MLBengine v14
← NYM at WSH, Sep 25, 2026
5:45 PM CT · Nationals Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · WSH · batting 3Brady House
Bats rightTalent grade BPowerNormal
.384wOBA vs LHP.381xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · NYMJefry Yan
Throws leftBTB Stuff 122Stable
2.6projected K29%K%1.0trips vs this hitter
Jefry Yan's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 44% usage, 97.6 mph, +14.6″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Brady House: wOBA .368 vs league .356 (about even).Sinker 44%Fastball: 26% usage, 97.5 mph, +4.1″ arm side, +17.2″ rise. Brady House: wOBA .325 vs league .313 (about even).Fastball 26%Slider: 21% usage, 86.4 mph, -4.6″ arm side, -3.2″ rise. Brady House: wOBA .309 vs league .296 (about even).Slider 21%Changeup: 9% usage, 89.5 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +7.1″ rise. Brady House: wOBA .327 vs league .314 (about even).Changeup 9%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Brady House's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Brady House's last 40 balls in playHit (13)Out (27)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Double: 67.3 mph at 48°Out: 73.3 mph at 57°Single: 89.2 mph at 19°Single: 98.6 mph at 12°Out: 89.3 mph at 30°Out: 65.7 mph at 69°Out: 103.7 mph at -37°Single: 108.7 mph at -4°Single: 91.5 mph at 19°Out: 52.1 mph at 18°Double: 111.1 mph at -2°Out: 107.7 mph at -16°Out: 109.9 mph at 0°Double: 99.5 mph at -2°Out: 74.4 mph at -15°Out: 103.2 mph at 34°Out: 105.0 mph at 3°Out: 102.7 mph at -18°Out: 92.7 mph at 51°Out: 85.1 mph at 51°Single: 106.3 mph at 8°Out: 102.9 mph at -10°Out: 74.6 mph at 14°Out: 71.2 mph at -12°Out: 104.9 mph at -4°Double: 100.4 mph at 15°Out: 69.8 mph at 5°Out: 79.9 mph at -18°Out: 108.0 mph at 17°Single: 87.3 mph at 17°Out: 87.7 mph at 0°Out: 71.5 mph at 48°Out: 75.1 mph at 27°Single: 76.8 mph at 21°Out: 90.4 mph at 32°Out: 98.3 mph at 20°Out: 47.7 mph at 0°Out: 95.1 mph at 46°Single: 82.6 mph at 15°Double: 101.6 mph at 0°
45% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot33% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit66.1%65.8%+0.3
2+ total bases39.2%38.5%+0.8
Home run10.9%9.9%+1.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
+0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
+0.6
Home run
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Brady House hits
Brady House · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .433 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 3 pitches seen.258xwOBA .325 shrunk (raw .439 on 3 PA) · league .296 · 5 pitches seen.325xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .168 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 10 pitches seen.242xwOBA .357 shrunk (raw .454 on 6 PA) · league .308 · 10 pitches seen.357xwOBA .376 shrunk (raw .324 on 2 PA) · league .385 · 6 pitches seen.376xwOBA .376 shrunk (raw .482 on 4 PA) · league .340 · 16 pitches seen.376xwOBA .343 shrunk (raw .761 on 2 PA) · league .273 · 5 pitches seen.343xwOBA .460 shrunk (raw .791 on 4 PA) · league .350 · 12 pitches seen.460xwOBA .339 shrunk (raw .436 on 5 PA) · league .299 · 11 pitches seen.339xwOBA .326 shrunk (raw .368 on 7 PA) · league .302 · 18 pitches seen.326xwOBA .311 shrunk (raw .208 on 4 PA) · league .346 · 33 pitches seen.311xwOBA .363 shrunk (raw .438 on 12 PA) · league .289 · 54 pitches seen.363xwOBA .262 shrunk (raw .272 on 6 PA) · league .257 · 34 pitches seen.262
vs LHP · 217 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 19%33%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 21%0%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 23%29%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 9%13%Whiff 0% of 4 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 14 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 14%13%Whiff 33% of 6 swings · league 16%33%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 25%14%Whiff 38% of 8 swings · league 29%38%Whiff 39% of 18 swings · league 48%39%Whiff 67% of 15 swings · league 34%67%
vs LHP · 217 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 100% of 3 pitches · league 63%100%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 71%60%Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 64%70%Swings at 80% of 10 pitches · league 67%80%Swings at 67% of 6 pitches · league 76%67%Swings at 88% of 16 pitches · league 72%88%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 59%60%Swings at 67% of 12 pitches · league 68%67%Swings at 55% of 11 pitches · league 66%55%Swings at 78% of 18 pitches · league 30%78%Swings at 24% of 33 pitches · league 26%24%Swings at 33% of 54 pitches · league 31%33%Swings at 44% of 34 pitches · league 41%44%
vs LHP · 217 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Brady House against each of Jefry Yan's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker44%97.6+15″ / +12″.368.35621.7%18.3%6Little history vs this shape
Fastball26%97.5+4″ / +17″.325.31323.6%20.1%8About league average vs these
Slider21%86.4-5″ / -3″.309.29632.1%33.5%7Little history vs this shape
Changeup9%89.5+13″ / +7″.327.31430.9%26.8%10About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Brady House · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.800.875.800.713.54012.5%37.5%27.3%97.0108.70.0%50.0%75.0%
Last 15 G1222.438.591.500.493.42618.2%27.3%15.8%90.4109.90.0%41.7%58.3%
Last 30 G1730.348.500.391.415.39420.0%23.3%16.4%86.9109.90.0%41.2%52.9%
90 days2858.360.448.540.432.42322.4%13.8%26.1%89.1110.08.1%54.1%51.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 38%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.125.125.250.156.05037.5%0.0%23.1%79.9103.70.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1026.115.115.231.144.21723.1%0.0%23.1%90.5111.110.0%50.0%15.0%
Last 30 G2373.231.288.385.291.30717.8%8.2%18.8%92.6111.17.4%51.9%25.9%
90 days39113.218.283.327.280.30923.9%6.2%21.6%91.7111.17.9%51.3%27.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 76 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 18%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.385.500.462.434.29525.0%18.8%25.0%87.5108.70.0%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1548.238.333.333.304.31320.8%12.5%19.5%90.5111.16.2%46.9%31.2%
Last 30 G30103.261.350.386.327.33218.4%12.6%18.0%91.3111.15.6%49.3%32.4%
90 days49171.265.339.397.331.34723.4%8.8%23.3%90.9111.18.0%52.2%35.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 25%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 12%
Brady House · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating87Excellent
Last 100 pitches79trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.324 / .361running 37 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPCutter89.167.348.206Double
Sep 25RHPCutter86.673.357.041Out
Sep 23LHPSinker91.189.219.555Single
Sep 23LHPFastball94.398.612.882Single
Sep 23RHPFastball91.889.330.086Out
Sep 21RHPSinker92.865.769.000Out
Sep 21RHPCurveball86.6103.7-37.066Out
Sep 20LHPSlider83.0108.7-4.386Single
Sep 20LHPFastball92.091.519.403Single
Sep 18LHPFastball90.252.118.129Out
Sep 18RHPSinker95.7111.1-2.417Double
Sep 18RHPSinker95.3107.7-16.162Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25412011
Sep 23422001
Sep 21400002
Sep 20322010
Sep 19100010
Sep 18412001
Sep 16100001
Sep 15412011
Sep 13100000
Sep 12500000

