MLBengine v14
← PIT at DET, Sep 25, 2026
5:40 PM CT · Comerica Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · PIT · batting 1Konnor Griffin
Bats rightTalent grade AvgBalancedNormal
.276wOBA vs RHP.272xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
Starter · DETJackson Jobe
Throws rightBTB Stuff 106Trending Up
5.3projected K25%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Jackson Jobe's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 32% usage, 97.6 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.4″ rise. Konnor Griffin: wOBA .331 vs league .339 (about even).Fastball 32%Slider: 25% usage, 89.6 mph, -6.0″ arm side, +1.4″ rise. Konnor Griffin: wOBA .272 vs league .280 (about even).Slider 25%Sinker: 18% usage, 95.9 mph, +14.6″ arm side, +6.9″ rise. Konnor Griffin: wOBA .338 vs league .346 (about even).Sinker 18%Curveball: 13% usage, 85.4 mph, -5.5″ arm side, -10.8″ rise. Konnor Griffin: wOBA .274 vs league .282 (about even).Curveball 13%Changeup: 10% usage, 86.3 mph, +15.4″ arm side, +6.7″ rise. Konnor Griffin: wOBA .307 vs league .315 (about even).Changeup 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Konnor Griffin's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Konnor Griffin's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 95.5 mph at 31°Out: 106.4 mph at -1°Single: 74.1 mph at 25°Single: 86.4 mph at 15°Out: 76.8 mph at 3°Out: 73.0 mph at 14°Out: 107.9 mph at -2°Out: 99.2 mph at 35°Out: 90.9 mph at 40°Triple: 108.1 mph at 7°Single: 89.2 mph at 21°Out: 52.9 mph at 15°Out: 102.5 mph at 1°Out: 100.9 mph at 18°Double: 101.1 mph at 18°Out: 102.8 mph at 43°Out: 91.1 mph at 27°Out: 78.9 mph at -63°Out: 92.2 mph at -4°Out: 89.6 mph at 1°Single: 73.5 mph at 9°Single: 107.6 mph at 7°Single: 89.2 mph at 16°Single: 92.1 mph at 6°Double: 86.9 mph at 16°Out: 96.1 mph at 44°Out: 86.7 mph at 3°Double: 109.0 mph at 6°Out: 97.3 mph at -4°Out: 71.0 mph at 3°Single: 61.2 mph at -27°Single: 78.9 mph at 12°Out: 102.5 mph at -6°Out: 63.8 mph at 48°Out: 78.5 mph at 25°Out: 86.1 mph at 0°Out: 70.0 mph at 5°Out: 69.2 mph at -39°Single: 70.5 mph at 26°Out: 88.5 mph at 45°
35% hit 95+ mph38% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit63.1%64.3%-1.2
2+ total bases34.7%35.6%-1.0
Home run8.4%8.4%-0.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-0.8
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
+0.0
Home run
Starter
+0.1
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
0.0
Park
+0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Konnor Griffin hits
Konnor Griffin · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 11 pitches seenxwOBA .266 shrunk (raw .020 on 2 PA) · league .307 · 11 pitches seen.266xwOBA .277 shrunk (raw .362 on 2 PA) · league .263 · 8 pitches seen.277xwOBA .392 shrunk (raw .477 on 7 PA) · league .342 · 17 pitches seen.392xwOBA .328 shrunk (raw .242 on 8 PA) · league .386 · 18 pitches seen.328xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .353 on 7 PA) · league .321 · 15 pitches seen.333xwOBA .316 shrunk (raw .346 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 16 pitches seen.316xwOBA .354 shrunk (raw .360 on 5 PA) · league .351 · 17 pitches seen.354xwOBA .216 shrunk (raw .141 on 12 PA) · league .292 · 23 pitches seen.216xwOBA .257 shrunk (raw .114 on 10 PA) · league .377 · 43 pitches seen.257xwOBA .285 shrunk (raw .349 on 2 PA) · league .274 · 21 pitches seen.285xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .232 on 7 PA) · league .263 · 36 pitches seen.252xwOBA .262 shrunk (raw .250 on 12 PA) · league .274 · 77 pitches seen.262
vs RHP · 313 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 38% of 8 swings · league 22%38%Whiff 13% of 8 swings · league 20%13%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 19%25%Whiff 0% of 13 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 9%23%Whiff 0% of 9 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 14%21%Whiff 36% of 11 swings · league 13%36%Whiff 21% of 14 swings · league 17%21%Whiff 16% of 19 swings · league 28%16%Whiff 25% of 4 swings · league 24%25%Whiff 26% of 19 swings · league 32%26%Whiff 46% of 26 swings · league 49%46%
vs RHP · 313 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 62%73%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 72%73%Swings at 50% of 8 pitches · league 66%50%Swings at 77% of 17 pitches · league 70%77%Swings at 72% of 18 pitches · league 76%72%Swings at 60% of 15 pitches · league 70%60%Swings at 88% of 16 pitches · league 65%88%Swings at 65% of 17 pitches · league 68%65%Swings at 61% of 23 pitches · league 60%61%Swings at 44% of 43 pitches · league 24%44%Swings at 19% of 21 pitches · league 34%19%Swings at 53% of 36 pitches · league 40%53%Swings at 34% of 77 pitches · league 32%34%
vs RHP · 313 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Konnor Griffin against each of Jackson Jobe's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball32%97.6+7″ / +16″.331.33921.0%21.2%15About league average vs these
Slider25%89.6-6″ / +1″.272.28031.6%32.4%9About league average vs these
Sinker18%95.9+15″ / +7″.338.34611.2%11.3%19About league average vs these
Curveball13%85.4-6″ / -11″.274.28230.1%30.6%3Little history vs this shape
Changeup10%86.3+15″ / +7″.307.31526.2%26.2%10About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Konnor Griffin · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.154.154.385.288.29030.8%0.0%27.3%96.6108.10.0%88.9%44.4%
Last 15 G1543.190.209.286.249.22823.3%2.3%21.2%88.5109.00.0%43.3%20.0%
Last 30 G2679.200.241.280.251.25325.3%5.1%24.1%86.7110.01.9%43.4%26.4%
90 days2679.200.241.280.251.25325.3%5.1%24.1%86.7110.01.9%43.4%26.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 15%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G59.375.444.375.378.41711.1%0.0%17.6%85.5107.90.0%14.3%57.1%
Last 15 G1325.409.480.545.450.4908.0%8.0%15.3%87.9107.90.0%15.0%65.0%
Last 30 G2139.361.410.444.381.41015.4%5.1%18.1%90.0112.73.3%30.0%56.7%
90 days2139.361.410.444.381.41015.4%5.1%18.1%90.0112.73.3%30.0%56.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 40%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.238.273.381.325.34222.7%0.0%23.1%91.7108.10.0%56.2%50.0%
Last 15 G1568.266.309.375.325.32717.6%4.4%18.7%88.2109.00.0%32.0%38.0%
Last 30 G26118.252.297.333.294.30622.0%5.1%21.9%87.9112.72.4%38.6%37.3%
90 days26118.252.297.333.294.30622.0%5.1%21.9%87.9112.72.4%38.6%37.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 83 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 2%
Konnor Griffin · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating39Below average
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.291 / .305results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider88.895.531.224Out
Sep 25RHPSinker97.3106.4-1.420Out
Sep 24LHPFastball90.174.125.789Single
Sep 24LHPFastball95.586.415.893Single
Sep 24LHPChangeup79.976.83.174Out
Sep 23LHPCurveball79.473.014.393Out
Sep 23LHPCutter91.6107.9-2.432Out
Sep 23RHPFastball98.999.235.538Out
Sep 23LHPSlider83.490.940.013Out
Sep 22RHPSinker94.9108.17.673Triple
Sep 22LHPFastball92.189.221.327Single
Sep 22RHPSinker94.952.915.166Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25500002
Sep 24422001
Sep 23400000
Sep 22424001
Sep 20512001
Sep 19400010
Sep 18544000
Sep 17512011
Sep 16523001
Sep 15511001

