MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CLE · batting 6David Fry
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedHot
.297wOBA vs LHP.276xwOBA vs his mix3.6expected PA
Starter · KCNoah Cameron
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Down
4.4projected K22%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Noah Cameron's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Cutter: 23% usage, 90.0 mph, -2.5″ arm side, +8.9″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .328 vs league .333 (about even).Cutter 23%Fastball: 20% usage, 92.7 mph, +5.6″ arm side, +16.7″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .335 vs league .340 (about even).Fastball 20%Changeup: 19% usage, 81.2 mph, +11.9″ arm side, +9.8″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .288 vs league .293 (about even).Changeup 19%Slider: 16% usage, 85.4 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +2.6″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .312 vs league .317 (about even).Slider 16%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.7 mph, -3.4″ arm side, -9.2″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .292 vs league .297 (about even).Curveball 16%Sinker: 6% usage, 91.5 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +10.4″ rise. David Fry: wOBA .358 vs league .363 (about even).Sinker 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is David Fry's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

David Fry's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Home run: 104.3 mph at 30°Out: 91.8 mph at 56°Out: 93.3 mph at 33°Out: 97.6 mph at 1°Out: 61.0 mph at 60°Single: 100.4 mph at 15°Out: 102.1 mph at 2°Out: 82.3 mph at -13°Single: 91.7 mph at -4°Out: 79.6 mph at -6°Double: 102.6 mph at 18°Out: 98.9 mph at 63°Out: 80.9 mph at 87°Out: 91.7 mph at 23°Home run: 108.0 mph at 27°Out: 103.9 mph at 14°Out: 25.0 mph at 53°Out: 72.4 mph at 76°Out: 99.8 mph at 46°Out: 90.7 mph at 58°Out: 87.4 mph at 69°Out: 83.9 mph at -30°Out: 73.5 mph at -42°Single: 95.2 mph at 6°Out: 91.8 mph at 56°Single: 104.0 mph at 1°Single: 52.6 mph at -78°Out: 72.3 mph at 85°Double: 102.8 mph at 11°Out: 97.5 mph at 63°Out: 74.1 mph at 28°Out: 69.9 mph at 6°Out: 78.6 mph at 33°Out: 77.5 mph at 58°Out: 79.0 mph at -35°Out: 100.7 mph at -8°Out: 93.6 mph at 47°Out: 82.7 mph at 30°Out: 76.4 mph at 61°Out: 97.3 mph at 42°
38% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit51.4%50.3%+1.1
2+ total bases27.8%27.2%+0.6
Home run9.4%9.7%-0.3
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.7
Home run
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
+0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where David Fry hits
David Fry · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .177 shrunk (raw .019 on 5 PA) · league .243 · 12 pitches seen.177xwOBA .349 shrunk (raw .507 on 4 PA) · league .296 · 14 pitches seen.349xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .272 on 3 PA) · league .254 · 5 pitches seen.258xwOBA .244 shrunk (raw .054 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 6 pitches seen.244xwOBA .288 shrunk (raw .056 on 5 PA) · league .385 · 23 pitches seen.288xwOBA .293 shrunk (raw .012 on 2 PA) · league .340 · 12 pitches seen.293xwOBA .375 shrunk (raw 1.594 on 1 PA) · league .273 · 9 pitches seen.375xwOBA .248 shrunk (raw .074 on 7 PA) · league .350 · 24 pitches seen.248xwOBA .313 shrunk (raw .345 on 5 PA) · league .299 · 9 pitches seen.313xwOBA .338 shrunk (raw .426 on 5 PA) · league .302 · 24 pitches seen.338xwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .226 on 4 PA) · league .346 · 27 pitches seen.316xwOBA .385 shrunk (raw .528 on 8 PA) · league .289 · 63 pitches seen.385xwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .301 on 10 PA) · league .257 · 33 pitches seen.277
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 33% of 9 swings · league 21%33%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 23%25%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 9%25%Whiff 12% of 17 swings · league 10%12%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 11%13%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 17% of 18 swings · league 14%17%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 25%25%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 29%29%Whiff 62% of 13 swings · league 48%62%Whiff 20% of 15 swings · league 34%20%
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 67% of 12 pitches · league 63%67%Swings at 64% of 14 pitches · league 71%64%Swings at 80% of 5 pitches · league 64%80%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 67%67%Swings at 74% of 23 pitches · league 76%74%Swings at 67% of 12 pitches · league 72%67%Swings at 78% of 9 pitches · league 59%78%Swings at 75% of 24 pitches · league 68%75%Swings at 89% of 9 pitches · league 66%89%Swings at 17% of 24 pitches · league 30%17%Swings at 26% of 27 pitches · league 26%26%Swings at 21% of 63 pitches · league 31%21%Swings at 46% of 33 pitches · league 41%46%
vs LHP · 261 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

