MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · CWS · batting 8Luisangel Acuña
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.285wOBA vs LHP.285xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · COLJose Quintana
Throws leftBTB Stuff 83Stable
3.1projected K11%K%1.7trips vs this hitter
Jose Quintana's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Sinker: 28% usage, 90.7 mph, +13.4″ arm side, +12.7″ rise. Luisangel Acuña: wOBA .344 vs league .365 (pitcher's edge).Sinker 28%Fastball: 26% usage, 90.9 mph, +3.2″ arm side, +15.8″ rise. Luisangel Acuña: wOBA .343 vs league .363 (pitcher's edge).Fastball 26%Changeup: 19% usage, 85.9 mph, +13.6″ arm side, +5.0″ rise. Luisangel Acuña: wOBA .286 vs league .307 (pitcher's edge).Changeup 19%Curveball: 19% usage, 78.0 mph, -6.6″ arm side, -7.8″ rise. Luisangel Acuña: wOBA .290 vs league .310 (pitcher's edge).Curveball 19%Sweeper: 8% usage, 78.6 mph, -10.6″ arm side, -1.2″ rise. Luisangel Acuña: wOBA .297 vs league .317 (pitcher's edge).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Luisangel Acuña's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Luisangel Acuña's last 40 balls in playHit (8)Out (32)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 65.3 mph at 43°Out: 91.3 mph at -13°Out: 76.1 mph at -58°Out: 95.4 mph at -7°Out: 97.1 mph at -20°Out: 85.1 mph at -13°Out: 101.2 mph at -5°Out: 80.3 mph at 10°Single: 83.4 mph at 18°Double: 94.8 mph at 23°Out: 88.7 mph at -14°Out: 83.3 mph at 22°Out: 60.2 mph at 65°Out: 84.7 mph at -20°Out: 87.1 mph at -35°Out: 93.6 mph at 43°Out: 96.7 mph at 19°Single: 102.7 mph at 8°Out: 109.0 mph at -26°Out: 75.9 mph at 75°Out: 78.1 mph at -47°Out: 72.6 mph at -31°Out: 54.1 mph at 49°Single: 43.6 mph at -72°Out: 92.9 mph at 32°Single: 96.6 mph at 4°Out: 92.6 mph at 55°Out: 79.7 mph at -35°Single: 105.9 mph at 9°Out: 70.9 mph at -32°Out: 83.3 mph at -4°Out: 106.7 mph at -26°Out: 95.4 mph at -9°Out: 78.2 mph at -3°Out: 70.5 mph at -48°Single: 93.5 mph at -3°Out: 85.5 mph at -13°Single: 79.0 mph at 10°Out: 91.7 mph at 18°Out: 46.5 mph at -39°
25% hit 95+ mph25% in the sweet spot20% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.1%51.5%+2.6
2+ total bases28.4%26.5%+2.0
Home run4.6%3.9%+0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.5
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.4
Park
-0.2
Home run
Starter
+0.7
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Luisangel Acuña hits
Luisangel Acuña · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .243 shrunk (raw – on 0 PA) · league .243 · 1 pitches seenxwOBA .269 shrunk (raw .104 on 2 PA) · league .296 · 8 pitches seen.269xwOBA .275 shrunk (raw .326 on 5 PA) · league .254 · 7 pitches seen.275xwOBA .326 shrunk (raw .398 on 3 PA) · league .308 · 6 pitches seen.326xwOBA .410 shrunk (raw .486 on 4 PA) · league .385 · 9 pitches seen.410xwOBA .336 shrunk (raw .330 on 8 PA) · league .340 · 17 pitches seen.336xwOBA .234 shrunk (raw .002 on 2 PA) · league .273 · 6 pitches seen.234xwOBA .335 shrunk (raw .290 on 4 PA) · league .350 · 10 pitches seen.335xwOBA .265 shrunk (raw .060 on 2 PA) · league .299 · 8 pitches seen.265xwOBA .302 shrunk (raw .302 on 3 PA) · league .302 · 12 pitches seen.302xwOBA .360 shrunk (raw .394 on 5 PA) · league .346 · 26 pitches seen.360xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .141 on 4 PA) · league .289 · 37 pitches seen.252xwOBA .202 shrunk (raw .091 on 6 PA) · league .257 · 32 pitches seen.202
vs LHP · 179 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 100% of 1 swings · league 19%100%Whiff 17% of 6 swings · league 21%17%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 23%20%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 9%0%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 10%11%Whiff 0% of 12 swings · league 11%0%Whiff 0% of 3 swings · league 17%0%Whiff 14% of 7 swings · league 14%14%Whiff 50% of 6 swings · league 16%50%Whiff 20% of 5 swings · league 25%20%Whiff 40% of 5 swings · league 29%40%Whiff 50% of 12 swings · league 48%50%Whiff 44% of 18 swings · league 34%44%
vs LHP · 179 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 100% of 1 pitches · league 63%100%Swings at 75% of 8 pitches · league 71%75%Swings at 71% of 7 pitches · league 64%71%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 67%50%Swings at 100% of 9 pitches · league 76%100%Swings at 71% of 17 pitches · league 72%71%Swings at 50% of 6 pitches · league 59%50%Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 68%70%Swings at 75% of 8 pitches · league 66%75%Swings at 42% of 12 pitches · league 30%42%Swings at 19% of 26 pitches · league 26%19%Swings at 32% of 37 pitches · league 31%32%Swings at 56% of 32 pitches · league 41%56%
vs LHP · 179 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Luisangel Acuña against each of Jose Quintana's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Sinker28%90.7+13″ / +13″.344.36514.4%15.8%71About league average vs these
Fastball26%90.9+3″ / +16″.343.36314.4%15.6%40About league average vs these
Changeup19%85.9+14″ / +5″.286.30729.6%29.5%27About league average vs these
Curveball19%78.0-7″ / -8″.290.31024.3%26.6%7Little history vs this shape
Sweeper8%78.6-11″ / -1″.297.31724.5%26.8%15About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Luisangel Acuña · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.229.24814.3%14.3%33.3%89.097.10.0%40.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1331.138.194.172.202.23222.6%6.5%24.2%88.5109.00.0%31.8%36.4%
Last 30 G2348.239.271.283.269.26920.8%4.2%27.2%90.2109.00.0%41.7%38.9%
90 days2348.239.271.283.269.26920.8%4.2%27.2%90.2109.00.0%41.7%38.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 36 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 31%Fly ball 11%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G33.000.000.000.000.10666.7%0.0%60.0%65.365.30.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G710.200.200.200.180.13530.0%0.0%33.3%74.496.60.0%14.3%0.0%
Last 30 G1424.208.208.208.188.18929.2%0.0%30.0%75.096.60.0%11.8%17.6%
90 days1424.208.208.208.188.18929.2%0.0%30.0%75.096.60.0%11.8%17.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 17 balls in play
Ground 71%Line drive 18%Fly ball 6%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.000.100.000.160.20630.0%10.0%41.2%85.097.10.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G1541.154.195.179.196.20824.4%4.9%26.0%85.1109.00.0%27.6%27.6%
Last 30 G2972.229.250.257.242.24223.6%2.8%28.0%85.3109.00.0%32.1%32.1%
90 days2972.229.250.257.242.24223.6%2.8%28.0%85.3109.00.0%32.1%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 26%Fly ball 9%Pop-up 6%
Luisangel Acuña · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating5Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches3steady
wOBA / xwOBA.245 / .253results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper80.565.343.319Out
Sep 17LHPChangeup88.891.3-13.189Error
Sep 17LHPSinker91.876.1-58.309Out
Sep 16LHPChangeup87.495.4-7.274Out
Sep 16LHPFastball96.897.1-20.171Force out
Sep 15LHPChangeup84.585.1-13.097Out
Sep 11LHPFastball92.3101.2-5.356Force out
Sep 11LHPChangeup87.580.310.329Double play
Aug 26LHPFastball93.783.418.903Single
Aug 26LHPFastball94.794.823.234Double
Aug 26RHPFastball94.288.7-14.156Double play
Aug 26LHPSinker94.983.322.553Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24100000
Sep 22100001
Sep 17300001
Sep 16300001
Sep 15200010
Sep 11200000
Aug 26423000
Aug 21400001
Aug 17400011
Aug 13211001

