Hitter · DET · batting 4Riley Greene
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
1+ hit-0.2 pts matchup
2+ total bases+0.0 pts matchup
Home run+0.3 pts matchup
33% hit 95+ mph45% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 63.3% | 63.5% | -0.2 |
| 2+ total bases | 43.9% | 43.9% | +0.0 |
| Home run | 21.9% | 21.6% | +0.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park+0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.1
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen+0.1
Park+0.2
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRiley Greene · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .300 | .462 | .400 | .396 | .361 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 28.0% | 85.7 | 109.2 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 46 | .341 | .413 | .463 | .389 | .337 | 23.9% | 10.9% | 25.8% | 87.4 | 111.5 | 10.0% | 33.3% | 46.7% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 93 | .259 | .355 | .407 | .341 | .327 | 31.2% | 10.8% | 31.8% | 84.9 | 111.5 | 11.5% | 30.8% | 50.0% |
| 90 days | 53 | 161 | .285 | .373 | .547 | .398 | .407 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 30.8% | 88.0 | 111.5 | 19.8% | 43.8% | 47.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 96 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 26%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 9 | .143 | .333 | .571 | .378 | .423 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 26.7% | 75.7 | 108.9 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 18 | .333 | .444 | .867 | .528 | .556 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 21.9% | 83.9 | 111.4 | 23.1% | 30.8% | 38.5% |
| Last 30 G | 23 | 38 | .333 | .421 | .788 | .520 | .495 | 13.2% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 86.0 | 111.4 | 17.9% | 28.6% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 46 | 75 | .250 | .320 | .529 | .373 | .401 | 21.3% | 8.0% | 21.5% | 87.2 | 111.4 | 13.5% | 34.6% | 42.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 25%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 10%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .235 | .409 | .471 | .389 | .386 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 27.5% | 81.1 | 109.2 | 15.4% | 15.4% | 38.5% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 64 | .339 | .422 | .571 | .428 | .398 | 20.3% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 86.3 | 111.5 | 14.0% | 32.6% | 44.2% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 131 | .281 | .374 | .518 | .393 | .377 | 26.0% | 10.7% | 28.3% | 85.3 | 111.5 | 13.8% | 30.0% | 47.5% |
| 90 days | 55 | 236 | .273 | .356 | .541 | .390 | .405 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 27.7% | 87.7 | 111.5 | 17.6% | 40.5% | 45.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 148 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 26%Fly ball 35%Pop-up 8%
xwOBA98.405
Avg EV4587.7
Max EV76111.5
Barrel%9917.6%
Hard-hit%5940.5%
Sweet-spot%9845.9%
K%3125.4%
BB%7610.6%
Whiff%1827.7%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating99Elite
Last 100 pitches89trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.389 / .412running 23 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 91.9 | 82.6 | 51 | .038 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Changeup | 77.5 | 93.0 | 26 | .224 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 89.2 | 75.8 | -16 | .047 | Out |
| Sep 21 | LHP | Fastball | 92.2 | 65.6 | 80 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 21 | LHP | Changeup | 82.4 | 49.7 | -18 | .088 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 94.2 | 86.1 | 54 | .018 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 92.4 | 109.2 | 20 | 1.347 | Double |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Fastball | 92.4 | 61.2 | 8 | .117 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 93.1 | 80.5 | 27 | .227 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 94.4 | 89.8 | 6 | .444 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Curveball | 75.7 | 71.1 | 10 | .249 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Cutter | 92.1 | 80.5 | 6 | .272 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gamePIT @ DET →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Riley Greene: every projection we've made →