MLBengine v14
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Kirby Yates

PIT · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 26, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 26 · 12:10 PM CT
Kirby YatesRHP · PIT vs DET3 days' rest · short rest
2.4projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 5 · 9.9 batters over 2.3 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 77.1%77%≤34 strikeouts: 12.8%13%45 strikeouts: 6.3%6%56 strikeouts: 2.5%3%67 strikeouts: 0.9%1%78 strikeouts: 0.3%0%89+ strikeouts: 0.1%0%9+book 2.5
Over 2.5: 44% (red bars) · under: 56%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%23.2%
BB%10.1%
Whiff%11.0%
Velo88.7
BTB Stuff85
Location103
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff%
Fastball66%8990.89.1%
Splitter32%7884.312.3%
Sweeper2%8375.00.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gamePIT @ DET →Comerica Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves
PitchFamilyUsageVeloHorizontal breakInduced vertical break
FastballHard58%93.0+13.9″+13.9″
SplitterOffspeed40%86.0+12.7″-0.7″
Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.

Where he throws

last 90 days, catcher's view
Kirby Yates · where he throws to right-handed hitters
4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing4%7% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 8% per swing7%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing5%5% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing5%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 27% per swing6%6% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 10% per swing6%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 25% per swing4%4% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%3% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 60% per swing3%11% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 6% per swing11%13% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing13%13% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 30% per swing13%19% of his pitches to right-handed hitters · whiff 43% per swing19%
All · 208 pitches · catcher's view
6% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters6%11% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters11%8% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters8%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters7%9% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters9%1% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters1%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%2% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters2%12% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters12%19% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters19%3% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters3%12% of his Fastball pitches to right-handed hitters12%
Fastball · 138 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%3% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters3%2% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters2%8% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters8%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%6% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters6%8% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters8%0% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters33% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters33%33% of his Splitter pitches to right-handed hitters33%
Splitter · 66 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

Kirby Yates · where he throws to left-handed hitters
5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 11% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 22% per swing5%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 67% per swing5%6% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing6%9% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 20% per swing9%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%4% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing4%5% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 13% per swing5%2% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing2%17% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 44% per swing17%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 50% per swing10%10% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 0% per swing10%18% of his pitches to left-handed hitters · whiff 44% per swing18%
All · 201 pitches · catcher's view
7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%7% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters7%8% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters8%12% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters12%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%2% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters2%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%1% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters1%23% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters23%15% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters15%4% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters4%5% of his Fastball pitches to left-handed hitters5%
Fastball · 137 pitches · catcher's view
0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters2%3% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters8% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters8%8% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters8%3% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters3%3% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters3%0% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters25% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters25%48% of his Splitter pitches to left-handed hitters48%
Splitter · 61 pitches · catcher's view

Share of his pitches in each spot; darker is more. Last 90 days.

The lineup he faces

Kirby Yates PIT · RHPvsDET lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.7%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters
Kirby Yates PIT · RHPwith two strikes
Kirby Yates with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball67%67%22.4%19.6%18.3%
Splitter31%31%26.3%11.6%21.3%
Sweeper2%2%0.0%0.0%20.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts1BTB expected 2.3 over 1 starts
BTB's side at the line–over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

DateOpponentProjected KBook lineBTB overBook overStrikeouts
Sep 26DET2.3–––1
Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.