MLBengine v14
← TEX at MIN, Sep 26, 2026
3:10 PM CT · Target Field · lineup confirmed
Hitter · MIN · batting 3Kody Clemens
Bats leftTalent grade BPowerCold
.330wOBA vs RHP.343xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · TEXNathan Eovaldi
Throws rightBTB Stuff 93Trending Down
4.7projected K22%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Nathan Eovaldi's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 33% usage, 95.6 mph, +12.7″ arm side, +13.6″ rise. Kody Clemens: wOBA .346 vs league .359 (about even).Fastball 33%Splitter: 26% usage, 88.1 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +0.8″ rise. Kody Clemens: wOBA .283 vs league .294 (about even).Splitter 26%Curveball: 18% usage, 76.9 mph, -9.2″ arm side, -9.1″ rise. Kody Clemens: wOBA .294 vs league .305 (about even).Curveball 18%Cutter: 16% usage, 91.0 mph, -1.1″ arm side, +10.3″ rise. Kody Clemens: wOBA .347 vs league .359 (about even).Cutter 16%Slider: 6% usage, 85.7 mph, -6.2″ arm side, +2.2″ rise. Kody Clemens: wOBA .322 vs league .333 (about even).Slider 6%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Kody Clemens's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Kody Clemens's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Single: 90.0 mph at 21°Single: 99.1 mph at -7°Home run: 103.9 mph at 27°Out: 98.5 mph at 0°Out: 87.0 mph at 58°Out: 91.7 mph at -10°Out: 95.1 mph at -12°Out: 106.2 mph at 8°Single: 104.4 mph at 3°Out: 78.5 mph at 46°Out: 85.0 mph at 36°Out: 60.6 mph at -38°Out: 56.3 mph at 82°Out: 96.8 mph at 43°Out: 73.9 mph at -29°Out: 91.9 mph at 34°Out: 77.3 mph at -24°Out: 91.3 mph at 4°Out: 81.0 mph at -57°Out: 99.2 mph at 38°Single: 75.2 mph at 25°Out: 39.6 mph at -39°Out: 83.7 mph at 24°Single: 104.8 mph at 6°Triple: 95.2 mph at 0°Out: 88.9 mph at 1°Out: 65.9 mph at -2°Out: 88.1 mph at -29°Out: 73.8 mph at 8°Out: 95.7 mph at -16°Out: 100.8 mph at 10°Out: 64.0 mph at -72°Double: 91.4 mph at 27°Out: 94.3 mph at 60°Single: 82.7 mph at 17°Out: 66.4 mph at -35°Out: 83.3 mph at 33°Single: 94.7 mph at 3°Out: 77.8 mph at 34°Single: 104.9 mph at 4°
33% hit 95+ mph23% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit63.3%63.2%+0.1
2+ total bases42.0%41.8%+0.2
Home run17.0%17.0%+0.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+0.3
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
+0.0
2+ total bases
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-0.3
Home run
Starter
+1.2
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-0.9

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Kody Clemens hits
Where they meet

.335 xwOBA for Kody Clemens in the spots Nathan Eovaldi throws to lefties

The average hitter in those same spots: .306 (+29 points). His best spot against righties is down and left, outside, and Nathan Eovaldi puts 18% of his pitches there. Context only; the projection reads pitch type, not location.

