MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CWS · batting 5Brenton Doyle
Bats rightTalent grade DBalancedHot
.337wOBA vs LHP.280xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · COLJose Quintana
Throws leftBTB Stuff 83Stable
3.1projected K11%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jose Quintana's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 28% usage, 90.7 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +12.7″ rise. Brenton Doyle: wOBA .359 vs league .365 (about even).Sinker 28%Fastball: 26% usage, 90.9 mph, +3.2″ arm side, +15.8″ rise. Brenton Doyle: wOBA .358 vs league .363 (about even).Fastball 26%Changeup: 19% usage, 85.9 mph, +13.6″ arm side, +5.0″ rise. Brenton Doyle: wOBA .302 vs league .307 (about even).Changeup 19%Curveball: 19% usage, 78.0 mph, -6.6″ arm side, -7.8″ rise. Brenton Doyle: wOBA .305 vs league .310 (about even).Curveball 19%Sweeper: 8% usage, 78.6 mph, -10.6″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Brenton Doyle: wOBA .312 vs league .317 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Brenton Doyle's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Brenton Doyle's last 40 balls in playHit (16)Out (24)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 82.1 mph at 45°Out: 91.0 mph at -18°Single: 56.3 mph at -59°Home run: 105.3 mph at 27°Out: 79.9 mph at -2°Single: 74.1 mph at -58°Out: 103.7 mph at 20°Out: 99.0 mph at 18°Single: 87.6 mph at 14°Out: 105.6 mph at 17°Out: 97.0 mph at -10°Double: 93.9 mph at 21°Out: 93.5 mph at -24°Single: 108.8 mph at 6°Single: 25.4 mph at -27°Single: 99.5 mph at 3°Out: 92.3 mph at 67°Triple: 102.2 mph at 40°Single: 101.3 mph at 6°Out: 89.3 mph at -14°Single: 109.4 mph at 13°Out: 92.1 mph at 31°Out: 92.8 mph at 10°Home run: 100.1 mph at 31°Single: 94.0 mph at 15°Out: 87.0 mph at -33°Out: 74.8 mph at -52°Single: 74.3 mph at 5°Single: 100.4 mph at 8°Out: 74.8 mph at 48°Out: 109.8 mph at 15°Out: 79.1 mph at -33°Out: 21.2 mph at -17°Out: 80.0 mph at 72°Out: 90.8 mph at 54°Out: 73.1 mph at 36°Out: 91.2 mph at 0°Single: 59.9 mph at -65°Out: 89.4 mph at 35°Out: 61.7 mph at 1°
33% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot40% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.3%57.3%+3.0
2+ total bases35.4%33.0%+2.4
Home run10.8%9.8%+1.1
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.6
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Brenton Doyle hits
Brenton Doyle · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .138 on 1 PA) · league .243 · 4 pitches seen.235xwOBA .289 shrunk (raw .200 on 1 PA) · league .296 · 5 pitches seen.289xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw .314 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 12 pitches seen.263xwOBA .258 shrunk (raw .058 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 7 pitches seen.258xwOBA .373 shrunk (raw .345 on 5 PA) · league .385 · 13 pitches seen.373xwOBA .457 shrunk (raw .807 on 4 PA) · league .340 · 9 pitches seen.457xwOBA .341 shrunk (raw .505 on 5 PA) · league .273 · 11 pitches seen.341xwOBA .386 shrunk (raw .495 on 4 PA) · league .350 · 12 pitches seen.386xwOBA .283 shrunk (raw .190 on 2 PA) · league .299 · 5 pitches seen.283xwOBA .263 shrunk (raw .106 on 3 PA) · league .302 · 13 pitches seen.263xwOBA .282 shrunk (raw .154 on 6 PA) · league .346 · 22 pitches seen.282xwOBA .205 shrunk (raw .036 on 6 PA) · league .289 · 30 pitches seen.205xwOBA .187 shrunk (raw .046 on 6 PA) · league .257 · 23 pitches seen.187
vs LHP · 166 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 19%0%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 21%20%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 23%20%Whiff 0% of 6 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 0% of 11 swings · league 10%0%Whiff 0% of 7 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 22% of 9 swings · league 17%22%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 14%20%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 16%0%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 25%14%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 29%40%Whiff 69% of 13 swings · league 48%69%Whiff 90% of 10 swings · league 34%90%
vs LHP · 166 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 75% of 4 pitches · league 63%75%Swings at 100% of 5 pitches · league 71%100%Swings at 42% of 12 pitches · league 64%42%Swings at 86% of 7 pitches · league 67%86%Swings at 85% of 13 pitches · league 76%85%Swings at 78% of 9 pitches · league 72%78%Swings at 82% of 11 pitches · league 59%82%Swings at 83% of 12 pitches · league 68%83%Swings at 60% of 5 pitches · league 66%60%Swings at 54% of 13 pitches · league 30%54%Swings at 23% of 22 pitches · league 26%23%Swings at 43% of 30 pitches · league 31%43%Swings at 44% of 23 pitches · league 41%44%
vs LHP · 166 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Brenton Doyle against each of Jose Quintana's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker28%90.7+13″ / +13″.359.36519.1%15.8%152About league average vs these
Fastball26%90.9+3″ / +16″.358.36319.1%15.6%125About league average vs these
Changeup19%85.9+14″ / +5″.302.30738.4%29.5%48About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball19%78.0-7″ / -8″.305.31034.0%26.6%45About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sweeper8%78.6-11″ / -1″.312.31734.4%26.8%52About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Brenton Doyle · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.800.580.45320.0%0.0%28.6%96.7105.325.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G717.353.353.647.476.30341.2%0.0%31.4%100.0109.410.0%70.0%20.0%
Last 30 G2146.267.267.533.361.27534.8%0.0%29.5%89.9109.813.3%43.3%26.7%
90 days2349.271.271.521.357.26532.7%0.0%28.7%89.8109.812.1%42.4%24.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 33 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 15%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.308.308.385.304.28030.8%0.0%30.8%86.9105.60.0%33.3%55.6%
Last 15 G1224.208.208.250.202.20345.8%0.0%46.7%83.2105.60.0%23.1%53.8%
Last 30 G2140.225.225.250.211.19335.0%0.0%38.9%84.6105.60.0%19.2%34.6%
90 days2346.244.261.289.246.21534.8%2.2%35.3%85.7105.60.0%24.1%34.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 29 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 28%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.278.278.500.381.32827.8%0.0%30.3%89.9105.67.7%38.5%46.2%
Last 15 G1541.268.268.415.316.24443.9%0.0%40.0%90.5109.44.3%43.5%39.1%
Last 30 G3086.247.247.400.291.23634.9%0.0%33.8%87.4109.87.1%32.1%30.4%
90 days3395.258.266.409.303.24133.7%1.1%31.8%87.9109.86.5%33.9%29.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 21%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 7%
Brenton Doyle · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormHot
Contact rating4Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches37trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.300 / .247running 53 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball94.082.145.031Out
Sep 22LHPFastball94.191.0-18.138Out
Sep 22RHPSlider85.456.3-59.251Single
Sep 22LHPChangeup82.7105.3271.754Home run
Sep 22RHPSinker92.679.9-2.172Out
Sep 20RHPFastball96.274.1-58.312Single
Sep 20RHPFastball95.2103.720.699Out
Sep 20RHPSlider88.499.018.393Out
Sep 19RHPSlider89.487.614.903Single
Sep 19RHPSinker95.5105.617.660Out
Sep 18LHPSlider82.497.0-10.261Error
Sep 18RHPSinker94.893.921.222Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24200001
Sep 22525101
Sep 20411001
Sep 19311001
Sep 18412001
Sep 17422002
Sep 16411002
Sep 15324001
Sep 13200001
Sep 11211001

