MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CLE · batting 8Austin Hedges
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedHot
.345wOBA vs LHP.301xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · KCNoah Cameron
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Down
4.4projected K22%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Noah Cameron's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Cutter: 23% usage, 90.0 mph, -2.5″ arm side, +8.9″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .335 vs league .333 (about even).Cutter 23%Fastball: 20% usage, 92.7 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +16.7″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .342 vs league .340 (about even).Fastball 20%Changeup: 19% usage, 81.2 mph, +11.9″ arm side, +9.8″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .295 vs league .293 (about even).Changeup 19%Slider: 16% usage, 85.4 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +2.6″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .319 vs league .317 (about even).Slider 16%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.7 mph, -3.4″ arm side, -9.2″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .299 vs league .297 (about even).Curveball 16%Sinker: 6% usage, 91.5 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +10.4″ rise. Austin Hedges: wOBA .365 vs league .363 (about even).Sinker 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Austin Hedges's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Austin Hedges's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 36.4 mph at 4°Home run: 98.8 mph at 30°Out: 96.8 mph at 31°Out: 73.2 mph at -10°Out: 60.7 mph at -64°Double: 101.9 mph at 1°Out: 99.5 mph at 2°Out: 94.7 mph at 18°Out: 58.2 mph at 75°Out: 105.6 mph at -7°Double: 94.4 mph at 15°Out: 81.9 mph at 54°Out: 98.2 mph at 4°Out: 81.7 mph at 69°Double: 99.5 mph at 12°Single: 64.0 mph at -71°Out: 95.6 mph at 40°Out: 57.2 mph at 85°Out: 89.6 mph at 57°Out: 21.9 mph at -37°Out: 92.0 mph at 24°Single: 95.2 mph at 8°Out: 84.9 mph at -17°Out: 91.2 mph at 40°Out: 68.3 mph at 6°Out: 82.0 mph at -16°Out: 79.5 mph at 74°Out: 80.9 mph at 30°Out: 69.7 mph at -23°Out: 95.1 mph at 41°Home run: 101.5 mph at 27°Out: 69.6 mph at -1°Single: 97.3 mph at 7°Out: 81.2 mph at -9°Single: 93.9 mph at 7°Out: 82.8 mph at 4°Single: 73.6 mph at 32°Out: 86.6 mph at 24°Out: 81.1 mph at 10°Out: 54.9 mph at 56°
30% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.4%53.0%+1.4
2+ total bases27.5%26.5%+1.0
Home run7.3%7.4%-0.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.5
Home run
Starter
+0.5
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Austin Hedges hits
Austin Hedges · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .297 shrunk (raw .949 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 9 pitches seen.297xwOBA .267 shrunk (raw .092 on 2 PA) · league .296 · 12 pitches seen.267xwOBA .328 shrunk (raw .626 on 3 PA) · league .254 · 11 pitches seen.328xwOBA .287 shrunk (raw .225 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 13 pitches seen.287xwOBA .303 shrunk (raw .162 on 7 PA) · league .385 · 19 pitches seen.303xwOBA .290 shrunk (raw .189 on 6 PA) · league .340 · 16 pitches seen.290xwOBA .259 shrunk (raw .203 on 3 PA) · league .273 · 11 pitches seen.259xwOBA .374 shrunk (raw .409 on 8 PA) · league .350 · 12 pitches seen.374xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .283 on 3 PA) · league .299 · 6 pitches seen.296xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .271 on 3 PA) · league .302 · 15 pitches seen.296xwOBA .370 shrunk (raw .465 on 3 PA) · league .346 · 44 pitches seen.370xwOBA .399 shrunk (raw .519 on 11 PA) · league .289 · 44 pitches seen.399xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .224 on 10 PA) · league .257 · 38 pitches seen.242
vs LHP · 250 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 33% of 6 swings · league 21%33%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 23%25%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 9%11%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 11%11%Whiff 25% of 8 swings · league 17%25%Whiff 8% of 12 swings · league 14%8%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 25%17%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 29%33%Whiff 38% of 16 swings · league 48%38%Whiff 58% of 12 swings · league 34%58%
vs LHP · 250 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 44% of 9 pitches · league 63%44%Swings at 50% of 12 pitches · league 71%50%Swings at 36% of 11 pitches · league 64%36%Swings at 69% of 13 pitches · league 67%69%Swings at 58% of 19 pitches · league 76%58%Swings at 56% of 16 pitches · league 72%56%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 59%73%Swings at 100% of 12 pitches · league 68%100%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 66%50%Swings at 40% of 15 pitches · league 30%40%Swings at 7% of 44 pitches · league 26%7%Swings at 36% of 44 pitches · league 31%36%Swings at 32% of 38 pitches · league 41%32%
vs LHP · 250 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Austin Hedges against each of Noah Cameron's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Cutter23%90.0-3″ / +9″.335.33317.5%17.8%9About league average vs these
Fastball20%92.7+6″ / +17″.342.34016.4%16.9%14About league average vs these
Changeup19%81.2+12″ / +10″.295.29337.0%34.0%4Little history vs this shape
Slider16%85.4-4″ / +3″.319.31726.5%27.8%8About league average vs these
Curveball16%81.7-3″ / -9″.299.29726.9%28.2%3Little history vs this shape
Sinker6%91.5+13″ / +10″.365.36313.8%14.0%26About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Austin Hedges · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.200.400.533.490.36320.0%25.0%34.5%82.1105.69.1%36.4%36.4%
Last 15 G1435.241.371.552.444.32217.1%17.1%30.4%84.0105.68.7%39.1%34.8%
Last 30 G2455.205.364.409.379.32014.5%20.0%25.0%84.4105.95.6%41.7%27.8%
90 days2965.231.375.404.393.32913.8%18.5%22.3%84.2105.94.5%40.9%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 44 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 16%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 23%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.4320.0%0.0%0.0%99.599.50.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1019.111.158.111.132.17131.6%5.3%26.5%80.199.50.0%25.0%8.3%
Last 30 G2245.171.222.244.231.18724.4%6.7%24.3%81.6108.80.0%19.4%16.1%
90 days2960.232.267.393.317.23325.0%5.0%24.7%83.4108.87.3%26.8%26.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 41 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 17%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.188.381.500.467.36619.0%23.8%33.3%83.5105.68.3%41.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1554.191.296.383.334.26922.2%13.0%28.9%82.6105.65.7%34.3%25.7%
Last 30 G30100.188.300.329.312.26019.0%14.0%24.7%83.1108.83.0%31.3%22.4%
90 days37125.231.323.398.357.28319.2%12.0%23.5%83.8108.85.9%34.1%25.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 85 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 17%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 17%
Austin Hedges · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating22Poor
Last 100 pitches46trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.317 / .286running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPChangeup81.936.44.226Fielder's choice
Sep 25LHPCurveball78.498.830.828Home run
Sep 25LHPFastball91.696.831.460Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.573.2-10.034Out
Sep 22LHPSinker92.360.7-64.210Error
Sep 19LHPSlider76.2101.91.456Double
Sep 19RHPSinker95.199.52.432Out
Sep 19LHPFastball91.694.718.452Out
Sep 16LHPSweeper83.458.275.003Out
Sep 16LHPSinker95.8105.6-7.270Out
Sep 12LHPSlider87.294.415.815Double
Sep 12LHPSinker96.781.954.013Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414110
Sep 22500021
Sep 19412001
Sep 16400011
Sep 12412011
Sep 11312000
Sep 7311000
Sep 5300010
Sep 4300002
Sep 3311011