Nathan Eovaldi · where he throws to left-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 14% per swing4%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing2%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing4%7% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing7%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing4%3% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing3%8% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 18% per swing8%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 12% per swing10%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%12% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing12%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 75% per swing4%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing18%21% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing21%
All · 362 pitches · catcher's view
1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%6% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters6%4% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters4%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters11% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters11%10% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters10%2% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2%11% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters11%1% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters1%25% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters25%29% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Splitter · 158 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%1% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters1%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters3%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%2% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters2%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%8% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters8%10% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters10%14% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters14%0% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters18% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters18%29% of his Curveball pitches to left-handed hitters29%
Curveball · 89 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%11% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters11%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%16% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters16%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%9% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%11% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters11%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%
Fastball · 56 pitches · catcher's view
9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%9% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters9%11% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters11%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%7% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters7%2% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters2%17% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters17%19% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters19%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%4% of his Cutter pitches to left-handed hitters4%
Cutter · 54 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Kody Clemens · hot and cold vs RHP
xwOBA .242 shrunk (raw .204 on 10 PA) · league .274 · 36 pitches seen.242xwOBA .424 shrunk (raw .579 on 9 PA) · league .307 · 40 pitches seen.424xwOBA .240 shrunk (raw .212 on 10 PA) · league .263 · 22 pitches seen.240xwOBA .409 shrunk (raw .451 on 19 PA) · league .342 · 54 pitches seen.409xwOBA .411 shrunk (raw .425 on 21 PA) · league .386 · 59 pitches seen.411xwOBA .235 shrunk (raw .178 on 18 PA) · league .321 · 41 pitches seen.235xwOBA .331 shrunk (raw .348 on 17 PA) · league .308 · 45 pitches seen.331xwOBA .430 shrunk (raw .490 on 16 PA) · league .351 · 40 pitches seen.430xwOBA .327 shrunk (raw .368 on 10 PA) · league .292 · 43 pitches seen.327xwOBA .325 shrunk (raw .300 on 25 PA) · league .377 · 156 pitches seen.325xwOBA .296 shrunk (raw .333 on 7 PA) · league .274 · 41 pitches seen.296xwOBA .389 shrunk (raw .468 on 19 PA) · league .263 · 88 pitches seen.389xwOBA .261 shrunk (raw .254 on 22 PA) · league .274 · 122 pitches seen.261
vs RHP · 787 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 35% of 23 swings · league 22%35%Whiff 26% of 31 swings · league 20%26%Whiff 11% of 18 swings · league 19%11%Whiff 6% of 36 swings · league 10%6%Whiff 11% of 47 swings · league 9%11%Whiff 15% of 34 swings · league 11%15%Whiff 15% of 27 swings · league 14%15%Whiff 19% of 27 swings · league 13%19%Whiff 19% of 26 swings · league 17%19%Whiff 16% of 44 swings · league 28%16%Whiff 45% of 20 swings · league 24%45%Whiff 31% of 35 swings · league 32%31%Whiff 49% of 45 swings · league 49%49%
vs RHP · 787 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 64% of 36 pitches · league 62%64%Swings at 78% of 40 pitches · league 72%78%Swings at 82% of 22 pitches · league 66%82%Swings at 67% of 54 pitches · league 70%67%Swings at 80% of 59 pitches · league 76%80%Swings at 83% of 41 pitches · league 70%83%Swings at 60% of 45 pitches · league 65%60%Swings at 68% of 40 pitches · league 68%68%Swings at 61% of 43 pitches · league 60%61%Swings at 28% of 156 pitches · league 24%28%Swings at 49% of 41 pitches · league 34%49%Swings at 40% of 88 pitches · league 40%40%Swings at 37% of 122 pitches · league 32%37%
vs RHP · 787 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Kody Clemens against each of Nathan Eovaldi's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball33%95.6+13″ / +14″.346.35920.1%17.1%331About league average vs these
Splitter26%88.1+13″ / +1″.283.29423.6%28.2%132About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball18%76.9-9″ / -9″.294.30524.8%26.0%26About league average vs these
Cutter16%91.0-1″ / +10″.347.35921.4%17.9%158About league average vs these
Slider6%85.7-6″ / +2″.322.33325.6%26.9%76About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Kody Clemens · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.250.250.438.294.27812.5%0.0%17.6%87.9106.27.1%42.9%21.4%
Last 15 G1438.278.316.556.393.34313.2%5.3%17.3%89.0106.29.7%45.2%29.0%
Last 30 G2978.290.359.565.403.40117.9%10.3%19.1%91.1108.212.5%46.4%37.5%
90 days67204.237.289.478.332.35422.1%6.9%22.5%92.7108.211.2%49.7%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 143 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 20%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.350.02550.0%0.0%50.0%96.896.80.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1223.150.227.250.300.20026.1%8.7%22.5%82.4104.90.0%26.7%6.7%
Last 30 G2445.175.250.225.264.24324.4%6.7%19.5%87.1105.90.0%43.3%16.7%
90 days5497.236.292.416.336.28324.7%6.2%20.9%86.7106.04.5%39.4%22.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 15%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.222.222.389.300.25016.7%0.0%19.4%88.5106.26.7%46.7%20.0%
Last 15 G1561.232.283.446.359.29018.0%6.6%19.1%86.8106.26.5%39.1%21.7%
Last 30 G30123.248.320.440.353.34420.3%8.9%19.2%89.7108.28.1%45.3%30.2%
90 days72301.236.290.458.333.33122.9%6.6%22.0%90.8108.29.1%46.4%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 209 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 18%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 10%
Kody Clemens · percentile ranksvs 228 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches5trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.330 / .348running 17 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25RHPChangeup89.390.021.313Single
Sep 25RHPFastball97.499.1-7.238Single
Sep 25RHPCutter90.5103.9271.646Home run
Sep 25RHPCurveball83.698.50.428Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.487.058.010Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball80.991.7-10.235Fielder's choice
Sep 22RHPChangeup86.395.1-12.169Force out
Sep 22RHPChangeup87.1106.28.630Double play
Sep 22RHPCurveball83.2104.43.566Single
Sep 21RHPFastball96.778.546.033Out
Sep 21RHPFastball94.485.036.011Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter82.860.6-38.119Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25436100
Sep 23200000
Sep 22411001
Sep 21400002
Sep 20400000
Sep 18400000
Sep 17511011
Sep 16511012
Sep 15413000
Sep 14500001

Two strikes

Nathan Eovaldi TEX · RHPwith two strikes
Nathan Eovaldi with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Splitter39%48%24.2%20.9%21.3%
Curveball24%27%32.3%19.2%20.7%
Fastball17%14%35.3%30.8%18.3%
Cutter14%11%16.7%15.0%18.7%
Slider1%1%–0.0%21.4%
Kody Clemens bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Kody Clemens with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%43.0%41.3%
Whiff%22.8%21.6%
Contact%77.2%78.4%
Chase%42.8%39.4%
wOBA.219.246
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.7%23.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.326
K%23.0%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%11.1%
Barrel%6.4%
Hard-hit%31.9%
Avg EV90.7

Against right-handers, last 90 days

205 PA
wOBA.330
xwOBA vs this mix.343against pitches like his
RV/1000.50
Hard-hit%33.6%
K%22.2%
BB%6.7%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Nathan EovaldiRHP · TEX vs MIN4 days' rest
4.7projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 23.4 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 30.8%31%≤34 strikeouts: 18.3%18%45 strikeouts: 17.3%17%56 strikeouts: 13.6%14%67 strikeouts: 9.2%9%78 strikeouts: 5.5%6%89+ strikeouts: 5.3%5%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 69% (red bars) · under: 31%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%22.1%
BB%5.5%
Whiff%14.0%
Velo86.6
BTB Stuff93
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Splitter38%11088.616.3%
Curveball26%7276.221.0%
Fastball17%7994.312.1%
Cutter14%10189.59.1%
Sinker3%9693.511.1%
Slider2%9286.911.1%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Aug 7869%9%36%.243
Jul 319419%14%46%.538
Jul 259133%12%17%.156

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Nathan Eovaldi TEX · RHPvsMIN lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

0 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameTEX @ MIN →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Kody Clemens: every projection we've made →