Hitter · KC · batting 1Carter Jensen
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix4.0expected PA
1+ hit-1.0 pts matchup
2+ total bases-1.7 pts matchup
Home run-2.3 pts matchup
38% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot43% fell for hits
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 57.8% | 58.7% | -1.0 |
| 2+ total bases | 37.3% | 38.9% | -1.7 |
| Home run | 15.6% | 17.8% | -2.3 |
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.2
Park-0.8
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.4
Park-1.3
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen-0.3
Park-2.0
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Zone battle
where he pitches, where Carter Jensen hitsCarter Jensen · hot and cold vs RHP
better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonightCarter Jensen · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 16 | .250 | .250 | .812 | .431 | .271 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 91.9 | 108.4 | 20.0% | 50.0% | 10.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .310 | .396 | .714 | .459 | .402 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 28.7% | 92.6 | 110.0 | 20.0% | 43.3% | 40.0% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 90 | .325 | .422 | .792 | .496 | .439 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 25.2% | 94.1 | 110.2 | 19.3% | 50.9% | 42.1% |
| 90 days | 63 | 207 | .243 | .353 | .571 | .396 | .349 | 26.1% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 92.1 | 110.2 | 13.9% | 47.5% | 33.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 122 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 18%Fly ball 39%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 7 | .600 | .571 | .600 | .486 | .348 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 30.0% | 90.6 | 106.4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 17 | .267 | .294 | .467 | .318 | .289 | 47.1% | 0.0% | 31.0% | 83.4 | 108.4 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 21 | 40 | .242 | .325 | .455 | .331 | .353 | 35.0% | 10.0% | 29.0% | 93.3 | 110.3 | 14.3% | 47.6% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 47 | 97 | .200 | .278 | .329 | .271 | .295 | 39.2% | 9.3% | 31.4% | 90.8 | 110.3 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 25%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 23 | .333 | .348 | .762 | .448 | .294 | 34.8% | 0.0% | 28.8% | 91.6 | 108.4 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 28.6% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 65 | .298 | .369 | .649 | .422 | .373 | 30.8% | 9.2% | 29.3% | 90.6 | 110.0 | 18.4% | 39.5% | 42.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 130 | .300 | .392 | .691 | .445 | .413 | 26.2% | 12.3% | 26.3% | 93.9 | 110.3 | 17.9% | 50.0% | 42.3% |
| 90 days | 71 | 304 | .229 | .329 | .492 | .356 | .332 | 30.3% | 12.2% | 26.8% | 91.7 | 110.3 | 14.0% | 46.2% | 36.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 171 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 20%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 12%
xwOBA67.332
Avg EV9091.7
Max EV59110.3
Barrel%9514.0%
Hard-hit%7946.2%
Sweet-spot%5736.3%
K%730.3%
BB%8512.2%
Whiff%2326.8%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
FormNormal
Contact rating75Above average
Last 100 pitches30trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.353 / .342results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run3/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | RHP | Curveball | 82.5 | 108.2 | 24 | 1.915 | Home run |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Fastball | 94.9 | 108.4 | 38 | 1.499 | Home run |
| Sep 25 | RHP | Slider | 91.9 | 83.7 | 56 | .015 | Out |
| Sep 25 | LHP | Sinker | 92.4 | 86.4 | 29 | .097 | Sac fly |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.5 | 90.7 | 46 | .014 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 96.3 | 86.0 | 41 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.5 | 104.5 | -8 | .324 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 83.7 | 106.4 | 16 | .662 | Single |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sweeper | 77.1 | 94.0 | 5 | .458 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Changeup | 92.0 | 83.9 | -8 | .109 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 95.4 | 99.0 | 46 | .045 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 94.2 | 75.6 | 14 | .491 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
The hitter
season-level talent readTalent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–
Against right-handers, last 90 days
0 PAwOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–
Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
The starter he faces
Starter not announced.
The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Carter Jensen: every projection we've made →