Two strikes

Jose Quintana COL · LHPwith two strikes
Jose Quintana with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball26%30%0.0%0.0%18.4%
Sweeper19%26%66.7%33.3%21.2%
Sinker26%22%0.0%0.0%17.8%
Curveball19%13%–0.0%20.9%
Changeup11%9%0.0%0.0%18.3%
Luisangel Acuña bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Luisangel Acuña with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%40.7%41.4%
Whiff%22.3%22.0%
Contact%77.7%78.0%
Chase%41.6%40.7%
wOBA.227.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes15.4%15.2%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.274
K%21.3%
BB%6.0%
Whiff%11.7%
Barrel%1.6%
Hard-hit%25.3%
Avg EV86.1

Against left-handers, last 90 days

48 PA
wOBA.285
xwOBA vs this mix.285against pitches like his
RV/100-0.91
Hard-hit%28.7%
K%21.9%
BB%5.0%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Jose QuintanaLHP · COL vs CWS7 days' rest
3.1projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 16.8 batters over 3.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 63.6%64%≤34 strikeouts: 17.0%17%45 strikeouts: 10.4%10%56 strikeouts: 5.3%5%67 strikeouts: 2.3%2%78 strikeouts: 1.0%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.4%0%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 36% (red bars) · under: 64%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%11.1%
BB%5.6%
Whiff%7.1%
Velo84.5
BTB Stuff83
Location100
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball26%7789.15.6%
Sinker26%8888.80.0%
Curveball19%7778.47.7%
Sweeper19%9278.923.1%
Changeup11%8183.60.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Jose Quintana COL · LHPvsCWS lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Luisangel Acuña: every projection we've made →