Two strikes

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPwith two strikes
Jefry Yan with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider21%40%42.1%27.8%21.6%
Fastball26%22%25.0%30.0%18.6%
Sinker44%22%9.1%10.0%17.7%
Changeup9%17%66.7%46.7%18.3%
Brady House bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Brady House with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%41.6%41.5%
Whiff%24.2%21.6%
Contact%75.8%78.4%
Chase%41.4%39.9%
wOBA.253.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes27.3%24.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.294
K%24.5%
BB%6.5%
Whiff%11.4%
Barrel%4.4%
Hard-hit%33.8%
Avg EV90.8

Against left-handers, last 90 days

57 PA
wOBA.384
xwOBA vs this mix.381against pitches like his
RV/1001.39
Hard-hit%32.3%
K%22.9%
BB%8.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jefry YanLHP · NYM vs WSH
2.6projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 10.4 batters over 2.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 74.0%74%≤34 strikeouts: 14.0%14%45 strikeouts: 7.2%7%56 strikeouts: 3.1%3%67 strikeouts: 1.2%1%78 strikeouts: 0.4%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 48% (red bars) · under: 52%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%28.7%
BB%14.9%
Whiff%14.8%
Velo94.5
BTB Stuff122
Location94
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Sinker44%12797.77.5%
Fastball26%12597.513.1%
Slider21%11786.423.2%
Changeup9%9889.035.5%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jefry Yan NYM · LHPvsWSH lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameNYM @ WSH →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Brady House: every projection we've made →