Two strikes

Jackson Jobe DET · RHPwith two strikes
Jackson Jobe with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball32%31%16.7%20.0%18.0%
Curveball13%24%30.8%27.7%20.0%
Slider25%20%25.0%22.5%21.1%
Changeup10%16%26.3%15.6%18.6%
Sinker18%8%0.0%20.0%17.0%
Cutter2%2%33.3%33.3%17.9%
Konnor Griffin bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Konnor Griffin with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%41.8%42.4%
Whiff%20.1%22.2%
Contact%79.9%77.8%
Chase%43.3%39.9%
wOBA.235.237
Whiff vs his put-away shapes21.4%23.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.310
K%22.2%
BB%6.9%
Whiff%10.9%
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%26.2%
Avg EV88.1

Against right-handers, last 90 days

75 PA
wOBA.276
xwOBA vs this mix.272against pitches like his
RV/100-1.54
Hard-hit%27.6%
K%23.6%
BB%5.9%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jackson JobeRHP · DET vs PIT
5.3projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 21.8 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 22.7%23%≤34 strikeouts: 16.3%16%45 strikeouts: 17.3%17%56 strikeouts: 15.3%15%67 strikeouts: 11.6%12%78 strikeouts: 7.7%8%89+ strikeouts: 9.1%9%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 44% (red bars) · under: 56%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%24.9%
BB%8.1%
Whiff%9.6%
Velo92.5
BTB Stuff106
Location99
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball32%11497.66.8%
Slider25%11589.712.9%
Sinker18%9495.95.6%
Curveball13%9784.712.6%
Changeup10%8586.312.9%
Cutter2%11793.716.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 199638%15%21%.277
Sep 138733%16%13%.226
Sep 69333%8%10%.340

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jackson Jobe DET · RHPvsPIT lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Konnor Griffin: every projection we've made →