MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup confirmed
Hitter · KC · batting 3Jac Caglianone
Bats leftTalent grade APowerNormal
.403wOBA vs RHP.366xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
4.1projected K17%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 35% usage, 94.6 mph, +4.7″ arm side, +15.8″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .359 vs league .355 (about even).Fastball 35%Cutter: 24% usage, 85.8 mph, -8.3″ arm side, +2.2″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .321 vs league .317 (about even).Cutter 24%Changeup: 16% usage, 82.2 mph, +13.0″ arm side, +12.4″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .323 vs league .318 (about even).Changeup 16%Sinker: 10% usage, 93.6 mph, +14.3″ arm side, +9.2″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .366 vs league .362 (about even).Sinker 10%Curveball: 8% usage, 78.9 mph, -12.2″ arm side, -8.5″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .305 vs league .300 (about even).Curveball 8%Sweeper: 7% usage, 82.9 mph, -16.1″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Jac Caglianone: wOBA .314 vs league .310 (about even).Sweeper 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Jac Caglianone's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Jac Caglianone's last 40 balls in playHit (17)Out (23)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 103.7 mph at -24°Single: 91.9 mph at 10°Double: 104.2 mph at 16°Out: 89.4 mph at 10°Single: 90.4 mph at 19°Out: 72.2 mph at -16°Out: 101.6 mph at -3°Out: 75.1 mph at -3°Single: 101.8 mph at 1°Double: 107.2 mph at 22°Out: 94.2 mph at 39°Single: 113.8 mph at -1°Single: 97.8 mph at 1°Out: 108.0 mph at 14°Single: 96.1 mph at 16°Out: 87.5 mph at 38°Single: 79.0 mph at 23°Out: 94.5 mph at -13°Out: 102.9 mph at 14°Single: 73.9 mph at 5°Out: 73.3 mph at -11°Out: 97.0 mph at -14°Out: 72.9 mph at -53°Out: 110.0 mph at 8°Out: 74.6 mph at -14°Double: 107.2 mph at 13°Out: 92.0 mph at 36°Single: 98.6 mph at 4°Out: 98.4 mph at 49°Out: 112.2 mph at -7°Double: 94.1 mph at 1°Out: 93.4 mph at 30°Out: 71.1 mph at -30°Out: 99.3 mph at 35°Out: 68.2 mph at -45°Double: 108.0 mph at 5°Out: 88.6 mph at 40°Single: 106.8 mph at 5°Out: 83.9 mph at 30°Single: 111.8 mph at -4°
50% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit68.3%67.0%+1.3
2+ total bases43.1%42.3%+0.8
Home run13.0%13.4%-0.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Jac Caglianone hits
Where they meet