David Fry against each of Noah Cameron's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Cutter23%90.0-3″ / +9″.328.33317.3%17.8%7Little history vs this shape
Fastball20%92.7+6″ / +17″.335.34016.5%16.9%20About league average vs these
Changeup19%81.2+12″ / +10″.288.29333.4%34.0%7Little history vs this shape
Slider16%85.4-4″ / +3″.312.31725.4%27.8%6Little history vs this shape
Curveball16%81.7-3″ / -9″.292.29725.8%28.2%2Little history vs this shape
Sinker6%91.5+13″ / +10″.358.36313.5%14.0%28About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
David Fry · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.250.333.500.358.33011.1%5.6%18.5%91.3104.37.1%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1433.207.303.345.292.28015.2%6.1%17.9%90.9104.34.2%41.7%20.8%
Last 30 G2752.163.308.279.277.27923.1%13.5%20.6%90.0104.33.2%41.9%25.8%
90 days3363.170.302.377.303.27923.8%12.7%20.5%89.4104.35.3%44.7%23.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 13%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 32%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G12.000.000.000.000.00050.0%0.0%50.0%–––––
Last 15 G45.400.4001.000.725.55420.0%0.0%28.6%61.9108.033.3%33.3%33.3%
Last 30 G915.143.200.357.257.24226.7%6.7%33.3%75.3108.011.1%22.2%11.1%
90 days1118.176.222.353.265.23322.2%5.6%32.1%71.3108.08.3%16.7%8.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 0%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 33%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.222.300.444.339.31315.0%5.0%20.7%91.3104.37.1%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1538.235.316.441.339.30915.8%5.3%19.0%87.6108.07.4%40.7%22.2%
Last 30 G3067.158.284.298.273.27123.9%11.9%23.0%86.7108.05.0%37.5%22.5%
90 days3781.171.284.371.295.26923.5%11.1%22.7%85.1108.06.0%38.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 50 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 10%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 32%
David Fry · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating8Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches15trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.282 / .254running 28 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPSlider85.3104.3301.594Home run
Sep 25LHPCutter90.991.856.012Out
Sep 25LHPFastball93.193.333.149Out
Sep 25LHPSinker90.597.61.396Out
Sep 24LHPCutter87.061.060.003Out
Sep 24LHPFastball91.8100.415.716Single
Sep 24LHPSinker90.8102.12.515Force out
Sep 22LHPSinker95.082.3-13.077Fielder's choice
Sep 22LHPSinker92.991.7-4.179Single
Sep 22LHPSinker94.379.6-6.092Fielder's choice
Sep 19LHPFastball92.3102.618.590Double
Sep 19LHPFastball89.798.963.013Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25414100
Sep 24411001
Sep 22411000
Sep 19412001
Sep 16400011
Sep 14214101
Sep 12200000
Sep 11200000
Sep 7300000
Sep 6100001

Two strikes

Noah Cameron KC · LHPwith two strikes
Noah Cameron with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider16%26%38.8%25.0%21.6%
Curveball16%25%26.8%16.3%21.2%
Fastball20%20%10.3%10.6%18.6%
Changeup19%17%25.5%20.5%18.3%
Cutter23%10%19.4%19.5%17.9%
Sinker6%2%0.0%30.0%17.7%
David Fry bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
David Fry with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%42.0%41.5%
Whiff%20.7%21.6%
Contact%79.3%78.4%
Chase%38.2%39.9%
wOBA.252.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.5%23.4%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.278
K%30.0%
BB%7.8%
Whiff%10.6%
Barrel%3.7%
Hard-hit%23.1%
Avg EV86.7

Against left-handers, last 90 days

59 PA
wOBA.297
xwOBA vs this mix.276against pitches like his
RV/100-0.36
Hard-hit%25.3%
K%24.7%
BB%10.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Noah CameronLHP · KC vs CLE
4.4projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.4 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 36.1%36%≤34 strikeouts: 19.1%19%45 strikeouts: 16.8%17%56 strikeouts: 12.3%12%67 strikeouts: 7.7%8%78 strikeouts: 4.3%4%89+ strikeouts: 3.7%4%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 45% (red bars) · under: 55%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.7%
BB%8.7%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo86.8
BTB Stuff97
Location105
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Cutter23%11590.09.2%
Fastball20%8792.76.8%
Changeup19%9281.221.0%
Slider16%10185.221.3%
Curveball16%8681.610.6%
Sinker6%8891.42.2%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199423%13%27%.408
Sep 138517%12%26%.304
Sep 79932%11%9%.186

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Noah Cameron KC · LHPvsCLE lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.David Fry: every projection we've made →