MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 4Salvador Perez
Bats rightTalent grade BPowerNormal
.329wOBA vs RHP.349xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
3.7projected K17%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 25% usage, 93.9 mph, +4.2″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .358 vs league .354 (about even).Fastball 25%Cutter: 23% usage, 85.1 mph, -7.0″ arm side, +0.1″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .288 vs league .284 (about even).Cutter 23%Sinker: 19% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +7.9″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .356 vs league .351 (about even).Sinker 19%Changeup: 14% usage, 80.6 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .326 vs league .322 (about even).Changeup 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 78.1 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.2″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .282 vs league .278 (about even).Curveball 12%Sweeper: 8% usage, 82.0 mph, -16.6″ arm side, -1.7″ rise. Salvador Perez: wOBA .279 vs league .275 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Salvador Perez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Salvador Perez's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 83.4 mph at -21°Home run: 110.1 mph at 20°Single: 95.7 mph at 8°Out: 106.5 mph at 23°Out: 66.1 mph at -36°Single: 78.5 mph at 20°Out: 91.1 mph at 38°Out: 109.5 mph at -1°Single: 103.8 mph at 1°Single: 91.3 mph at 15°Out: 81.0 mph at 73°Out: 100.0 mph at 39°Out: 62.9 mph at -15°Out: 104.0 mph at 21°Out: 108.6 mph at 7°Out: 87.5 mph at 26°Out: 59.9 mph at -39°Out: 103.2 mph at 8°Out: 99.0 mph at -19°Single: 73.8 mph at 32°Out: 101.3 mph at 54°Out: 94.0 mph at 63°Out: 91.3 mph at -6°Single: 108.1 mph at 11°Out: 76.6 mph at 39°Out: 94.2 mph at -7°Out: 98.3 mph at 9°Out: 82.7 mph at -36°Single: 103.9 mph at 0°Single: 86.9 mph at 13°Out: 101.3 mph at 0°Out: 87.2 mph at 34°Out: 98.0 mph at 48°Out: 101.0 mph at 36°Out: 90.5 mph at 63°Out: 97.5 mph at 7°Single: 102.5 mph at 13°Single: 92.2 mph at 11°Double: 103.4 mph at 22°Out: 81.8 mph at 27°
50% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit72.2%70.6%+1.6
2+ total bases44.7%44.2%+0.5
Home run14.0%16.2%-2.2
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.4
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
-0.6
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
0.0
Park
-1.7

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Salvador Perez against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball25%93.9+4″ / +15″.358.35418.1%18.4%42About league average vs these
Cutter23%85.1-7″ / +0″.288.28431.7%32.8%42About league average vs these
Sinker19%92.7+15″ / +8″.356.35110.9%11.2%40About league average vs these
Changeup14%80.6+12″ / +12″.326.32225.9%25.7%11About league average vs these
Curveball12%78.1-14″ / -8″.282.27833.2%30.6%19About league average vs these
Sweeper8%82.0-17″ / -2″.279.27532.9%30.4%28About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Salvador Perez · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G311.400.455.700.491.41727.3%9.1%22.2%94.3110.114.3%57.1%42.9%
Last 15 G1138.270.289.378.293.34721.1%2.6%29.6%92.0110.110.3%51.7%41.4%
Last 30 G2688.262.295.440.333.36717.0%3.4%26.1%89.9111.313.2%47.1%38.2%
90 days64205.250.299.441.332.35018.0%4.4%25.1%89.0111.310.5%42.8%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.200.200.200.180.50440.0%0.0%30.8%92.0106.533.3%33.3%66.7%
Last 15 G1017.200.294.200.238.39417.6%11.8%20.6%92.9108.68.3%41.7%41.7%
Last 30 G1831.276.323.345.300.38522.6%6.5%20.6%90.0108.69.1%40.9%40.9%
90 days4188.284.322.407.334.35221.6%3.4%20.9%91.2109.211.1%50.8%41.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.333.375.533.394.44531.2%6.2%25.0%93.6110.120.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1555.250.291.327.277.36120.0%5.5%27.0%92.3110.19.8%48.8%41.5%
Last 30 G30119.265.303.416.324.37218.5%4.2%24.6%89.9111.312.2%45.6%38.9%
90 days72293.260.306.431.332.35019.1%4.1%23.8%89.7111.310.7%45.1%39.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 215 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 22%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 7%
Salvador Perez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating93Top tier
Last 100 pitches96steady
wOBA / xwOBA.330 / .373running 42 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCutter90.483.4-21.049Out
Sep 24RHPFastball95.1110.1201.421Home run
Sep 23RHPSinker96.095.78.544Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper83.6106.5231.588Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper83.566.1-36.052Out
Sep 22LHPCutter91.778.520.898Single
Sep 22LHPSweeper83.391.138.036Out
Sep 20RHPSinker97.4109.5-1.466Out
Sep 20RHPSlider90.2103.81.456Single
Sep 20RHPSinker94.291.315.906Single
Sep 18RHPSweeper83.581.073.000Out
Sep 18LHPSlider82.7100.039.373Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24414111
Sep 23411001
Sep 22311001
Sep 20422001
Sep 19100001
Sep 18400002
Sep 17300000
Sep 16500001
Sep 15111000
Sep 13400001

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.0%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%17.9%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.6%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%16.9%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%19.3%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.1%
Salvador Perez bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Salvador Perez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%37.2%42.4%
Whiff%20.4%22.2%
Contact%79.6%77.8%
Chase%44.3%39.8%
wOBA.248.238
Whiff vs his put-away shapes18.4%20.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.328
K%19.3%
BB%4.4%
Whiff%12.7%
Barrel%8.2%
Hard-hit%33.0%
Avg EV89.6

Against right-handers, last 90 days

202 PA
wOBA.329
xwOBA vs this mix.349against pitches like his
RV/1000.18
Hard-hit%31.3%
K%18.9%
BB%4.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC
3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 49.3%49%≤34 strikeouts: 19.2%19%45 strikeouts: 14.3%14%56 strikeouts: 8.8%9%67 strikeouts: 4.8%5%78 strikeouts: 2.2%2%89+ strikeouts: 1.4%1%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Salvador Perez: every projection we've made →