.333 xwOBA for Jac Caglianone in the spots Tanner Bibee throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .314 (+19 points). His best spot against righties is middle-left, and Tanner Bibee puts 7% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Tanner Bibee · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing4%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 15% per swing3%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing7%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing6%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing5%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 40% per swing4%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing5%20% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing20%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing7%13% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 34% per swing13%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing18%
All · 848 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%27% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters27%15% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters15%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%
Fastball · 240 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%5% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters5%3% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters3%8% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters8%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%11% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters11%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%29% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Cutter · 167 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%8% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters8%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%32% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters32%1% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters1%22% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters22%12% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters12%
Changeup · 158 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%5% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters7%13% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters13%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%28% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters28%29% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Curveball · 117 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%13% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters13%8% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters8%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%14% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters14%
Sinker · 110 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%5% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters5%0% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters4%2% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters2%11% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters11%38% of his Sweeper pitches to left-handed hitters38%
Sweeper · 56 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Jac Caglianone · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .275 on 10 PA) · league .274 · 20 pitches seen.274xwOBA .384 shrunk (raw .476 on 10 PA) · league .307 · 15 pitches seen.384xwOBA .376 shrunk (raw .500 on 11 PA) · league .263 · 20 pitches seen.376xwOBA .467 shrunk (raw .574 on 14 PA) · league .342 · 35 pitches seen.467xwOBA .468 shrunk (raw .529 on 16 PA) · league .386 · 31 pitches seen.468xwOBA .330 shrunk (raw .347 on 6 PA) · league .321 · 17 pitches seen.330xwOBA .284 shrunk (raw .261 on 12 PA) · league .308 · 36 pitches seen.284xwOBA .347 shrunk (raw .343 on 13 PA) · league .351 · 29 pitches seen.347xwOBA .346 shrunk (raw .439 on 7 PA) · league .292 · 16 pitches seen.346xwOBA .326 shrunk (raw .279 on 13 PA) · league .377 · 57 pitches seen.326xwOBA .332 shrunk (raw .385 on 13 PA) · league .274 · 43 pitches seen.332xwOBA .224 shrunk (raw .194 on 16 PA) · league .263 · 72 pitches seen.224xwOBA .315 shrunk (raw .338 on 22 PA) · league .274 · 114 pitches seen.315
vs RHP · 505 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 13% of 16 swings · league 22%13%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 20%15%Whiff 0% of 17 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 4% of 26 swings · league 10%4%Whiff 11% of 28 swings · league 9%11%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 11%7%Whiff 43% of 28 swings · league 14%43%Whiff 18% of 22 swings · league 13%18%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 17%15%Whiff 41% of 27 swings · league 28%41%Whiff 17% of 30 swings · league 24%17%Whiff 32% of 34 swings · league 32%32%Whiff 47% of 36 swings · league 49%47%
vs RHP · 505 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 80% of 20 pitches · league 62%80%Swings at 87% of 15 pitches · league 72%87%Swings at 85% of 20 pitches · league 66%85%Swings at 74% of 35 pitches · league 70%74%Swings at 90% of 31 pitches · league 76%90%Swings at 82% of 17 pitches · league 70%82%Swings at 78% of 36 pitches · league 65%78%Swings at 76% of 29 pitches · league 68%76%Swings at 81% of 16 pitches · league 60%81%Swings at 47% of 57 pitches · league 24%47%Swings at 70% of 43 pitches · league 34%70%Swings at 47% of 72 pitches · league 40%47%Swings at 32% of 114 pitches · league 32%32%
vs RHP · 505 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Jac Caglianone against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball35%94.6+5″ / +16″.359.35519.8%16.6%134About league average vs these
Cutter24%85.8-8″ / +2″.321.31732.2%29.2%66About league average vs these
Changeup16%82.2+13″ / +12″.323.31829.6%27.0%36About league average vs these
Sinker10%93.6+14″ / +9″.366.36216.4%14.1%119About league average vs these
Curveball8%78.9-12″ / -9″.305.30030.2%28.1%45About league average vs these
Sweeper7%82.9-16″ / -1″.314.31027.4%25.6%39About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jac Caglianone · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.750.786.917.729.5800.0%14.3%8.0%98.2113.88.3%66.7%58.3%
Last 15 G1438.382.447.500.418.34623.7%7.9%24.7%95.8113.84.0%56.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2672.424.472.561.457.38022.2%6.9%26.8%94.9114.48.0%56.0%42.0%
90 days55165.353.382.564.418.38217.6%4.2%23.4%93.3115.39.4%52.3%35.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 128 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 24%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.125.222.125.178.21133.3%11.1%36.8%87.0101.60.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G715.077.200.077.153.24533.3%6.7%33.3%85.5102.90.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1943.250.302.375.321.30727.9%2.3%33.7%90.3108.07.1%39.3%32.1%
90 days3683.225.253.362.279.25127.7%1.2%30.4%90.3112.25.3%45.6%24.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 57 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 19%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.500.565.600.513.43513.0%13.0%20.5%94.9113.85.9%52.9%47.1%
Last 15 G1553.298.377.383.343.31826.4%7.5%27.3%93.3113.83.0%48.5%36.4%
Last 30 G30115.358.409.491.405.35224.3%5.2%29.6%93.3114.47.7%50.0%38.5%
90 days63248.309.339.496.371.33821.0%3.2%25.9%92.4115.38.1%50.3%31.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 185 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 23%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 4%
Jac Caglianone · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating83Excellent
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.370 / .355results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSweeper86.8103.7-24.125Single
Sep 25LHPCurveball78.391.910.605Single
Sep 25RHPSinker96.9104.216.591Double
Sep 25RHPFastball92.689.410.476Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.690.419.481Single
Sep 23LHPSlider83.272.2-16.042Out
Sep 23LHPSweeper80.0101.6-3.370Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper81.175.1-3.088Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup86.3101.81.456Single
Sep 22RHPFastball91.9107.2221.517Double
Sep 22LHPCutter90.094.239.093Out
Sep 20RHPSinker96.6113.8-1.532Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25534001
Sep 23411001
Sep 22523001
Sep 20422010
Sep 19522020
Sep 17300001
Sep 16100001
Sep 15400003
Sep 13300002
Sep 12100001

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.3%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%18.7%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.4%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%17.7%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%20.7%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.7%
Jac Caglianone bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Jac Caglianone with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%47.3%41.3%
Whiff%25.5%21.6%
Contact%74.5%78.4%
Chase%43.3%39.4%
wOBA.236.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.9%21.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.322
K%21.2%
BB%4.3%
Whiff%14.7%
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%36.1%
Avg EV91.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

165 PA
wOBA.403
xwOBA vs this mix.366against pitches like his
RV/1002.45
Hard-hit%38.8%
K%18.5%
BB%3.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC7 days' rest
4.1projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 7 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 42.1%42%≤34 strikeouts: 19.4%19%45 strikeouts: 15.8%16%56 strikeouts: 10.8%11%67 strikeouts: 6.2%6%78 strikeouts: 3.3%3%89+ strikeouts: 2.4%2%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 58% (red bars) · under: 42%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jac Caglianone: every projection we've made →