MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup projected
Hitter · COL · batting 3Hunter Goodman
Bats rightTalent grade CBalancedNormal
.351wOBA vs RHP.307xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CWSDavis Martin
Throws rightBTB Stuff 93Trending Up
2.9projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Davis Martin's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 27% usage, 93.4 mph, +5.2″ arm side, +13.2″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .360 vs league .350 (about even).Fastball 27%Sinker: 20% usage, 92.6 mph, +13.9″ arm side, +7.4″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .364 vs league .353 (about even).Sinker 20%Curveball: 17% usage, 81.3 mph, -14.2″ arm side, -9.0″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .284 vs league .274 (about even).Curveball 17%Changeup: 14% usage, 89.6 mph, +12.3″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .344 vs league .334 (about even).Changeup 14%Cutter: 12% usage, 89.8 mph, -0.8″ arm side, +6.6″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .317 vs league .306 (about even).Cutter 12%Slider: 10% usage, 86.7 mph, -5.0″ arm side, +0.8″ rise. Hunter Goodman: wOBA .298 vs league .288 (about even).Slider 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Hunter Goodman's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Hunter Goodman's last 40 balls in playHit (9)Out (31)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 74.7 mph at 35°Out: 97.1 mph at 10°Out: 66.6 mph at 18°Out: 81.1 mph at 31°Single: 70.6 mph at 18°Single: 67.7 mph at 23°Out: 93.1 mph at 46°Out: 68.5 mph at -14°Single: 103.1 mph at 11°Out: 98.0 mph at 42°Out: 56.9 mph at -16°Out: 88.6 mph at 0°Out: 72.3 mph at 59°Home run: 97.8 mph at 34°Single: 107.3 mph at 3°Out: 68.5 mph at 62°Out: 101.6 mph at 25°Out: 97.2 mph at 64°Out: 53.7 mph at -13°Single: 103.6 mph at 2°Out: 62.9 mph at -26°Out: 96.6 mph at 48°Out: 43.0 mph at -66°Double: 106.7 mph at -3°Triple: 108.1 mph at 23°Home run: 93.9 mph at 33°Out: 87.2 mph at 57°Out: 103.2 mph at -9°Out: 84.9 mph at -1°Out: 85.1 mph at 22°Out: 101.1 mph at -5°Out: 71.5 mph at -12°Out: 96.4 mph at 57°Out: 75.7 mph at 36°Out: 76.5 mph at 37°Out: 81.6 mph at -15°Out: 91.7 mph at 42°Out: 58.4 mph at -43°Out: 91.4 mph at 10°Out: 95.1 mph at 64°
38% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot23% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit65.0%62.0%+3.0
2+ total bases41.4%39.2%+2.3
Home run17.2%16.4%+0.8
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.2
Pitch mix
+0.9
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.3
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.6
Pitch mix
+0.9
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.4
Home run
Starter
+0.5
Pitch mix
+0.6
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.4

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Hunter Goodman against each of Davis Martin's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball27%93.4+5″ / +13″.360.35027.3%18.8%49About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Sinker20%92.6+14″ / +7″.364.35317.0%11.0%36About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball17%81.3-14″ / -9″.284.27433.5%28.4%9About league average vs these
Changeup14%89.6+12″ / +1″.344.33420.1%16.1%18About league average vs these
Cutter12%89.8-1″ / +7″.317.30636.5%26.5%34About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider10%86.7-5″ / +1″.298.28836.6%31.6%33About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Hunter Goodman · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.385.400.615.480.4136.7%6.7%11.8%83.7107.37.7%38.5%38.5%
Last 15 G1542.250.310.417.332.3487.1%7.1%17.4%84.4108.15.7%37.1%31.4%
Last 30 G2981.233.284.425.318.32817.3%6.2%23.8%86.5108.810.0%40.0%26.7%
90 days55155.266.303.573.373.32427.7%5.2%30.6%87.7110.512.7%43.1%29.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 102 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 18%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.000.000.000.000.15833.3%0.0%38.9%81.397.10.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G922.095.136.381.214.18627.3%4.5%30.6%87.5103.20.0%33.3%26.7%
Last 30 G1944.171.227.439.282.25927.3%6.8%26.3%88.5112.13.4%44.8%27.6%
90 days3988.224.330.461.344.32928.4%13.6%30.6%88.2113.37.8%41.2%37.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 51 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 24%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.263.286.421.343.34014.3%4.8%21.2%83.1107.35.9%35.3%41.2%
Last 15 G1564.193.250.404.291.29214.1%6.2%22.0%85.3108.14.0%36.0%30.0%
Last 30 G30125.211.264.430.305.30420.8%6.4%24.7%87.2112.17.9%41.6%27.0%
90 days59243.251.313.534.362.32628.0%8.2%30.6%87.8113.311.1%42.5%32.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 153 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 20%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 12%
Hunter Goodman · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating50Average
Last 100 pitches78trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.347 / .317running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball91.274.735.134Out
Sep 24LHPCutter88.797.110.708Out
Sep 24RHPSlider88.566.618.445Out
Sep 24LHPChangeup84.981.131.093Out
Sep 24RHPSlider86.870.618.681Single
Sep 23RHPSlider86.467.723.833Single
Sep 23RHPSlider85.893.146.003Sac fly
Sep 23RHPFastball92.868.5-14.042Out
Sep 23RHPSinker98.8103.111.911Single
Sep 22RHPSinker93.898.042.104Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper80.256.9-16.058Error
Sep 22RHPSlider87.488.60.259Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24511000
Sep 23422000
Sep 22400001
Sep 20414102
Sep 19411010
Sep 18511000
Sep 14425010
Sep 12514111
Sep 11400001
Sep 10500001

Two strikes

Davis Martin CWS · RHPwith two strikes
Davis Martin with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball27%29%16.7%12.2%18.0%
Curveball17%19%32.0%30.6%20.1%
Slider10%17%11.1%9.3%21.0%
Sinker20%16%0.0%2.4%16.9%
Changeup14%10%0.0%4.0%18.6%
Cutter12%8%7.1%4.8%17.9%
Hunter Goodman bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Hunter Goodman with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%47.8%42.4%
Whiff%26.2%22.2%
Contact%73.8%77.8%
Chase%45.7%39.8%
wOBA.242.238
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.7%20.9%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.353
K%27.7%
BB%7.8%
Whiff%15.6%
Barrel%6.3%
Hard-hit%26.7%
Avg EV87.8

Against right-handers, last 90 days

151 PA
wOBA.351
xwOBA vs this mix.307against pitches like his
RV/1000.63
Hard-hit%27.4%
K%27.4%
BB%8.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Davis MartinRHP · CWS vs COL
2.9projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 19.4 batters over 4.6 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 66.7%67%≤34 strikeouts: 16.2%16%45 strikeouts: 9.5%10%56 strikeouts: 4.6%5%67 strikeouts: 2.0%2%78 strikeouts: 0.7%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.3%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 56% (red bars) · under: 44%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.4%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%7.0%
Velo89.6
BTB Stuff93
Location96
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball27%8593.46.9%
Sinker20%8092.60.0%
Curveball17%9781.312.5%
Changeup14%10389.64.5%
Cutter12%11089.89.0%
Slider10%9886.610.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 207033%16%22%.267
Sep 15710%1%45%.270
Sep 9685%6%47%.321

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Davis Martin CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Hunter Goodman: every projection we've made →