Two strikes

Noah Cameron KC · LHPwith two strikes
Noah Cameron with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider16%26%38.8%25.0%21.6%
Curveball16%25%26.8%16.3%21.2%
Fastball20%20%10.3%10.6%18.6%
Changeup19%17%25.5%20.5%18.3%
Cutter23%10%19.4%19.5%17.9%
Sinker6%2%0.0%30.0%17.7%
Austin Hedges bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Austin Hedges with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%37.7%41.5%
Whiff%20.5%21.6%
Contact%79.5%78.4%
Chase%38.0%39.9%
wOBA.239.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.3%23.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.291
K%21.7%
BB%10.4%
Whiff%10.5%
Barrel%2.7%
Hard-hit%22.3%
Avg EV85.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

61 PA
wOBA.345
xwOBA vs this mix.301against pitches like his
RV/1000.90
Hard-hit%25.8%
K%17.4%
BB%10.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Noah CameronLHP · KC vs CLE
4.4projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.4 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 36.1%36%≤34 strikeouts: 19.1%19%45 strikeouts: 16.8%17%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 7.7%8%78 strikeouts: 4.3%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.7%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 45% (red bars) · under: 55%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.7%
BB%8.7%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo86.8
BTB Stuff97
Location105
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Cutter23%11590.09.2%
Fastball20%8792.76.8%
Changeup19%9281.221.0%
Slider16%10185.221.3%
Curveball16%8681.610.6%
Sinker6%8891.42.2%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199423%13%27%.408
Sep 138517%12%26%.304
Sep 79932%11%9%.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Noah Cameron KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Austin Hedges: every projection we've made →