MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · COL · batting 7Adael Amador
Switch hitterTalent grade FContactNormal
.360wOBA vs RHP.281xwOBA vs his mix3.5expected PA
Starter · CWSDavis Martin
Throws rightBTB Stuff 93Trending Up
3.0projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Davis Martin's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 32% usage, 93.9 mph, +6.1″ arm side, +15.4″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .343 vs league .356 (about even).Fastball 32%Slider: 20% usage, 87.2 mph, -3.8″ arm side, +2.9″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .314 vs league .327 (about even).Slider 20%Changeup: 18% usage, 89.8 mph, +14.2″ arm side, +1.2″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .315 vs league .329 (about even).Changeup 18%Sinker: 10% usage, 92.8 mph, +14.8″ arm side, +8.0″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .348 vs league .361 (about even).Sinker 10%Curveball: 9% usage, 80.7 mph, -12.8″ arm side, -9.2″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .280 vs league .294 (about even).Curveball 9%Sweeper: 5% usage, 83.5 mph, -8.5″ arm side, +1.7″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .307 vs league .320 (about even).Sweeper 5%Cutter: 5% usage, 89.6 mph, -1.8″ arm side, +7.3″ rise. Adael Amador: wOBA .334 vs league .348 (about even).Cutter 5%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Adael Amador's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Adael Amador's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 55.5 mph at 86°Out: 59.9 mph at 20°Double: 104.1 mph at 20°Out: 97.7 mph at 33°Out: 93.5 mph at 8°Double: 93.6 mph at 28°Out: 65.9 mph at -46°Out: 92.4 mph at 21°Out: 68.5 mph at 49°Out: 99.1 mph at -32°Single: 83.0 mph at 20°Single: 86.3 mph at -4°Out: 95.3 mph at -30°Out: 96.7 mph at 0°Out: 84.7 mph at -26°Out: 85.0 mph at 84°Out: 78.4 mph at 6°Out: 92.8 mph at -4°Out: 76.1 mph at -2°Single: 77.4 mph at -49°Out: 90.4 mph at -26°Out: 85.7 mph at -24°Out: 84.2 mph at 33°Out: 65.5 mph at -24°Single: 94.6 mph at 6°Out: 69.3 mph at -2°Out: 82.6 mph at -70°Out: 64.5 mph at -33°Home run: 102.3 mph at 25°Out: 104.0 mph at -1°Double: 89.7 mph at 24°Out: 92.2 mph at -11°Out: 78.5 mph at -4°Out: 66.6 mph at -66°Out: 90.8 mph at 47°Single: 37.1 mph at 32°Out: 92.5 mph at -7°Single: 99.7 mph at 9°Out: 70.7 mph at -11°Out: 93.9 mph at 6°
20% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit58.7%57.9%+0.8
2+ total bases31.0%30.9%+0.1
Home run7.8%8.3%-0.5
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.0
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.4
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
-0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Adael Amador hits
Where they meet

