0.6
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Royce Lewis hitsRoyce Lewis · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRoyce Lewis · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .154 | .154 | .154 | .138 | .191 | 46.2% | 0.0% | 41.4% | 82.4 | 95.4 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 57.1% |
| Last 15 G | 14 | 39 | .108 | .128 | .108 | .133 | .229 | 35.9% | 2.6% | 36.4% | 88.5 | 107.4 | 4.2% | 29.2% | 37.5% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 83 | .167 | .193 | .231 | .210 | .265 | 25.3% | 3.6% | 30.1% | 88.3 | 109.6 | 5.1% | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| 90 days | 70 | 213 | .227 | .282 | .371 | .294 | .312 | 24.4% | 7.0% | 30.5% | 90.6 | 110.0 | 7.6% | 39.3% | 33.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 145 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 21%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 21%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 8 | .375 | .375 | .500 | .381 | .301 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 90.4 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 21 | .238 | .238 | .333 | .248 | .222 | 23.8% | 0.0% | 22.5% | 88.4 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 31.2% | 25.0% |
| Last 30 G | 18 | 37 | .222 | .243 | .278 | .232 | .219 | 21.6% | 2.7% | 23.5% | 87.8 | 106.7 | 3.6% | 32.1% | 28.6% |
| 90 days | 45 | 87 | .256 | .299 | .402 | .317 | .300 | 23.0% | 5.7% | 28.5% | 87.5 | 109.6 | 9.7% | 37.1% | 37.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 26%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 18%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .238 | .238 | .286 | .231 | .233 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 35.6% | 86.1 | 106.7 | 0.0% | 23.1% | 46.2% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 60 | .155 | .167 | .190 | .173 | .227 | 31.7% | 1.7% | 32.0% | 88.5 | 107.4 | 2.5% | 30.0% | 32.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 120 | .184 | .208 | .246 | .217 | .251 | 24.2% | 3.3% | 28.1% | 88.1 | 109.6 | 4.6% | 31.0% | 29.9% |
| 90 days | 73 | 300 | .236 | .287 | .380 | .301 | .308 | 24.0% | 6.7% | 30.0% | 89.7 | 110.0 | 8.2% | 38.6% | 34.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 207 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 22%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 20%
xwOBA41.308
Avg EV6889.7
Max EV56110.0
Barrel%658.2%
Hard-hit%5038.6%
Sweet-spot%4834.8%
K%3324.0%
BB%326.7%
Whiff%1030.0%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches4trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.300 / .328running 28 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 93.7 | 75.9 | 21 | .900 | Single |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 97.4 | 90.4 | 58 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 91.7 | 82.3 | 77 | .009 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 87.7 | 93.0 | 11 | .676 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 89.5 | 67.6 | 13 | .329 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 88.0 | 95.4 | 8 | .576 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 96.1 | 73.8 | 77 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Fastball | 88.5 | 82.6 | 18 | .903 | Single |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Cutter | 89.0 | 81.0 | -15 | .059 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Slider | 87.6 | 106.7 | -2 | .426 | Double |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 79.3 | 97.0 | 33 | .335 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Curveball | 84.7 | 85.6 | 12 | .654 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Royce Lewis: every projection we've made →