MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 27, 2026
2:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SEA · batting 3Julio Rodríguez
Bats rightTalent grade BPowerNormal
.274wOBA vs LHP.302xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · LAAYusei Kikuchi
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Down
4.9projected K19%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Yusei Kikuchi's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 42% usage, 95.2 mph, +9.1″ arm side, +16.3″ rise. Julio Rodríguez: wOBA .357 vs league .348 (about even).Fastball 42%Slider: 27% usage, 87.5 mph, -2.8″ arm side, +2.8″ rise. Julio Rodríguez: wOBA .332 vs league .323 (about even).Slider 27%Curveball: 12% usage, 81.9 mph, -5.6″ arm side, -4.8″ rise. Julio Rodríguez: wOBA .308 vs league .298 (about even).Curveball 12%Changeup: 10% usage, 86.8 mph, +11.8″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Julio Rodríguez: wOBA .332 vs league .322 (about even).Changeup 10%Cutter: 7% usage, 91.2 mph, -0.2″ arm side, +9.4″ rise. Julio Rodríguez: wOBA .360 vs league .350 (about even).Cutter 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Julio Rodríguez's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit64.3%64.3%-0.0
2+ total bases37.3%37.3%+0.0
Home run13.8%12.8%+1.0
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.0
Park
-0.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Julio Rodríguez hits
Yusei Kikuchi · where he throws to right-handed hitters
2% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 29% per swing5%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing4%8% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing8%10% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 7% per swing10%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 6% per swing6%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing4%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 19% per swing7%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing3%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing4%12% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 33% per swing12%26% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 46% per swing26%9% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 31% per swing9%
All · 386 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%5% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters5%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%10% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters10%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%4% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters4%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%12% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters12%19% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters19%6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%
Fastball · 186 pitches · catcher's view
2% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters2%0% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%9% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9%10% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters10%4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%4% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters4%9% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters9%3% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters3%5% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters5%8% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters8%35% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters35%6% of his Slider pitches to right-handed hitters6%
Slider · 97 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%8% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters8%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%7% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters7%3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters18% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters18%32% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters32%18% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters18%
Splitter · 60 pitches · catcher's view
5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%12% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters12%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%5% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters5%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%2% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters2%7% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters7%31% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters31%14% of his Curveball pitches to right-handed hitters14%
Curveball · 42 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Pitch by pitch

Julio Rodríguez against each of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball42%95.2+9″ / +16″.357.34823.6%19.3%209About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider27%87.5-3″ / +3″.332.32335.0%29.0%105About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Curveball12%81.9-6″ / -5″.308.29837.9%32.4%84About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Changeup10%86.8+12″ / +7″.332.32231.5%28.2%128About league average vs these
Cutter7%91.2-0″ / +9″.360.35025.9%20.3%149About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight

No pitch-level data for this hitter in the current window.

FormNormal
Contact rating57Average
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.307 / .325running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases7/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Two strikes

Yusei Kikuchi LAA · LHPwith two strikes
Yusei Kikuchi with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball49%45%6.2%13.6%18.4%
Slider27%27%22.7%12.2%22.2%
Splitter12%16%23.1%20.7%20.7%
Curveball12%12%26.7%18.2%20.9%
Cutter0%1%0.0%0.0%18.3%
Julio Rodríguez bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Julio Rodríguez with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Misses his two-strike stuff more than most
With two strikesHimLeague
K%48.6%41.4%
Whiff%27.8%22.0%
Contact%72.2%78.0%
Chase%37.2%40.7%
wOBA.244.248
Whiff vs his put-away shapes28.3%22.5%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.324
K%23.3%
BB%7.0%
Whiff%12.0%
Barrel%5.6%
Hard-hit%30.4%
Avg EV90.5

Against left-handers, last 90 days

107 PA
wOBA.274
xwOBA vs this mix.302against pitches like his
RV/100-1.33
Hard-hit%27.5%
K%29.5%
BB%7.2%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Yusei KikuchiLHP · LAA vs SEA
4.9projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 23.6 batters over 5.5 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 28.0%28%≤34 strikeouts: 17.8%18%45 strikeouts: 17.4%17%56 strikeouts: 14.3%14%67 strikeouts: 10.0%10%78 strikeouts: 6.1%6%89+ strikeouts: 6.4%6%9+book 4.5
Over 4.5: 54% (red bars) · under: 46%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%19.3%
BB%10.7%
Whiff%9.1%
Velo90.6
BTB Stuff97
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball49%9895.66.7%
Slider27%9087.910.3%
Splitter12%12286.413.6%
Curveball12%8780.012.5%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 22889%5%50%.382
Sep 1610317%7%29%.428
Sep 118825%8%25%.338

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Yusei Kikuchi LAA · LHPvsSEA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.8%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Julio Rodríguez: every projection we've made →