MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 25, 2026
6:40 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · KC · batting 5Vinnie Pasquantino
Bats leftTalent grade APowerNormal
.369wOBA vs RHP.363xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · CLEGavin Williams
Throws rightBTB Stuff 110Trending Up
7.2projected K39%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Gavin Williams's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sweeper: 32% usage, 87.8 mph, -12.2″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .307 vs league .296 (about even).Sweeper 32%Fastball: 31% usage, 98.4 mph, +10.0″ arm side, +14.5″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .350 vs league .339 (about even).Fastball 31%Curveball: 22% usage, 82.4 mph, -10.6″ arm side, -15.1″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .304 vs league .294 (about even).Curveball 22%Sinker: 13% usage, 97.9 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Vinnie Pasquantino: wOBA .363 vs league .352 (about even).Sinker 13%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Vinnie Pasquantino's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Vinnie Pasquantino's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 71.9 mph at 39°Out: 66.9 mph at 44°Out: 96.3 mph at 33°Out: 94.7 mph at 44°Out: 90.7 mph at 41°Out: 91.1 mph at 70°Out: 97.5 mph at 11°Out: 90.6 mph at 42°Out: 89.6 mph at 29°Out: 79.4 mph at -34°Double: 90.0 mph at 11°Single: 103.4 mph at 9°Out: 93.0 mph at 39°Home run: 104.5 mph at 32°Double: 91.6 mph at 10°Out: 99.9 mph at -8°Home run: 99.3 mph at 29°Single: 96.5 mph at 13°Single: 98.8 mph at 1°Out: 79.6 mph at 6°Out: 83.8 mph at 59°Single: 102.5 mph at 11°Out: 74.6 mph at -21°Home run: 106.7 mph at 25°Out: 85.1 mph at 28°Out: 102.1 mph at 19°Out: 92.7 mph at 37°Out: 93.0 mph at 53°Home run: 104.0 mph at 21°Out: 101.2 mph at 30°Out: 94.6 mph at 34°Double: 105.7 mph at 19°Out: 58.4 mph at 7°Out: 80.4 mph at -20°Single: 102.4 mph at 5°Out: 79.4 mph at 1°Out: 105.0 mph at -1°Out: 103.1 mph at 15°Double: 102.0 mph at 22°Out: 92.8 mph at 46°
45% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit62.5%67.1%-4.6
2+ total bases37.9%41.6%-3.7
Home run14.6%15.6%-1.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-3.4
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.7
2+ total bases
Starter
-1.8
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.2
Home run
Starter
+1.4
Pitch mix
-0.2
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Vinnie Pasquantino hits
Vinnie Pasquantino · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .319 shrunk (raw .455 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 24 pitches seen.319xwOBA .338 shrunk (raw .385 on 8 PA) · league .307 · 13 pitches seen.338xwOBA .292 shrunk (raw .406 on 3 PA) · league .263 · 18 pitches seen.292xwOBA .399 shrunk (raw .439 on 17 PA) · league .342 · 30 pitches seen.399xwOBA .417 shrunk (raw .451 on 11 PA) · league .386 · 24 pitches seen.417xwOBA .306 shrunk (raw .289 on 10 PA) · league .321 · 27 pitches seen.306xwOBA .502 shrunk (raw .669 on 14 PA) · league .308 · 30 pitches seen.502xwOBA .268 shrunk (raw .177 on 11 PA) · league .351 · 24 pitches seen.268xwOBA .245 shrunk (raw .104 on 4 PA) · league .292 · 25 pitches seen.245xwOBA .386 shrunk (raw .396 on 11 PA) · league .377 · 79 pitches seen.386xwOBA .259 shrunk (raw .243 on 12 PA) · league .274 · 54 pitches seen.259xwOBA .291 shrunk (raw .324 on 10 PA) · league .263 · 68 pitches seen.291xwOBA .283 shrunk (raw .289 on 18 PA) · league .274 · 116 pitches seen.283
vs RHP · 532 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 12% of 17 swings · league 22%12%Whiff 0% of 9 swings · league 20%0%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 0% of 23 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 5% of 19 swings · league 9%5%Whiff 4% of 24 swings · league 11%4%Whiff 4% of 23 swings · league 14%4%Whiff 6% of 18 swings · league 13%6%Whiff 19% of 16 swings · league 17%19%Whiff 8% of 24 swings · league 28%8%Whiff 30% of 20 swings · league 24%30%Whiff 27% of 22 swings · league 32%27%Whiff 39% of 31 swings · league 49%39%
vs RHP · 532 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 71% of 24 pitches · league 62%71%Swings at 69% of 13 pitches · league 72%69%Swings at 67% of 18 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 77% of 30 pitches · league 70%77%Swings at 79% of 24 pitches · league 76%79%Swings at 89% of 27 pitches · league 70%89%Swings at 77% of 30 pitches · league 65%77%Swings at 75% of 24 pitches · league 68%75%Swings at 64% of 25 pitches · league 60%64%Swings at 30% of 79 pitches · league 24%30%Swings at 37% of 54 pitches · league 34%37%Swings at 32% of 68 pitches · league 40%32%Swings at 27% of 116 pitches · league 32%27%
vs RHP · 532 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Vinnie Pasquantino against each of Gavin Williams's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sweeper32%87.8-12″ / -1″.307.29625.9%33.8%12About league average vs these
Fastball31%98.4+10″ / +15″.350.33912.2%19.9%29About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball22%82.4-11″ / -15″.304.29425.0%32.6%7Little history vs this shape
Sinker13%97.9+15″ / +9″.363.3529.9%16.5%24About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Vinnie Pasquantino · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.273.333.909.496.4178.3%8.3%11.5%92.3104.520.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1441.270.341.568.385.41217.1%9.8%11.5%94.3106.716.7%53.3%46.7%
Last 30 G2990.241.333.544.373.37812.2%11.1%14.0%92.1107.713.2%47.1%33.8%
90 days43135.263.356.483.368.37012.6%11.1%13.6%92.6108.911.0%50.0%33.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 100 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 20%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.429.429.571.436.2870.0%0.0%0.0%89.6103.40.0%28.6%42.9%
Last 15 G1018.353.333.647.400.29011.1%0.0%5.7%87.3105.712.5%25.0%43.8%
Last 30 G1934.300.353.533.374.3255.9%8.8%9.2%89.7107.513.8%34.5%37.9%
90 days2548.326.375.581.403.34610.4%8.3%12.2%90.6107.512.8%41.0%38.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 39 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 23%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.333.368.778.474.3695.3%5.3%7.3%91.2104.511.8%35.3%41.2%
Last 15 G1559.296.339.593.390.37415.3%6.8%9.8%91.8106.715.2%43.5%45.7%
Last 30 G30124.257.339.541.373.36310.5%10.5%12.7%91.4107.713.4%43.3%35.1%
90 days44183.280.361.509.377.36412.0%10.4%13.2%92.1108.911.5%47.5%34.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 21%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 13%
Vinnie Pasquantino · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating95Top tier
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.381 / .383results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPFastball93.471.939.340Single
Sep 25RHPSweeper83.366.944.305Out
Sep 25RHPSweeper84.696.333.285Out
Sep 24RHPCurveball83.694.744.031Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.990.741.017Out
Sep 24RHPFastball96.291.170.003Out
Sep 24RHPFastball91.697.511.838Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.690.642.018Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.989.629.055Out
Sep 23LHPFastball95.879.4-34.040Force out
Sep 23LHPFastball91.990.011.606Double
Sep 22LHPSinker95.3103.49.684Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25511011
Sep 24400000
Sep 23412000
Sep 22537100
Sep 20114100
Sep 19422001
Sep 18425100
Sep 16500010
Sep 15314102
Sep 13100000