.302 xwOBA for Adael Amador in the spots Davis Martin throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .312 (-9 points). His best spot against righties is up and left, outside, and Davis Martin puts 16% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Davis Martin · where he throws to left-handed hitters
3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 46% per swing3%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing4%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing6%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing6%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 5% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 17% per swing5%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 4% per swing7%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%16% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 57% per swing16%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing4%11% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing11%26% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing26%
All · 504 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters6%3% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters3%21% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters21%10% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters10%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%14% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters14%
Fastball · 162 pitches · catcher's view
3% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters2%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters5% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters5%7% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters7%2% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters7%4% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters4%17% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters17%0% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters19% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters19%29% of his Changeup pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Changeup · 93 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters6%12% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters12%7% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters7%10% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters10%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters20% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters20%39% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters39%
Curveball · 87 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%6% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters6%0% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters10%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%16% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters16%1% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters1%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%19% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters19%
Cutter · 70 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters2%12% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters12%4% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters4%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%3% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters3%7% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters7%6% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters6%10% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters10%38% of his Sinker pitches to left-handed hitters38%
Sinker · 68 pitches · catcher's view
4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters4%8% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters8%21% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters21%0% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters13% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters13%29% of his Slider pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Slider · 24 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Adael Amador · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .274 · 7 pitches seenxwOBA .314 shrunk (raw .332 on 5 PA) · league .307 · 11 pitches seen.314xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .263 · 3 pitches seenxwOBA .313 shrunk (raw .226 on 4 PA) · league .342 · 16 pitches seen.313xwOBA .390 shrunk (raw .396 on 7 PA) · league .386 · 16 pitches seen.390xwOBA .300 shrunk (raw .258 on 6 PA) · league .321 · 13 pitches seen.300xwOBA .275 shrunk (raw .177 on 4 PA) · league .308 · 10 pitches seen.275xwOBA .346 shrunk (raw .332 on 4 PA) · league .351 · 11 pitches seen.346xwOBA .255 shrunk (raw .191 on 7 PA) · league .292 · 11 pitches seen.255xwOBA .418 shrunk (raw .516 on 5 PA) · league .377 · 37 pitches seen.418xwOBA .253 shrunk (raw .003 on 1 PA) · league .274 · 7 pitches seen.253xwOBA .198 shrunk (raw .086 on 7 PA) · league .263 · 26 pitches seen.198xwOBA .267 shrunk (raw .246 on 4 PA) · league .274 · 45 pitches seen.267
vs RHP · 213 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 1 swings · league 22%0%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 20%22%Whiff 100% of 2 swings · league 19%100%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 17% of 12 swings · league 9%17%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 11%20%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 14%14%Whiff 0% of 10 swings · league 13%0%Whiff 0% of 8 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 33% of 3 swings · league 28%33%Whiff 0% of 2 swings · league 24%0%Whiff 14% of 14 swings · league 32%14%Whiff 17% of 12 swings · league 49%17%
vs RHP · 213 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 14% of 7 pitches · league 62%14%Swings at 82% of 11 pitches · league 72%82%Swings at 67% of 3 pitches · league 66%67%Swings at 69% of 16 pitches · league 70%69%Swings at 75% of 16 pitches · league 76%75%Swings at 77% of 13 pitches · league 70%77%Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 65%70%Swings at 91% of 11 pitches · league 68%91%Swings at 73% of 11 pitches · league 60%73%Swings at 8% of 37 pitches · league 24%8%Swings at 29% of 7 pitches · league 34%29%Swings at 54% of 26 pitches · league 40%54%Swings at 27% of 45 pitches · league 32%27%
vs RHP · 213 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Adael Amador against each of Davis Martin's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball32%93.9+6″ / +15″.343.35615.6%16.9%73About league average vs these
Slider20%87.2-4″ / +3″.314.32721.2%28.0%31About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup18%89.8+14″ / +1″.315.32918.4%21.8%25About league average vs these
Sinker10%92.8+15″ / +8″.348.36112.7%14.1%47About league average vs these
Curveball9%80.7-13″ / -9″.280.29422.1%28.7%8Little history vs this shape
Sweeper5%83.5-9″ / +2″.307.32021.8%28.0%21About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter5%89.6-2″ / +7″.334.34819.7%21.9%35About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Adael Amador · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.333.455.556.436.3439.1%18.2%20.0%82.1104.112.5%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1335.258.343.516.369.3075.7%8.6%14.8%84.9104.210.3%27.6%24.1%
Last 30 G2355.250.333.562.382.26710.9%9.1%13.9%82.4104.27.0%25.6%20.9%
90 days2355.250.333.562.382.26710.9%9.1%13.9%82.4104.27.0%25.6%20.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 9%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.250.250.250.225.3160.0%0.0%0.0%85.899.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G818.188.278.250.247.22516.7%11.1%11.1%82.399.10.0%7.7%30.8%
Last 30 G1532.321.406.393.365.29315.6%12.5%10.4%83.0108.54.3%21.7%39.1%
90 days1532.321.406.393.365.29315.6%12.5%10.4%83.0108.54.3%21.7%39.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 23 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.308.400.462.380.3366.7%13.3%14.8%83.3104.18.3%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1553.234.321.426.327.2799.4%9.4%13.2%84.1104.27.1%21.4%26.2%
Last 30 G2587.276.360.500.376.27712.6%10.3%12.5%82.6108.56.1%24.2%27.3%
90 days2587.276.360.500.376.27712.6%10.3%12.5%82.6108.56.1%24.2%27.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 14%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 12%
Adael Amador · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating35Below average
Last 100 pitches13trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.371 / .300running 70 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPSlider84.755.586.007Out
Sep 25RHPFastball98.059.920.257Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.0104.120.699Double
Sep 24RHPCutter89.397.733.423Out
Sep 23RHPCutter91.293.58.460Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup88.393.628.215Double
Sep 23RHPChangeup91.165.9-46.176Force out
Sep 23LHPSweeper86.892.421.264Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball81.268.549.164Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup84.499.1-32.081Out
Sep 20LHPFastball92.583.020.754Single
Sep 19RHPSinker97.886.3-4.138Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400011
Sep 24212000
Sep 23412000
Sep 20411010
Sep 19111000
Sep 18400000
Sep 17100010
Sep 16400002
Sep 15511000
Sep 14511010

Two strikes

Davis Martin CWS · RHPwith two strikes
Davis Martin with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball27%29%16.7%12.2%18.3%
Curveball17%19%32.0%30.6%20.7%
Slider10%17%11.1%9.3%21.4%
Sinker20%16%0.0%2.4%17.7%
Changeup14%10%0.0%4.0%18.4%
Cutter12%8%7.1%4.8%18.7%
Adael Amador bats Swith two strikes, vs this hand
Adael Amador with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%40.1%41.3%
Whiff%21.4%21.6%
Contact%78.6%78.4%
Chase%39.3%39.4%
wOBA.238.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes20.4%20.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFContact type
wOBA.301
K%18.7%
BB%9.0%
Whiff%9.0%
Barrel%3.7%
Hard-hit%19.9%
Avg EV83.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

55 PA
wOBA.360
xwOBA vs this mix.281against pitches like his
RV/1000.98
Hard-hit%21.8%
K%15.0%
BB%9.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Davis MartinRHP · CWS vs COL6 days' rest
3.0projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 19.4 batters over 4.6 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 64.2%64%≤34 strikeouts: 16.8%17%45 strikeouts: 10.3%10%56 strikeouts: 5.1%5%67 strikeouts: 2.3%2%78 strikeouts: 0.9%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.4%0%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 19% (red bars) · under: 81%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.4%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%7.0%
Velo89.6
BTB Stuff93
Location96
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball27%8593.46.9%
Sinker20%8092.60.0%
Curveball17%9781.312.5%
Changeup14%10389.64.5%
Cutter12%11089.89.0%
Slider10%9886.610.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 207033%16%22%.267
Sep 15710%1%45%.270
Sep 9685%6%47%.321

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Davis Martin CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Adael Amador: every projection we've made →