← TEX at MIN, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup projected
Hitter · MIN · batting 6Walker Jenkins
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · TEXTBD
Stable
4.2projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Walker Jenkins's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 86.2 mph at 17°Out: 90.0 mph at 11°Out: 73.5 mph at 3°Out: 96.8 mph at 43°Single: 89.0 mph at 6°Out: 90.2 mph at -1°Out: 79.1 mph at 74°Out: 94.7 mph at 24°Home run: 102.5 mph at 26°Single: 87.4 mph at 7°Out: 73.7 mph at -59°Out: 97.1 mph at 37°Out: 84.0 mph at 36°Out: 76.4 mph at 71°Single: 35.8 mph at 4°Out: 91.9 mph at 33°Out: 94.5 mph at 7°Out: 57.2 mph at -24°Out: 93.2 mph at 34°Single: 76.0 mph at 21°Out: 74.8 mph at -3°Single: 93.2 mph at 13°Home run: 105.2 mph at 29°Single: 68.3 mph at -1°Single: 101.0 mph at 12°Out: 88.1 mph at -25°Single: 85.3 mph at 7°Home run: 103.4 mph at 32°Single: 89.9 mph at 15°Out: 102.9 mph at -11°Out: 87.8 mph at 45°Out: 95.8 mph at 22°Out: 100.4 mph at 26°Out: 76.4 mph at 40°Out: 92.0 mph at -5°Out: 13.6 mph at -7°Out: 87.5 mph at 9°Out: 92.4 mph at -1°Double: 105.2 mph at 15°Out: 95.0 mph at -8°
28% hit 95+ mph35% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit59.1%59.1%-0.0
2+ total bases34.3%34.7%-0.4
Home run10.9%11.8%-0.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.0
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.6

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Walker Jenkins hits
Walker Jenkins · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .306 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 13 pitches seen.282xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .141 on 3 PA) · league .307 · 10 pitches seen.274xwOBA .280 shrunk (raw .488 on 1 PA) · league .263 · 2 pitches seen.280xwOBA .438 shrunk (raw .668 on 5 PA) · league .342 · 14 pitches seen.438xwOBA .395 shrunk (raw .409 on 8 PA) · league .386 · 24 pitches seen.395xwOBA .417 shrunk (raw .532 on 10 PA) · league .321 · 15 pitches seen.417xwOBA .238 shrunk (raw .134 on 8 PA) · league .308 · 12 pitches seen.238xwOBA .351 shrunk (raw .351 on 2 PA) · league .351 · 11 pitches seen.351xwOBA .315 shrunk (raw .456 on 2 PA) · league .292 · 19 pitches seen.315xwOBA .405 shrunk (raw .471 on 5 PA) · league .377 · 41 pitches seen.405xwOBA .213 shrunk (raw .090 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 17 pitches seen.213xwOBA .241 shrunk (raw .197 on 6 PA) · league .263 · 31 pitches seen.241xwOBA .279 shrunk (raw .289 on 6 PA) · league .274 · 44 pitches seen.279
vs RHP · 253 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 22%13%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 20%22%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 9% of 11 swings · league 10%9%Whiff 0% of 18 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 11%15%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 14%22%Whiff 33% of 6 swings · league 13%33%Whiff 27% of 11 swings · league 17%27%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 28%14%Whiff 44% of 9 swings · league 24%44%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 32%20%Whiff 44% of 9 swings · league 49%44%
vs RHP · 253 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 62% of 13 pitches · league 62%62%Swings at 90% of 10 pitches · league 72%90%Swings at 100% of 2 pitches · league 66%100%Swings at 79% of 14 pitches · league 70%79%Swings at 75% of 24 pitches · league 76%75%Swings at 87% of 15 pitches · league 70%87%Swings at 75% of 12 pitches · league 65%75%Swings at 55% of 11 pitches · league 68%55%Swings at 58% of 19 pitches · league 60%58%Swings at 17% of 41 pitches · league 24%17%Swings at 53% of 17 pitches · league 34%53%Swings at 32% of 31 pitches · league 40%32%Swings at 21% of 44 pitches · league 32%21%
vs RHP · 253 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Walker Jenkins · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.294.294.471.329.3125.9%0.0%7.7%82.1102.56.2%18.8%25.0%
Last 15 G1544.310.341.548.381.37918.2%4.5%17.7%88.4105.211.8%35.3%41.2%
Last 30 G2266.267.333.500.373.34216.7%9.1%19.7%86.8105.28.2%32.7%34.7%
90 days2266.267.333.500.373.34216.7%9.1%19.7%86.8105.28.2%32.7%34.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G12.000.000.000.000.2920.0%0.0%0.0%93.294.50.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G713.091.167.091.150.26230.8%0.0%30.0%73.794.50.0%0.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1219.062.167.062.139.24736.8%5.3%40.0%77.1105.40.0%10.0%20.0%
90 days1219.062.167.062.139.24736.8%5.3%40.0%77.1105.40.0%10.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 20%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.263.263.421.295.3105.3%0.0%7.1%83.3102.55.6%16.7%22.2%
Last 15 G1557.264.304.453.331.35421.1%3.5%20.2%85.6105.29.5%28.6%38.1%
Last 30 G2285.224.298.408.323.32121.2%8.2%23.7%85.2105.46.8%28.8%32.2%
90 days2285.224.298.408.323.32121.2%8.2%23.7%85.2105.46.8%28.8%32.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 20%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%
Walker Jenkins · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating63Average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.308 / .329running 21 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPFastball98.286.217.872Single
Sep 25RHPFastball97.490.011.606Out
Sep 25RHPChangeup82.673.53.121Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper81.496.843.050Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball78.889.06.414Single
Sep 22RHPFastball96.290.2-1.263Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup87.679.174.000Out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.594.724.261Out
Sep 22RHPFastball92.1102.5261.262Home run
Sep 21RHPFastball94.587.47.504Single
Sep 21RHPFastball95.073.7-59.261Out
Sep 21RHPSlider85.797.137.301Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25411001
Sep 23211000
Sep 22414100
Sep 21411000
Sep 20511000
Sep 19522010
Sep 18436100
Sep 17436101
Sep 14400001
Sep 13400003

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Walker Jenkins: every projection we've made →