Hitter · TB · batting 8Ryan Vilade
Bats rightTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
1+ hit+0.8 pts matchup
2+ total bases+1.2 pts matchup
Home run+1.3 pts matchup
55% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot38% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 53.8% | 53.0% | +0.8 |
| 2+ total bases | 31.8% | 30.6% | +1.2 |
| Home run | 12.7% | 11.4% | +1.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+0.9
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.1
Park+1.3
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.0
Park+1.3
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightRyan Vilade · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 11 | .000 | .091 | .000 | .145 | .234 | 45.5% | 9.1% | 37.5% | 101.0 | 108.5 | 20.0% | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 17 | .000 | .176 | .000 | .176 | .250 | 47.1% | 17.6% | 31.8% | 96.7 | 108.5 | 16.7% | 66.7% | 16.7% |
| Last 30 G | 19 | 34 | .138 | .265 | .241 | .268 | .317 | 32.4% | 14.7% | 24.1% | 86.4 | 108.5 | 11.1% | 38.9% | 22.2% |
| 90 days | 25 | 47 | .100 | .234 | .175 | .223 | .292 | 31.9% | 12.8% | 26.7% | 84.9 | 108.5 | 8.0% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 16%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 4%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 10 | .143 | .400 | .143 | .411 | .446 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 72.7 | 95.7 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 31 | .250 | .419 | .333 | .390 | .427 | 19.4% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 86.5 | 105.4 | 5.9% | 41.2% | 29.4% |
| Last 30 G | 22 | 53 | .289 | .396 | .422 | .389 | .450 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 23.3% | 91.8 | 113.0 | 9.1% | 54.5% | 30.3% |
| 90 days | 36 | 84 | .270 | .357 | .527 | .394 | .399 | 25.0% | 9.5% | 22.8% | 91.9 | 113.0 | 11.5% | 50.0% | 32.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 23%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 15%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .059 | .238 | .059 | .265 | .329 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 28.1% | 86.8 | 108.5 | 10.0% | 50.0% | 30.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .158 | .333 | .211 | .313 | .363 | 29.2% | 16.7% | 26.2% | 89.2 | 108.5 | 8.7% | 47.8% | 26.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 87 | .230 | .345 | .351 | .341 | .397 | 25.3% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 89.9 | 113.0 | 9.8% | 49.0% | 27.5% |
| 90 days | 44 | 131 | .211 | .313 | .404 | .332 | .360 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 24.0% | 89.6 | 113.0 | 10.4% | 44.2% | 32.5% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 77 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 12%
xwOBA91.360
Avg EV6989.6
Max EV90113.0
Barrel%8010.4%
Hard-hit%7444.2%
Sweet-spot%2932.5%
K%1927.5%
BB%7710.7%
Whiff%3824.0%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating88Excellent
Last 100 pitches61trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.325 / .362running 37 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases0/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 94.8 | 100.7 | -9 | .293 | Force out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 90.0 | 99.9 | 31 | .864 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Splitter | 92.2 | 108.5 | -14 | .238 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 92.3 | 103.6 | -4 | .392 | Error |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Curveball | 74.0 | 95.7 | -12 | .171 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 94.1 | 92.2 | -23 | .091 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Sweeper | 80.4 | 50.0 | 1 | .130 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Slider | 83.9 | 72.5 | 34 | .342 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Sinker | 89.7 | 68.3 | 27 | .896 | Single |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Curveball | 77.0 | 77.1 | 12 | .347 | Out |
| Sep 16 | LHP | Curveball | 78.6 | 96.3 | 13 | .907 | Single |
| Sep 16 | LHP | Fastball | 92.2 | 103.3 | 50 | .024 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameTB @ PHI →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Ryan Vilade: every projection we've made →