Two strikes

Jose Quintana COL · LHPwith two strikes
Jose Quintana with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball26%30%0.0%0.0%18.4%
Sweeper19%26%66.7%33.3%21.2%
Sinker26%22%0.0%0.0%17.8%
Curveball19%13%–0.0%20.9%
Changeup11%9%0.0%0.0%18.3%
Brenton Doyle bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Brenton Doyle with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%51.6%41.4%
Whiff%31.1%22.0%
Contact%68.9%78.0%
Chase%37.1%40.7%
wOBA.241.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes22.5%15.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.302
K%28.2%
BB%4.5%
Whiff%13.3%
Barrel%5.5%
Hard-hit%26.7%
Avg EV88.6

Against left-handers, last 90 days

49 PA
wOBA.337
xwOBA vs this mix.280against pitches like his
RV/1000.12
Hard-hit%27.1%
K%29.1%
BB%3.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jose QuintanaLHP · COL vs CWS7 days' rest
3.1projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.8 batters over 3.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 63.6%64%≤34 strikeouts: 17.0%17%45 strikeouts: 10.4%10%56 strikeouts: 5.3%5%67 strikeouts: 2.3%2%78 strikeouts: 1.0%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.4%0%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 36% (red bars) · under: 64%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%11.1%
BB%5.6%
Whiff%7.1%
Velo84.5
BTB Stuff83
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball26%7789.15.6%
Sinker26%8888.80.0%
Curveball19%7778.47.7%
Sweeper19%9278.923.1%
Changeup11%8183.60.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jose Quintana COL · LHPvsCWS lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Brenton Doyle: every projection we've made →