Two strikes

Gavin Williams CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Gavin Williams with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Sweeper32%43%44.3%29.2%19.3%
Fastball31%33%30.2%25.9%18.0%
Curveball22%19%34.6%23.7%20.0%
Sinker13%4%7.1%22.7%17.0%
Cutter2%1%40.0%33.3%17.9%
Vinnie Pasquantino bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Vinnie Pasquantino with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%35.0%41.0%
Whiff%18.2%21.3%
Contact%81.8%78.7%
Chase%37.1%39.6%
wOBA.261.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.5%28.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.364
K%13.1%
BB%9.0%
Whiff%7.3%
Barrel%8.2%
Hard-hit%35.3%
Avg EV91.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

131 PA
wOBA.369
xwOBA vs this mix.363against pitches like his
RV/1000.94
Hard-hit%36.2%
K%13.2%
BB%10.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Gavin WilliamsRHP · CLE vs KC
7.2projected strikeouts · likely 4 to 11 · 23.4 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 7.4%7%≤34 strikeouts: 8.5%9%45 strikeouts: 12.0%12%56 strikeouts: 14.4%14%67 strikeouts: 14.8%15%78 strikeouts: 13.2%13%89+ strikeouts: 29.7%30%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 58% (red bars) · under: 42%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%39.1%
BB%7.6%
Whiff%16.9%
Velo91.3
BTB Stuff110
Location98
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sweeper32%12487.924.6%
Fastball31%11198.314.8%
Curveball22%9882.513.7%
Sinker13%9497.98.6%
Cutter2%10993.215.6%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208938%24%21%.148
Sep 1411329%19%13%.296
Sep 69946%16%21%.267

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Gavin Williams CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Vinnie Pasquantino: every projection we've made →