MLBengine v14
← COL at CWS, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Rate Field · lineup projected
Hitter · COL · batting 4TJ Rumfield
Bats leftTalent grade BContactNormal
.362wOBA vs RHP.337xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · CWSDavis Martin
Throws rightBTB Stuff 93Trending Up
2.9projected K13%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Davis Martin's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 27% usage, 93.4 mph, +5.2″ arm side, +13.2″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .377 vs league .365 (about even).Fastball 27%Sinker: 20% usage, 92.6 mph, +13.9″ arm side, +7.4″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .369 vs league .356 (about even).Sinker 20%Curveball: 17% usage, 81.3 mph, -14.2″ arm side, -9.0″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .319 vs league .306 (about even).Curveball 17%Changeup: 14% usage, 89.6 mph, +12.3″ arm side, +0.7″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .332 vs league .319 (about even).Changeup 14%Cutter: 12% usage, 89.8 mph, -0.8″ arm side, +6.6″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .367 vs league .354 (about even).Cutter 12%Slider: 10% usage, 86.7 mph, -5.0″ arm side, +0.8″ rise. TJ Rumfield: wOBA .337 vs league .324 (about even).Slider 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is TJ Rumfield's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

TJ Rumfield's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 84.7 mph at -14°Single: 79.1 mph at 12°Double: 97.2 mph at 18°Out: 92.8 mph at 36°Out: 64.6 mph at 56°Out: 102.5 mph at 17°Out: 63.9 mph at 68°Out: 93.8 mph at 48°Out: 87.2 mph at 34°Out: 97.7 mph at -19°Out: 99.5 mph at 40°Out: 79.1 mph at -7°Out: 101.4 mph at 23°Out: 95.8 mph at -27°Single: 85.8 mph at 9°Out: 61.7 mph at 12°Single: 104.5 mph at -20°Single: 65.2 mph at 38°Out: 89.6 mph at -29°Out: 105.1 mph at 17°Single: 70.2 mph at 22°Single: 92.2 mph at 19°Out: 63.4 mph at 15°Single: 72.9 mph at 29°Out: 89.8 mph at 35°Single: 86.9 mph at 13°Out: 66.2 mph at 20°Single: 96.2 mph at 4°Out: 59.1 mph at 8°Out: 53.9 mph at -49°Single: 94.1 mph at 16°Out: 86.9 mph at 40°Out: 91.1 mph at 36°Single: 91.9 mph at 13°Out: 86.2 mph at 36°Double: 90.1 mph at -33°Single: 84.5 mph at 16°Out: 98.5 mph at 55°Out: 44.7 mph at -59°Out: 102.3 mph at 53°
28% hit 95+ mph43% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit65.9%64.3%+1.6
2+ total bases35.9%34.4%+1.4
Home run8.1%7.4%+0.7
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.5
Bullpen
0.0
Park
-0.2
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.3
Pitch mix
+0.5
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
+0.2
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
-0.2

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

TJ Rumfield against each of Davis Martin's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball27%93.4+5″ / +13″.377.36510.1%14.8%66About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker20%92.6+14″ / +7″.369.3569.0%13.0%45About league average vs these
Curveball17%81.3-14″ / -9″.319.30623.8%27.9%14About league average vs these
Changeup14%89.6+12″ / +1″.332.31915.0%21.9%34About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter12%89.8-1″ / +7″.367.35415.0%21.0%41About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Slider10%86.7-5″ / +1″.337.32423.9%27.4%32About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
TJ Rumfield · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.167.286.250.254.24014.3%14.3%12.5%85.4102.50.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1546.317.391.366.353.33313.0%10.9%11.2%84.2105.10.0%26.5%50.0%
Last 30 G2984.304.429.377.375.35011.9%17.9%12.9%85.2105.13.4%27.6%46.6%
90 days70199.314.407.378.373.34513.1%12.1%16.0%84.4105.12.1%24.3%43.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 28%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.286.286.286.257.2300.0%0.0%0.0%91.1104.514.3%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1020.294.400.353.348.30215.0%10.0%6.9%84.2104.57.1%21.4%28.6%
Last 30 G2246.333.478.556.450.40710.9%19.6%10.6%87.9105.19.7%38.7%29.0%
90 days53109.289.413.444.383.34811.9%16.5%14.0%83.9110.26.5%26.0%28.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 77 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 18%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.211.286.263.255.2379.5%9.5%8.6%87.7104.55.9%41.2%35.3%
Last 15 G1566.310.394.362.352.32413.6%10.6%10.1%84.2105.12.1%25.0%43.8%
Last 30 G30130.314.446.438.402.37011.5%18.5%12.2%86.1105.15.6%31.5%40.4%
90 days74308.305.409.401.377.34612.7%13.6%15.3%84.2110.23.6%24.9%38.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 221 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 25%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 11%
TJ Rumfield · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating83Excellent
Last 100 pitches27trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.373 / .355running 17 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball91.884.7-14.068Out
Sep 24LHPFastball89.679.112.383Single
Sep 24RHPChangeup90.697.218.477Double
Sep 24LHPCutter88.692.836.073Out
Sep 23RHPCutter90.664.656.010Out
Sep 23RHPCutter90.7102.517.514Out
Sep 23RHPFastball99.563.968.000Out
Sep 23RHPFastball99.093.848.010Out
Sep 22RHPFastball93.187.234.017Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup85.097.7-19.103Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.699.540.303Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball81.479.1-7.061Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24523010
Sep 23400000
Sep 22400001
Sep 20400010
Sep 19422001
Sep 18511002
Sep 17311011
Sep 15622000
Sep 14522000
Sep 13411010

Two strikes

Davis Martin CWS · RHPwith two strikes
Davis Martin with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball27%29%16.7%12.2%18.0%
Curveball17%19%32.0%30.6%20.1%
Slider10%17%11.1%9.3%21.0%
Sinker20%16%0.0%2.4%16.9%
Changeup14%10%0.0%4.0%18.6%
Cutter12%8%7.1%4.8%17.9%
TJ Rumfield bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
TJ Rumfield with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Makes contact on his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%33.1%41.0%
Whiff%16.6%21.3%
Contact%83.4%78.7%
Chase%39.7%39.6%
wOBA.263.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes15.5%20.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBContact type
wOBA.354
K%14.3%
BB%12.7%
Whiff%7.6%
Barrel%2.9%
Hard-hit%18.4%
Avg EV84.9

Against right-handers, last 90 days

196 PA
wOBA.362
xwOBA vs this mix.337against pitches like his
RV/1000.66
Hard-hit%17.5%
K%14.3%
BB%13.3%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Davis MartinRHP · CWS vs COL
2.9projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 19.4 batters over 4.6 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 66.7%67%≤34 strikeouts: 16.2%16%45 strikeouts: 9.5%10%56 strikeouts: 4.6%5%67 strikeouts: 2.0%2%78 strikeouts: 0.7%1%89+ strikeouts: 0.3%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 56% (red bars) · under: 44%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%13.4%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%7.0%
Velo89.6
BTB Stuff93
Location96
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball27%8593.46.9%
Sinker20%8092.60.0%
Curveball17%9781.312.5%
Changeup14%10389.64.5%
Cutter12%11089.89.0%
Slider10%9886.610.7%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 207033%16%22%.267
Sep 15710%1%45%.270
Sep 9685%6%47%.321

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Davis Martin CWS · RHPvsCOL lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCOL @ CWS →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.TJ Rumfield: every projection we've made →